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United Arab Emirates Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Aug. 22, 2008 - 49 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
United Arab Emirate’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
UAE Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food And Drink
UAE Food and Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: United Arab Emirates Economic Activity
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Trade
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Agriculture
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Agriculture At A Glance
Table: UAE - Major Agricultural Production, 2005
Table: UAE Agricultural Production Statistics
Agricultural Commodity Price
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: UAE MGR Sector - Sales Value By Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of The UAE's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of The UAE Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value By Format (US$bn)
Table: Annual Value Of Sales Per Outlet By Format, 2007. 32
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In The UAE’s Mass Grocery Retail Market, 2006
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players In The UAE’s Food And Drink Sector, 2006
Company Analysis
Food
Unilever Arabia
Abu Dhabi National Foodstuff Company (Foodco)
Al Ain Dairy
Drink
Masafi
Mass Grocery Retail
EMKE Group - LuLu Hypermarket
Carrefour MAF
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

How to deal with rising food prices is once again the main concern for the UAE’s government and food and drink industry, as discussed in BMI’s recently published UAE Food & Drink Report for Q308. First the government announced in March that it is considering building a strategic food reserve as a means of controlling supplies and curbing inflation. The Economics Ministry has said that it is now conducting a feasibility study on building a reserve of six months worth of staple foods. Then in April two of the UAE’s leading MGR operators, Emke Group and Carrefour, agreed to price caps with the government.

According to the Memorandum of Understanding signed by the Ministry of Economy and both retailers, they will maintain 2007 prices for a group of basic food commodities to help curb inflation. This followed a similar agreement with the Union Co-Operative Society, as the government looks to control prices. However, naturally, such price caps have had negative repercussions, not the least of which have been severely squeezed profit margins for retailers and food importers. In May rice importers in the UAE were demanding a minimum of a 25% subsidy for rice due to rising international prices. Because so many food prices have been fixed in an effort to curb inflation, many importers complain that their margins are now so reduced that they are selling at a loss. ‘International rice prices are going through the roof, so by fixing prices at 2007 levels without subsidies, the government is not taking into consideration what importers will have to face and giving room for a black market,’ said one importer. Rice is a very popular and important basic food in the UEA: according to the traders association, the country imported around 750,000 tonnes of rice last year, mostly from India, Pakistan, Thailand and Egypt.

With the country so heavily dependant on food and drink imports, these issues become an even greater concern. Therefore the government is taking various tactics to increase food security. One such move has been to cooperate with private equity group Abraaj Capital to purchase Pakistani farmland. Given its unsuitable climate for agricultural development, the UAE must look abroad if it is to significantly expand its agricultural output. With its vast agricultural potential, but limited financial resources, Pakistan could be the perfect partner for the cash-rich and land-poor UAE. Abraaj Capital specializes in private equity investments in the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia, managing US$5bn of assets across this region. The firm has been steadily building up its portfolio of Pakistani farmland over the last year. With the UAE’s economy remaining robust, and a forecast real GDP growth of 7.7% for 2008, the government is in a strong position to invest in such projects. However, despite the government’s abundance of petrodollars, just how to deal with rising food prices will continue to remain a challenge moving forward.

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