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Israel Defence and Security Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Aug. 18, 2008 - 64 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Israel Political SWOT
Israel Security SWOT
Israel Defence Industry SWOT
Israel Economics SWOT
Israel Business Environment SWOT
Political Overview
External Political Outlook
Security Risk Analysis
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And Africa Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Regional Security: The Middle East And North Africa
Inter-State Conflicts
Internal Conflicts
Israel - Security Risk Ratings
Israel - Conflict Risk
Israel - Terrorism Risk
Israel - Physical Safety Risk
Security Risk Overview
Table: Insurgent Groups In Israel
Latest Developments
Internal Security: Recent Developments
External Security Situation
Background Brief: Israel’s Wars
Latest Developments
External Security: Recent Developments
Military Structure And Defence Industry
Armed Forces
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscript 31
Current Strength
Historical Strength
International Deployments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Table: Israeli Nuclear-Capable Delivery Vehicles
Market Overview
Arms Trade Overview
Imports
Exports
Industry Trends And Developments
Table: Key Players - Israel Defence Sector
Procurement Trends And Developments
Latest Developments
Defence Industry: Recent Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Israel Defence Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Israel Defence Sector - Government Expenditure
Arms Trade
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Economic Activity
Company Profiles
General Dynamics
Rafael Armament Development Authority
Israel Military Industries
Elbit Systems
Elisra Group
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources

Abstract

At the end of June the US Congress approved a US$170mn increase in security assistance for Israel, as part of a 10-year US$30bn defence aid commitment to the country. A US-based pro-Israel lobby, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) welcomed the decision, saying it would boost US aid to Israel to US$2.55bn in fiscal 2009, up from US$2.38bn in fiscal 2008. AIPAC said the aid had added significance this year ‘as the US and Israel face new challenges from Iran’s drive to acquire nuclear weapons as well as the growing influence of radical anti-Western forces to Israel’s south in Gaza and to the north in Lebanon’

Although domestic and international relations are in trouble, BMI does not see a significant change to the level of threat to Israel’s security for the foreseeable future. Israel will continue to exist within a highly volatile region and be at risk of attacks from both internal and external parties. This is not new to Israel. It has existed under these conditions, and far worse, since its creation and has built up sophisticated and well tuned mechanisms for combating such threats. Whilst not numerically great, its armed forces are well-trained, well-armed and highly experienced. Perhaps more importantly, Israel is supported by the world’s only superpower, the US, which donates enormous quantities of military aid and equipment to the Israeli Defence Force (IDF).

Israel’s armed forces are also supported by one of the world’s most advanced defence industries, which benefits from large amounts of support from the government in the form of contracts. Israeli arms exports are currently flourishing, with lucrative relationships created with major weapons purchasers such as India and Turkey. In 2006, transfers totalled some US$4.5bn, ranking Israel in the top five exporters in the world. Arms imports are also likely to be sustained at a significant level by several long-running procurement programmes and an increase in foreign military financing (FMF) from the US.

BMI’s newly-released Israel Defence & Security Report concludes that the Israeli defence industry is set to thrive regardless of the immediate political or security environment in which it operates.

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