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Energy Drinks - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Jul. 1, 2008 - 104 Pages


Table of Contents


Scope and Themes

What you need to know

Definition

Data sources

Sales data

Consumer survey data

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations



Executive Summary

Market at a glance—poised for growth

Market cannot sustain current growth momentum—“soda syndrome” may follow

Demographic influences

Teens and young adults aged 18-24 are the biggest energy drink consumers

Hispanics and blacks generate growth in the market

Women are likely to be put off by the “girl” moniker

Red Bull remains the market leader: Coke and Pepsi can’t catch up

Convenience stores drive growth as “sampling ground” while supermarkets thrive on value proposition

Value proposition through “big” format is going to drive growth

The need for an energy boost remains the biggest reason to drink energy drinks

Price and safety concerns are the major reasons for not drinking energy drinks



Market Size and Forecast

Key points

Robust current growth but weakening momentum in the next five years

Figure 1: Total U.S. sales and forecast of energy drinks at current prices, 2003-13

Figure 2: Total U.S. sales and forecast of energy drinks at inflation-adjusted prices, 2003-13

Wal-Mart sales



Competitive Context

Key points

High prices discourage popular consumer acceptance; price decrease will likely encourage wider acceptance

Figure 3: FDMx prices for select non-alcoholic beverages, 2007

Prices have declined, but not enough

Competition from other beverages

Coffee: efforts to target young and cool

Natural smoothies with an energy kick compete with energy drinks

Increasing numbers of hybrids drive growth

Acquisitions and alliances create expansion in distribution

Merger and acquisition activity

Alliances

Lack of access to an established distribution system inhibits growth through innovation



Segment Performance

Key point

Non-aseptic energy drinks sales are almost absolute; other segments are to remain miniscule

Figure 4: FDMx sales of energy drinks at current prices, by segment, 2003-08

Figure 5: FDMx sales of energy drinks, by segment, 2006 and 2008



Segment Performance—Non-Aseptic Energy Drinks

Key points

Price discount, compared to convenience channel, is a growth driver

Figure 6: Price comparison of single-serve and multipacks for top two brands, 2008

Growing base of users will continue to drive growth

Non-aseptic energy drinks’ marketing sets it apart from the other two segments

Figure 7: FDMx sales of non-aseptic energy drinks, 2003-08



Segment Performance—Energy Drink Mixes

Key points

Energy drink mixes could grow amid weakening economy

Figure 8: FDMx sales of energy drink mixes, 2003-08



Segment Performance—Aseptic Energy Drinks

Key point

Aseptic energy drinks lack the “cool” image of non-aseptic counterparts

Figure 9: FDMx sales of aseptic energy drinks, 2003-08



Retail Channels

Key points

Convenience store sales grow on the strength of new product launches

Figure 10: Choice of retail channels to purchase energy drinks, by age, May 2008

Figure 11: New energy drinks product launch at convenience stores and supermarkets, 2005-07

Value-pricing proposition at food and other channels drives growth

Figure 12: U.S. sales of energy drinks, by retail channel*, 2005 and 2007



Retail Channels—Convenience Stores

Key points

Convenience stores and energy drinks—perfect marriage

Convenience store is “sampling ground” for the key consumer

Big competition in a little bottle

Convenience store develops own energy drink

Figure 13: U.S. sales of energy drinks at convenience stores, 2003-08



Retail Channels—Supermarkets

Key points

Supermarkets’ prime shoppers are not key energy-drink users; limited shelf space devoted to energy drinks

Figure 14: U.S. sales of energy drinks at supermarkets, 2003-08



Market Drivers

Demographic influences

Teens drive growth through increased numbers of users; dismal future growth through population growth in teens

Figure 15: Personal incidence of drinking energy drinks among teens, young adults, and adults 2003-07

Figure 16: U.S. population of teens aged 12-17, 2003-13

Young adults are the key demographic, but energy-drink use among 35-44s on the rise

