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United Kingdom Infrastructure Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Aug. 6, 2008 - 67 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Market Overview
SWOT Analysis
United Kingdom Infrastructure Industry SWOT
United Kingdom Political SWOT
United Kingdom Economic SWOT
Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects
Transport Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Airports
Road Networks
Rail Networks
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Pipelines
Water
Construction Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Olympic Games
Table: UK - Major Infrastructure Projects
Table: UK - Major Infrastructure Projects: continued
Table: UK - Major Infrastructure Projects: continued
Table: UK - Major Infrastructure Projects: continued
Table: UK - Major Infrastructure Projects: continued
Table: UK - Major Infrastructure Projects: continued
Table: UK - Major Infrastructure Projects: continued
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: UK Industry Forecast Data
Risks
Business Environment
Regional Overview - Europe
Europe: Business Environment Rating
Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: United Kingdom - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Political Outlook
Company Monitor
Table: UK Key Players
AMEC
Bovis Lend Lease
Balfour Beatty
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Construction Industry
Introduction
Business Attractiveness Rankings - Methodology
Sources
Table: Limits To Potential Returns

Abstract

In his 'pre-budget statement' in early October 2007, Alistair Darling, the British finance minister(Chancellor of the Exchequer), said the government was planning to boost public sector investment intransport and infrastructure to GBP14.5bn (US$30bn) per annum by 2010. The money would be spent onpriority projects, such as widening the M1 (north-south) and M25 (London orbital) motorways.

GBP1.3bn per annum would be earmarked for 'improving local and regional transport across the country',and the amount spent on modernising the national rail network would be doubled in 2008 and 2009, witha further GBP15bn earmarked for rail improvements in the 2010-2015 period. Funds would also cover theCrossrail project, to build a new rail link across the capital, which Darling described as 'the largesttransport project since the Channel Tunnel… essential for the competitiveness not just of the City ofLondon but for the whole country'.

Road Construction

Among the many road projects that are part of the infrastructure upgrade, two moderate-sizedconstruction works were up for bids in mid 2008. The first, a GBP69mn strengthening of the BidstonMoss Viaduct in the north-west, is being looked at by four different firms. Work includes steelworkstrengthening, painting, new parapets, lighting, resurfacing to slip roads and concrete repairs.Construction is expected to begin as soon as the contract is awarded. Contractors bidding on the secondproject, a GBP80mn upgrade to the Port Talbot Peripheral Distributor Road, include Costain, Carillionand Hochtief/Alun Griffiths. 2010 has been set as the start date on the Port project.

Heathrow Upgrades

Heathrow’s new Terminal 5, built at a cost of GBP4.5bn, opened in March 2008. It was immediatelyplagued with a number of problems and led British Airways to cancel a number of flights. The problemswere eventually worked out and the Heathrow expansion continued with the Heathrow East upgrades. InJune, Spanish developer Ferrovial announced that it had been granted a GBP7.65bn loan in its work onthe Heathrow East upgrades. Construction includes replacing Terminals 1 and 2 with a new modernterminal. The project is scheduled to be completed in 2012.

New Port Construction

A GBP1.5bn container port in Essex was approved by the government in May. DP World will be thedeveloper of the 1,850 acre London Gateway port site.

Industry Forecasts

BMI forecasts the construction industry growing at an annual average of 3.2% over the period 2008-12.The 2012 Olympics, and the lift this will give to construction of new transport and tourist infrastructure,offers support throughout the forecast period. However, over the next couple of years, the constructionindustry as a whole is likely to experience a significant slowing of growth, due to the credit crunch, whichhas had a particularly marked impact on the UK, partly due to its strong links to the US economy.Furthermore, the outlook for commercial construction in the city of London - especially office space -has darkened considerably, amid fears of a boom-induced oversupply of new units.

As such, after peaking at 6% in 2007, BMI forecasts construction growth in the UK to almost stagnate in2008, with expansion of just 0.9% in real terms. In 2009, we anticipate that real growth for theconstruction sector will again be modest, at 2.7%, before a recovery to growth of 4.2% in 2010.By 2012, we expect the total value of the construction industry to register US$171.5bn, up moderatelyfrom an estimated US$152.9bn in 2008.

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