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Creditor Insurance - UK

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Jul. 1, 2008 - 109 Pages


Table of Contents


Issues in the Market


Abbreviations



Market in Brief

Premiums hit by the credit crunch and slower debt markets

Figure 1: GWP earned from PPI policies (£m), 2001-07

Pain is felt across all market segments

Figure 2: The changing structure of the PPI market, by sector, 2005-07



Are the good times over?

The regulatory double whammy

Competition Commission - time for action?

A market lacking innovation but some interesting developments

Loan and card providers the largest players in the market

Figure 3: The largest PPI providers, by GWP, 2006

It’s the distribution system, stupid

A tougher market yes, but still a big target to aim for…

…but beware the Soft Underbelly



Internal Market Environment
Key points
A challenging few years

Figure 4: Timeline of events in the creditor insurance market, 2005-08

Under fire from all quarters

Criticism leads to regulatory action

OFT takes up the baton and refers PPI

Competition Commission takes over

CC shows its thinking

Competition Commission signals the good times are over

Treating Customers Fairly (TCF)

Financial Services Authority gets tough

Comparative tables introduced

FSA pays special attention to the PPI market

Implications

‘Sell once, generate income over many’ business model

Figure 5: Breakdown of terminations for PPI (2002-06) as percentage of policies at start of the year

Proposed new insolvency laws



Broader Market Environment

Key points

A debt-led market

Figure 6: The value of personal sector debt (mortgages and consumer credit) and as a proportion of total PDI, at current prices, 1997-2007

Market expansion relies on new debt

Figure 7: The value of personal net lending (mortgages and consumer credit), at current prices, not seasonally adjusted, 1997-2008

Mortgage debt the main loser from the crunch

Figure 8: The changing patterns of new lending as a result of the credit crunch, Q1 2006-Q4 2007

Interest rates: the cost factor

Figure 9: UK inter-bank, three months’ offer rate and selected UK bank base rates, January 2000-April 2008

Loss of income

Unemployment: a driver and cost factor

Figure 10: Unemployment levels, 1994-2007

Accidents and sickness

Figure 11: Road accident casualties, 2000-06

Accidents at work

Figure 12: Fatalities and injuries to employees and members of the public, 2002/03-2006/07

High proportion of adults have had serious illnesses

Figure 13: General health, long-standing illness and acute sickness in England, by survey year (percentage of adults), 1997-2006

Implications



Competitive Context

Key points

Critical illness

Figure 14: Value sales of new critical illness policies, by type of policy, 2000-07

Income protection

Figure 15: New sales of individual IP, by volume and value, 2000-07

Non-insured products

Consumer savings

Figure 16: The number of months consumers could survive without any income, 1997-2007

Strengths and Weaknesses in the Market

Figure 17: Creditor insurance SWOT analysis, 2008



Market Size and Forecast

Key points

The credit slowdown and criticism take their toll

Figure 20: GWP of the creditor insurance market, 2001-07

The pain is widespread as the market structure remains relatively stable

Figure 21: The breakdown of GWP of the creditor insurance market, by sector, 2001-07

Prospects for the future?

Key points

Credit card sector hit by slower lending and bad publicity

Figure 22: Credit card PPI GWP (£m) and annual growth (%), 2001-07

Personal loan sector hardest hit since 2005

Figure 23: Personal loan PPI GWP (£m) and annual growth (%), 2001-07

Mortgage PPI sales: on a downward path but…

Figure 24: MPPI new sales and the number of policies outstanding, 2001-07

…mortgage GWP holds up better than other sectors of the market

Figure 25: Mortgage PPI GWP (£m) and annual growth (%), 2001-07

ASU MPPI becoming less popular

Figure 26: Sales of new MPPI policies (000), by type of cover, 2001-07

Other PPI sales also hit by broad market trends

Figure 27: Other PPI GWP (£m) and annual growth (%), 2001-07

Retail credit the main ‘other’ category

Figure 28: The structure of the ‘other’ category, 2007

Forecast

Restructuring of the PPI market leads to short-term decline of the market

Figure 29: Forecast at constant prices, negative scenario

Figure 30: Gwp of the creditor insurance market, Forecast with negative impact of ppi regulations, at current prices, 2001-13

Figure 31: Forecast at constant prices, Positive scenario, 2003-13

Figure 32: GWP in the creditor insurance market, Forecast with positive impact of ppi regulations, at current prices, 2001-13

Factors used in the forecast



Market Share

Key points

Over 100 providers but a ‘closed’ market

The ‘usual suspects’ dominate the provider market

Figure 33: Estimated share of PPI GWP, 2006

No relationship between policy numbers and market share

Figure 34: The number of PPI policies offered by the major providers, May 2008

Aviva is the largest underwriter

Figure 35: The largest underwriters of credit insurance (share of GWP), 2006



Companies and Products

Key points

125 providers split across three key segments

Credit card policies: ASU policies dominate

Figure 36: Structure of the credit card PPI sector, by type of policy available, May 2008

Some card providers pull back

Personal loan products: ASU policies with life cover dominate

Figure 37: Structure of the personal loan PPI sector, by type of policy available, May 2008

A retreat from the loan market

Mortgage payment protection: does exactly what it says on the tin?