Figure 17: U.S. population of adults aged 18-44, 2003-13

Women are not likely to catch up with men’s energy-drink consumption

Figure 18: U.S. population of women aged 18+, 2003-13

Hispanics and blacks—profit driving demographics in the market

Figure 19: Population, by race and Hispanic origin, 2003-13

Increased scrutiny by authorities jeopardizes future growth from teens

Proposed ban by legislators

Future growth may halt if schools decide to ban energy drinks

Bottom line: energy drinks are risky for teens and young adults

Figure 20: Attitude toward risk taking among energy-drink users and non-users February 2007-March 2008

Energy drinks as mixer with alcoholic beverages—mixed implications

Figure 21: Reasons for drinking energy drinks, by race/ethnicity, May 2008

Figure 22: Beer and spirits consumption in the past 12 months among all adults and energy-drink users, 2006 and 2008



Leading Companies

Key points

Coca-Cola and PepsiCo are not the top energy-drink sellers

Figure 23: FDMx sales of leading energy-drink companies, 2007 and 2008



Brand Share—Energy Drinks

Key points

Leading brands will benefit by launching bigger packaging

Hybrid line extensions—growth by expanding energy-drink usage

Figure 24: FDMx brand sales of energy drinks in the U.S., 2007 and 2008



Brand Qualities

Masculine “I dare you” image: beyond forbidden names, racy marketing

Bigger packaging—party longer

Innovation and Innovators

Innovation remains strong; but many “me too” products in the market

Figure 25: Trends in numbers of new product introductions in the energy-drink market, 2003-08

New product claims mimic consumer trend towards health and wellness

Figure 26: Trends in numbers of new product introductions in the energy-drink market, 2007-08

Functional approach—a tool to find a profitable consumer niche amid the crowd

Mighty Aphrodite—brands take the sexual appeal to a different level and consumer

Getting specific with cerebrum

Organic and natural

Energy shots: “quick rush of energy” and “no crash” claims prevail

Energy hybrids—energy becomes part of most beverage segment

Energy drinks and tea hybrids—growth potential in future



Advertising and Promotion

Grass roots marketing continues to impress the key consumers

Red Bull

Figure 27: Red Bull television ad, 2007

Figure 28: Red Bull television ad, 2007

PepsiCo

Figure 29: AMP television ad, 2007



Usage


Growth in the numbers of energy-drink users

Figure 30: Personal consumption of energy drinks, 2003-08

Energy drinks continues to be a male-dominated market

Figure 31: Incidence of drinking energy drinks, by gender, 2003-07

Age defines energy-drink users

Figure 32: Incidence of drinking energy drinks among adults aged 18-24 and 25-34, 2003-07

Blacks and Hispanics are key consumers

Figure 33: Incidence of drinking energy drinks among blacks and Hispanics, 2003-07



Frequency of Use


Increase in the frequency of drinking energy drinks contribute to the market growth

Figure 34: Mean frequency of drinking energy drinks, by key demographics, 2005-08



Brands


Red Bull continues its lead among consumers

Figure 35: Consumption of energy drinks, by brands, February 2007-March 2008



Teens and Energy Drinks


Teens are more than twice as likely to drink energy drinks as adults

Figure 36: Energy-drink penetration among teens and adults*, 2003-07

Male teens aged 12-14 are also key consumers; a worrisome finding

Figure 37: Energy-drink penetration among teens, by gender/age, January-November 2007

Ethnic teens are growth-driving demographics

Figure 38: Energy-drink penetration among teens, by race/ethnicity, January-November 2007

Teens and energy-drink brands

Teens drink a greater variety of brands than adults

Figure 39: Teen consumption of energy drinks, by brands, January-November 2007



When, Why and How Energy Drinks Are Used

Why consumers drink energy drinks

The need for an energy boost remains the biggest reason to drink energy drinks

Figure 40: Reasons for drinking energy drinks, by age, May 2008

Energy drinks have growth potential through launching products in Hispanic-preferred flavors

