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Japan Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Sep. 16, 2008 - 90 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Japan Pharmaceuticals And Healthcare Industry SWOT
Japan Political SWOT
Japan Economic SWOT
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Pharmaceutical Business Environment Rankings, 8
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Japan - Market Summary
Regulatory Regime
Recent Regulatory Developments
Medical Device Regulations
Intellectual Property Developments
Pricing And Reimbursement System
Table: Reimbursement Categories And Rates
Recent Pricing And Reimbursement Developments
Other Regulatory Issues
Table: Concerns Of Pharmaceutical Associations
Industry Trends And Developments
Epidemiology
Table: Mortality By Cause In Japan
Healthcare Sector
Healthcare Sector Finance Issues
Healthcare Reforms
International Collaboration
International Reaction
Domestic Company Activity
Foreign Generic Sector
Table: Timeline: Indian Manufacturers In Japa07
Multinational Sector Developments
Research And Development
Industry Forecast Scenario
Overall Market Forecast
Table: Japanese Ethical Market - Leading Therapeutic Classes, F
Table: Japan’s Drug Market Indicators
Key Growth Factors - Industry
Table: Japan’s Healthcare Market
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario
Table: Japan - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Prescription Market Forecast
Table: Prescription Drug Market Indicators (US$mn unless otherwise stated)
OTC Market Forecast
Table OTC Market Forecasts
Generics Market Forecast
Generics Market Forecast
Table: Generics Market Trends
Patented Medicines Market Forecast
Table: Patented Medicines Market
Export/Import Forecasts
Table: Export/Import Trends (US$mn)
Other Healthcare Data And Forecasts
Table: Socio-Demographic Indicators
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Competitive Landscape
Table: Japanese Ethical Market - Sales Value (F06)
Company Profiles
Leading Foreign Manufacturers
Pfizer
Sanofi-Aventis
Merck & Co (Banyu)
Novartis
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)
AstraZeneca
Indigenous Manufacturers
Takeda
Astellas
Eisai
Daiichi-Sankyo
Sawai Pharmaceutical
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Pharmaceutical Industry Forecasts
Pharmaceutical Industry
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Table: Pharmaceutical Business Environment Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting Of Components
Sources

Abstract

Japan has the second largest pharmaceutical market in the world, currently valued at approximatelyUS$76bn. Using BMI’s proprietary forecast model, sales of prescription drugs and over-the-counter(OTC) medicines are expected to be US$85.5bn by 2012. The market is characterised by the ‘drug lag’, apreference for branded medication, dominance by local firms and an emerging generic drug sector.

Japan's US$5.03bn over-the-counter (OTC) market is on the brink of a paradigm shift. The Ministry ofHealth, Labour and Welfare (MHLW) plans to allow convenience stores, supermarkets and other retailoutlets to sell consumer healthcare products - such cough and cold remedies and analgesics - in April2009. If this legislation is passed, as BMI expects, we will upgrade the sector forecast significantly.Pricing and reimbursement in Japan is highly complex and opaque, which results in drugs reaching themarket long after regulatory submissions are made. Consequentially, the system has received criticismfrom both pharmaceutical companies and patient groups, which have to wait for medical breakthroughs.

In an effort to diversify and increase its presence in emerging markets, Japanese drugmaker DaiichiSankyo purchased a controlling stake in Indian generics firm Ranbaxy Laboratories during Q308.Daiichi is not the first Japanese drugmaker to adapt to the increasingly tough operating environment. InApril 2008, Takeda Pharmaceuticals agreed to pay US$8.8bn for US drugmaker MillenniumPharmaceuticals. The transaction gave the Japanese company access to the blood cancer drug Velcade(bortezomib), which is forecast to produce US$345mn in sales during 2008 - a 25% increase on theprevious year. This deal was followed by Eisai's purchase of cancer specialist MGI Pharma forUS$3.9bn in Q407.

Certain industry stakeholders criticised the plan proposed by the Federation of PharmaceuticalManufacturers Association of Japan (FPMAJ) in July 2008 to update the prescription drug pricingprocedures. Not unsurprisingly, the drugmakers are seeking to charge higher prices for longer periods aswell as secure more premiums for improving clinical outcomes. In light of the global trend for costcontainment in developed states, BMI does not expect the changes to be implemented.

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