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China Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Sep. 17, 2008 - 101 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
China Pharmaceuticals And Healthcare Industry SWOT
China Political SWOT
China Economic SWOT
China Business Environment SWOT
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings
Table: Pharmaceutical Business Environment Rankings For 8
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Returns
China: Market Summary
Regulatory Regime
Intellectual Property Issues
Counterfeit Activities
Pricing And Reimbursement
Table: Five-Step Procedure For Drug Pricing In China
Advertising Sector
SFDA Scandal
Other Regulatory Developments
Industry Trends And Developments
Healthcare Sector
Hospital Sector
Epidemiology
Overseas Activity
Domestic Pharmaceutical Sector
Recent Developments In The Local Pharmaceutical Sector
Distribution Sector
Foreign Company Activity
Acquisitions
Traditional Chinese Medicines
Table: Traditional Chinese Medicine In China
R&D Activity
Table: Major Multinationals With R&D Facilities In China
Vaccine Sector
Clinical Trials Activity
Biotechnology Sector
Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs)
Industry Forecast Scenario
Overall Market Forecast
Table: China - Drug Market Data And Forecasts
Key Growth Factors - Industry
Table: China - Health Expenditure Data And Forecasts
Key Growth Factors - Macroeconomic
Table: China - Economic Activity
Prescription Market Forecast
Table: China - Prescription Drug Market Data And Forecasts (CNYmn unless otherwise stated)
OTC Market Forecast
Table: China - OTC Market Data And Forecasts (US$mn unless otherwise stated)
Generics And Patented Market Forecasts
Table: China - Generics And Patented Market Forecasts
Export/Import Forecasts
Table: China - Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (US$mn
Medical Device Market Forecast
China: Medical Device Market Data And Forecasts (US$bn unless otherwise stated)
Other Healthcare Data Forecasts
Table: China - Hospital Data Forecasts
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Competitive Landscape
Top Ten Chinese Pharmaceutical Companies
Table: To OTC Companies In China Sales
Top Ten Chinese Retail Pharmacy Chains
Company Profiles
Leading Multinational Companies
GlaxoSmithKline
Pfizer
AstraZeneca
Merck KGaA
Sanofi-Aventis
Novartis
Roche
Merck & Co
Bayer Schering Pharma
Indigenous Manufacturers
North China Pharmaceutical Group Corporation (NCPC)
China Biopharmaceuticals Holdings (CBH)
Hubei Biocause Heilen Pharmaceuticalo
Aida Pharmaceutical Holdings
Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical (CSPC)
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Pharmaceutical Industry Forecasts
Pharmaceutical Industry
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Table: Pharmaceutical Business Environment Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting Of Components
Sources

Abstract

In the late 1990s and early 2000s, China's pharmaceutical sector was substantially smaller than it is today,and was dominated by acute care treatments, with the majority of sales occurring at large hospitals. As thecountry's economy has developed, the sector has experienced year-on-year double-digit growth as thestate encouraged the sector's development. Western multinationals have increasingly formed jointventures with local firms, and smaller domestic players have been eliminated by the imposition ofimproved manufacturing standards. Consequentially, BMI is forecasting strong growth for China’spharmaceutical market, which is expected to reach a valuation of US$88.61bn by 2012.

Since May 2007, the Chinese yuan:US dollar ratio has decreased from CNY7.65:US$1 toCNY6.94:US$1, a fall of just under 10%. There are likely to be two main effects of the strengtheningyuan: first that Chinese partners in joint ventures with US firms will contribute more, and second that USexports to China will increase. Given that BMI's country risk team expects the ratio to reachCNY6.70:US$1 before the end of 2008, the aforementioned trends are likely to become more pronouncedthroughout the year.

During Q208 and Q308, China's authorities increasingly cracked down on producers and prescribers ofanabolic steroids ahead of the 2008 Olympic Games. Manufacturers of these agents have been added to awatch-list, while the Ministry of Health expects medical institutions to check the identity of patientsbefore prescribing anabolic steroids and other hormone-containing drugs.

In July 2008 that UK-based GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) announced that it planned to double its R&Dcapabilities in China. At that time, the company employed 170 research staff and planned to boost thisfigure to 200 by the end of 2008, and to 350 the next year. It is BMI’s view that more multinationals willbe following GSK’s enlightened approach.

The prevalence of obesity in China is rising fast as people add more meat and diary products to their dietsand urbanisation and the associated trend of more sedentary jobs compound the problem. Latest researchshows that of all the developing countries, only Mexico's growth in the proportion of the adult populationwho are overweight and obese is faster than that of China. Given the consequential health problems thatwill present over the medium term, BMI expects the frequency and intensity of healthy living campaignsin China to increase.

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