Figure 41: Reasons for drinking energy drinks, by race/ethnicity, May 2008

Energy-drink ingredients that consumers value most

Figure 42: Preference for energy-drink ingredients, by age, May 2008

When consumers drink energy drinks

Figure 43: Occasions to drink energy drinks, by age, May 2008

How consumers drink energy drinks

Figure 44: Energy drinks usage with food, by age, May 2008



Understanding Non-Users and Hybrid Preferences

Understanding the individual who does not consume energy drinks

Figure 45: Reasons for not drinking energy drinks, by age, May 2008

New product preference in energy drinks

Figure 46: New product preference in energy drinks, by age, May 2008



Attitudes and Behavior

Incidence of drinking more/less compared to a year ago

Figure 47: Incidence of drinking more or less energy drinks compared to a year ago, by age, May 2008

Attitude and behavior

Figure 48: Attitude and behavior towards energy drinks, by age, May 2008



Appendix: Caffeine - Content Comparison

Caffeine content in various energy drinks brands

Figure 63: Caffeine content in various energy drinks brands

Caffeine content in competitive beverages

Figure 64: Caffeine content in competitive beverages



Appendix: Other Useful Consumer Tables

Usage

Figure 65: Incidence of drinking energy drinks, by key demographics, February 2007-March 2008

Frequency of use

Figure 66: Frequency of energy-drink consumption, 2005 and 2007

Where consumers purchase energy drinks

Figure 67: Choice of retail channels to purchase energy drinks, by race/ethnicity, May 2008

Figure 68: Choice of retail channels to purchase energy drinks, by region, May 2008

Why consumers drink energy drinks

Purpose of drinking energy drinks

Figure 69: Reasons for drinking energy drinks, by gender, May 2008

Figure 70: Reasons for drinking energy drinks, by income, May 2008

Ingredients that consumers value

Figure 71: Preference for energy drink ingredients, by age, May 2008

When consumers drink energy drinks

Figure 72: Occasions to drink energy drinks, by gender, May 2008

Figure 73: Occasions to drink energy drinks, by presence of children, May 2008

Figure 74: Occasions to drink energy drinks, by region, May 2008

Figure 75: Occasions to drink energy drinks, by presence of children, May 2008

Understanding the consumer who does not drink energy drinks

Why consumers do not drink energy drinks

Figure 76: Reasons for not drinking energy drinks, by gender, May 2008

Figure 77: Reasons for not drinking energy drinks, by race/ethnicity, May 2008

Figure 78: Reasons for not drinking energy drinks, by income, May 2008

Figure 79: Reasons for not drinking energy drinks, by region, May 2008

New product preference in energy drinks

Figure 80: New product preference in energy drinks, by gender, May 2008

Figure 81: New product preference in energy drinks, by race/ethnicity, May 2008

Figure 82: New product preference in energy drinks, by income, May 2008

Figure 83: New product preference in energy drinks, by presence of children, May 2008

Incidence of drinking more or less energy drinks compared to a year ago

Figure 84: Incidence of drinking more or less energy drinks compared to a year ago, by age, May 2008

Figure 85: Incidence of drinking more or less energy drinks compared to a year ago, by income, May 2008

Figure 86: Incidence of drinking more or less energy drinks compared to a year ago, by region, May 2008

How consumers drink energy drinks

Figure 87: Energy drinks usage with food, by age, May 2008

Figure 88: Energy drinks usage with food, by region, May 2008

Attitude and behavior

Figure 89: Attitude and behavior towards energy drinks, by gender, May 2008

Figure 90: Attitude and behavior towards energy drinks, by race/ethnicity, May 2008



Appendix: Trade Associations

Abstract

This report examines the high-growth energy drinks market with recommendations for courses of action that can benefit stakeholders-manufacturers, retailers, and distributors. Specifically, highlights of analysis in the report include:

  • Why the market has achieved continued high growth, and why it will not be able to maintain the momentum in coming years
  • Understanding the role of teens and young adults
  • Why the market may have a hard time retaining teen consumers
  • What role increasing scrutiny from legislatures, medical community, and schools will play in future
  • How the market may face competition from alternative energy boosting beverages and/or supplements
  • Will energy hybrids contribute growth or create confusion
  • Barriers to consumer adoption of energy drinks
  • Why mainstream advertising has not worked in the energy drinks market
  • A glimpse into the profile of potentially heavy consumers of energy drinks through the analysis of usage and attitudinal information



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