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Courier & Express Services

Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd

Published: Sep. 1, 2008 - 100 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

1. Market Definition

REPORT COVERAGE

MARKET SECTORS

National Post

Other Courier and Express Services

MARKET TRENDS

A Difficult Year for Postal Services

Rising Fuel Prices Affect Demand for Express Services

Corporate Activity Continues

ECONOMIC TRENDS

Population

Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2003-2007

Gross Domestic Product

Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Chain-Linked Prices (£m), 2003-2007

Inflation

Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2003-2007

Unemployment

Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2003-2007

Household Disposable Income

Table 5: UK Household Disposable Income Per Capita (£), 2003-2007

MARKET POSITION

The UK

Table 6: Postal and Courier Activities as a Sector Within the Total UK Transport, Storage and Communications Market by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2003-2007

Overseas

2. Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET

By Value

Table 7: The Total UK Postal and Courier/Express Services Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007

Figure 1: Trends in the UK National Post and Courier/Express Services Sectors by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2007

BY MARKET SECTOR

National Post Activities

By Value

Table 8: The UK National Post Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), Years Ending March 2004-2008

By Volume

Table 9: The UK National Post Sector by Type of Service by Volume (million), Years Ending March 2006-2008

Other Courier and Express Services

By Value

Table 10: The Other Courier and Express Services Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2003-2007

3. Industry Background

RECENT HISTORY

NUMBER OF COMPANIES

Table 11: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in National Post and Courier Activities (number), 2003-2007

Table 12: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in National Post and Courier Activities by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2007

EMPLOYMENT

Table 13: Number of Employee Jobs in the National Post and Courier Activities Sector in Great Britain (000), Years Ending June, 2003-2007

Table 14: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Post and Courier Activities by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007

REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE

Table 15: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Post and Courier Activities by Government Office Region (number and %), 2007

DISTRIBUTION

HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?

Table 16: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Post and Courier Activities by Age of Business (number and %), 2007

LEGISLATION

Postal Services Act 2000

Carriage of Dangerous Goods by Road

Working Time Directive

Aviation Legislation

KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Association of International Courier and Express Services

Despatch Association

European Express Association

Other Related Trade Associations

4. Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE

MARKET LEADERS

Business Post Group PLC

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

City Link Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

DHL International (UK) Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

FedEx UK Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

GeoPost UK Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Parcelnet Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Royal Mail Holdings PLC

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

TNT Express Worldwide (UK) Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

UPS Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS

MARKETING ACTIVITY

Main Media Advertising Expenditure

Table 17: Main Media Advertising by Major Courier Companies (£000), Years Ending March 2004-2008

Exhibitions and Trade Shows

UK Events

Overseas Events

5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats

STRENGTHS

WEAKNESSES

OPPORTUNITIES

THREATS

6. Buying Behaviour

POST OFFICE USAGE

Table 18: Usage of the Post Office in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2007

Frequency of Usage

Table 19: Frequency of Usage of the Post Office in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2007

Reasons for Usage

Table 20: Usage of the Post Office in the Last 12 Months by Usual Reason for Visit (% of adults), 2007

Parcels and Priority Items

Table 21: Usage of the Post Office in the Last 12 Months to Send a Parcel or Priority Item by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2007

AWARENESS OF MAIL PROVIDERS

Table 22: Awareness of Mail Providers in the UK (% of respondents), 2006 and 2007

7. Current Issues

ROYAL MAIL

Regulation of Royal Mail from 2010

Royal Mail's Performance is Slipping

Special Delivery Next-Day Service

IMPACT OF HIGHER FUEL PRICES

Airlines and Oil Prices

CORPORATE ACTIVITY

LEGISLATION

Government Review of the Postal Market

TECHNOLOGY

ENVIRONMENT

TNT Introduces Electric Vehicles Fleet

FedEx Express Launches Fuel-Efficient Boeing 757

TNT and the UK's First Addressed Carbon-Neutral Mailing Service

8. The Global Market

THE MARKETPLACE

MARKET SIZE

By Value

Table 23: The Courier, Express and Parcel Markets in the US, Europe and Asia by Value (_bn and %), 2007

By Volume

Table 24: United Parcel Service Inc's Average Daily Package Volumes (000), 2005-2007

OUTLOOK FOR 2008 and 2009

Economic Outlook

GLOBAL LEADERS' RECENT PERFORMANCE

Deutsche Post World Net

FedEx Corporation

TNT

United Parcel Service Inc

9. Forecasts

INTRODUCTION

Economic Background

Table 25: Index of UK Retail Sales Volume (index 2000=100), January to June 2008

Gross Domestic Product

Table 26: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2008-2012

Inflation

Table 27: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2008-2012

Population

Table 28: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2008-2012

Unemployment

Table 29: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2008-2012

FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012

Table 30: The Forecast UK Postal and Courier/Express Services Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2008-2012

Figure 2: Forecast Trends in the UK National Post and Courier/Express Services Sectors by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2008-2012

MARKET GROWTH

Figure 3: Growth in the Total UK Postal and Courier/Express Services Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2003-2012

FUTURE TRENDS

Environment

Demographic Trends

Acquisition and Merger Activity

10. Company Profiles

Business Post Group PLC

DHL International (UK) Ltd

GeoPost UK Ltd

Parcelnet Ltd

Royal Mail Holdings PLC

TNT Express Worldwide (UK) Ltd

UPS Ltd

Further Sources

Associations

General Sources

Government Sources

Other Sources

Bisnode Sources

Abstract

Executive Summary In 2007, the total value of the UK postal and courier/express services market increased by 4.9% to £14.9bn. National post is the largest sector, but its value remained virtually static between 2006 and 2007. Other courier and express services is the growth sector and, in 2007, its value increased by 13.4%.

The market for courier and express services is defined as the business sector that supplies the need for rapid collection and delivery of documents and packages, including the services provided by the national post. Items covered by this definition include mail, parcels and other items with a high value-to-weight ratio and a time-sensitive delivery requirement.

The UK addressed-mail market has been fully liberalised since January 2006, although Royal Mail remains the dominant operator of the national post and continues to provide the UK's `universal postal service'. The volume addressed-mail sector has been contracting for a number of years, as customers switch to non-postal products such as the Internet and e-mail, and as a range of organisations, including banks, utilities and local government, encourage their customers to change to `paperless' communication.

The other courier and express services sector is concerned with the collection and delivery of time-specific items. The leading international courier groups — DHL, FedEx, TNT and UPS — all offer express delivery services in the UK, and two of these companies — FedEx and UPS — have expanded their operations in the UK in recent years by acquiring UK companies. UPS acquired Lynx Express in 2005 and FedEx acquired ANC Ltd in 2006. Next-day delivery represents a significant proportion of total revenues in this sector and home shopping (via the Internet) is a significant factor driving market growth.

The UK is currently facing slowing economic growth, falling house prices, rising inflation and increasing unemployment and the impact of this combination of factors is affecting all sectors of the UK economy. Retail volume sales are also coming under pressure and this is likely to have an impact on demand for the services of courier and express companies. The value of the national post market is expected to decline gradually between 2008 and 2012, as increased use of alternative methods of communication and growing environmental awareness lead to a gradual reduction in the amount of paper communications.

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