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Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: Aug. 1, 2008 - 83 Pages
Table of Contents
- Issues in the Market
- Main issues
- Definition
- Abbreviations
- Market in Brief
- Ethnic restaurants and takeaway sector faces tough times
- Food costs going through the roof
- Credit crunches sector
- Supermarket cheerleaders
- Immigration problems pose greatest threat
- Thai food is the emerging cuisine
- Internal Market Environment
- Key points
- Food prices
- Figure 1: Index of projected food crop price increases, 2007-15
- Credit crunch threatening expansion
- Cautious expenditure
- Figure 2: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, 2003-07
- Supermarkets - friend or foe?
- Figure 3: Consumer attitudes towards ready meals, February 2008
- Figure 4: Price comparison between supermarket offerings and takeaways among different ethnic foods, 2008
- Thai food is the emerging cuisine
- Figure 5: Ethnic food eaten nowadays, feburary 2007
- Healthy eating
- Figure 6: Adults trying to slim, by gender, 1998-2007
- Immigration reforms threaten sector
- Not so crispy duck?
- Broader Market Environment
- Key points
- Figure 7: Trends in personal disposable income and consumer expenditure, 2003-13
- Figure 8: Forecast adult population trends, by socio-economic group, 2003-13
- Figure 9: Forecast adult population trends, by lifestage, 2003-13
- Figure 10: Trends in the age structure of the UK population, by gender, 2003-13
- Figure 11: UK household sizes, 2003-13
- Competitive Context
- Key points
- Ready meals
- Figure 12: Types of ready meals used, 2007
- Cooking sauces
- Figure 13: Types of cooking sauces used, 2003-07
- Competing for the leisure pound
- Figure 14: Consumer expenditure on selected leisure goods and activities, 2002-07
- Spending priorities
- Figure 15: Expenditure priorities, 2007 and 2008
- Strengths and Weaknesses in the Market
- Strengths
- Healthy Eating (for some)
- Supermarkets
- Weaknesses
- Food prices
- Immigration
- Economic downturn
- Market Size and Forecasts
- Key points
- The eating out market as a whole
- Figure 16: The UK market for eating out*, 2003-08
- Figure 17: The UK market for eating out*, by sector, 2003-07
- Forecast of the total UK ethnic restaurants and takeaways market
- Figure 18: Forecast of the total UK ethnic restaurants and takeaway sector, 2003-13
- Takeaways to fare better than restaurants
- Figure 19: Forecast of the UK ethnic restaurants sector, 2003-13
- Figure 20: Forecast of the UK ethnic takeaways sector, 2003-13
- Factors used in forecast
- Segment Performance
- Key points
- Chinese
- Indian
- Thai
- Japanese
- Mexican
- Other ethnic food
- Companies and Products
- Key points
- Figure 21: Top restaurant groups in UK, by number of outlets, 2006-07
- Indian
- The Bombay Bicycle Club
- Harlequin Restaurant Group
- Masala World
- Shere Kahn Group
- Other ethnic cuisine
- Chiquito - The Restaurant Group
- Figure 22: The Restaurant Group, financial performance, 2007 and 2008
- Hakkasan Limited
- The Orchid Group
- Wagamama
- Yo! Sushi
- Brand Communication and Promotion
- Key points
- Figure 23: Advertising expenditure on selected ethnic restaurant brands, by media type, year to 30 April 2008
- Figure 24: Advertising expenditure on selected ethnic restaurant brands, 2003/04-2007/08 (year to 30 April)
- Ethnic Outlets Visited
- Key points
- Figure 25: Ethnic outlets visited, January 2008
- Ethnic outlets visited: detailed demographics
- Chinese food popular across the board
- Figure 26: Most popular ethnic outlets visited, by ethnic outlets visited, January 2008
- Asian food lovers stick together
- Figure 27: Next most popular ethnic outlets visited, by ethnic outlets visited, January 2008
- Menu Enticements
- Key points
- Figure 33: Future menu additions, January 2008
- Menu enticement: detailed demographics
- Conservative consumers seek reassurance
- Figure 34: Most popular future menu additions, by ethnic outlets visited, January 2008
- Opportunity for fusion cooking
- Figure 35: Next most popular future menu additions, by ethnic outlets visited, January 2008
- Healthy consumers more adventurous
- Figure 36: Most popular future menu additions, by attitudes towards ethnic restaurants, January 2008
- Set menus are a popular choice
- Figure 37: Next most popular future menu additions, by attitudes towards ethnic restaurants, January 2008
- Consumers want accurate dish descriptions
- Figure 38: Most popular future menu additions, by future menu additions, January 2008
- Healthy set menus the way forward
- Figure 39: Next most popular future menu additions, by future menu additions, January 2008
- Appendix: Ethnic Outlets Visited
- Most popular ethnic outlets visited, by detailed demographics
- Figure 41: Most popular ethnic outlets visited, by detailed demographics, January 2008
- Next most popular ethnic outlets visited, by detailed demographics
- Figure 42: Next most popular ethnic outlets visited, by detailed demographics, January 2008
- Appendix: Menu Enticements
- Most popular future menu additions, by detailed demographics
- Figure 45: Most popular future menu additions, by detailed demographics, January 2008
- Next most popular future menu additions, by detailed demographics
- Figure 46: Next most popular future menu additions, by detailed demographics, January 2008
AbstractThe ethnic restaurants and takeaway sector is facing a number of challenges. The most obvious is reduced spending from consumers, who are being pressured by both the economic downturn and rising utility costs. However, the sector is also facing an acute crisis over staff numbers, after the government completely revamped its immigration policy in 2008, moving towards a more restrictive points-based system, which is penalising non-EU workers. In addition, inflation in global food prices is increasing input costs.
However, the sector does have a number of advantages. The first is that the UK’s taste for ethnic food, already the largest in Europe, is showing no signs of slowing down, helped by increasing levels of long-haul foreign travel, and changing food tastes. Meanwhile, a cultural shift towards eating out has occurred in the UK over the past 20 years, with consumers increasingly reluctant to give up this well-established leisure activity.
In this environment, there is much opportunity for innovative operators. The fragmented nature of the market, which is dominated by independent family-owned outlets, means that there is great scope for consolidation and the emergence of chains. This is happening most visibly in emerging ethnic cuisine’s, such as Thai and Japanese, which are seeing some strong brands develop. Meanwhile, the growth in healthy eating patterns is helping to drive some ethnic foods, which are seen as lighter and healthier than traditional British cuisine.
The hypothesis for this report is: How can ethnic restaurants increase their share of an expanding eating out market?
Main report themes:
- Impact of the credit crunch?
- Impact of rising food costs for operators?
- Is the market seeing any further consolidation brand-wise, or is it still highly fragmented?
- What impact do supermarkets have on this market, if any?
- Are consumers getting more adventurous with their tastes?
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