Figure 38: Structure of the mortgage loan PPI sector, by type of policy available, May 2008

Credit cards: one policy for all cards

Personal loans: aiming for the Gold Standard

Mortgage PPI: More fragmentation and more standalone providers

The Main Underwriters: The Big Boys dominate

Figure 39: The main underwriters of the ASU element of credit card and personal loan PPI policies, May 2008

Figure 40: The main underwtirers of the life element of credit card and personal loan PPI policies, May 2008

Loan and card ASU: keeping it in the family

Figure 41: The main credit card underwriters and their provider partners, May 2008

Figure 42: The main personal loan underwriters and their provider partners, May 2008

MPPI segment: untied underwriters the most important

Figure 43: The main underwtirers of mortgage PPI policies, by number of policies, May 2008

Figure 44: The main mortgage underwriters and their provider partners, May 2008



Brand Communication and Promotion

Key points

Little media activity

Figure 45: PPI adspend, 2006/07 and 2007/08

Direct mail key marketing channel

Figure 46: Media mix for creditor insurance adspend, year to 31 March 2008



Channels to Market

Key points

Distributors control the market

Figure 47: Breakdown of the credit insurance market, by destination of GWP, 2006

High profits for distributors

Figure 48: Distributor profit margins on the sale of PPI, 2006

Debt and PPI a single product?

Face to face and telephone the prime sales channels for consumers

Figure 49: The source of purchase of PPI products purchased in the last 12 months, December 2007

Volume sales show a stronger bias towards face to face and telephone

Figure 50: The main sales channels, by the number of policies sold by the 12 largest PPI providers, 2006

Direct sales of growing importance

Figure 51: The distribution channels used to sell mortgage PPI policies+, May 2008

Rise of online sales

Figure 52: PPI policies+ which have information available online, May 2008

Online quotations a growing feature in the loan and mortgage segments

Figure 53: Loan and mortgage PPI policies+ which have online quotes available, May 2008

Online purchasing less common but a growing feature

Figure 54: Policies+ which can be purchased online, May 2008



The Consumer: Credit and PPI Ownership

Key points

The popularity of PPI wanes

Figure 55: The ownership of PPI policies, by type, 2006 and 2008

You must have something to protect - but not too much

Figure 56: Ownership levels of key PPI products by gender, age, socio-economic group, working status, household income, ACORN category and tenure, April 2008

Implications

You need someone to love

Figure 57: Ownership levels of key PPI products, by marital status, lifestage and presence of children, April 2008

Key marketing media

Figure 58: Ownership levels of key PPI products, by technology usage, Internet usage and TV received, April 2008

Use traditional media selectively

Figure 59: Ownership levels of key PPI products, by TV region, daily newspaper readership, commercial TV viewing and supermarket used, April 2008

Target market penetration

Figure 60: Credit ownership, April 2008

Penetration lowest in the credit card segment

Figure 61: Penetration of PPI products into the target market, April 2008

PPI providers: penetrated the young and middle-income adults

Figure 62: The penetration+ of PPI products, by gender, age, socio-economic group, household income and ACORN group, April 2008

Family factor is key

Figure 63: The penetration+ of PPI products, by marital status, detailed lifestage groups and presence of children, April 2008

Negative coverage hitting sales?

Figure 64: The penetration+ of PPI products, by TV region, newspaper readership, TV received and supermarket used, April 2008



The Consumer: Attitudes and Beliefs

Key points

PPI offers peace of mind

Figure 65: PPI holders agreeing with the statement. ‘The peace of mind it gives me is definitely worth the cost’, by gender, age, socio-economic group, marital status, lifestage, presence of children, working status and tenure, April 2007

Implications

High awareness of the negative publicity

Figure 66: Consumer agreement with the statement: ‘You have seen negative media coverage about payment protection products’, by gender, age, socio-economic group, marital status, lifestage and presence of children, April 2008

Is the broadsheet press largely responsible?

Figure 67: Consumer agreement with the statement: ‘You have seen negative media coverage about payment protection products’, by TV region, technology usage, daily newspaper readership and commercial TV viewing, April 2008

Has the negative publicity taken its toll?

How will the bad publicity impact on the market in the future?

Figure 68: Awareness of bad publicity and willingness to take out PPI in the future, April 2008

Implications

How hard is the hard sell?

Figure 69: Agreement with the statement ‘You have felt under pressure to take out payment protection insurance when you have taken out a loan/credit card’, by detailed lifestage groups, April 2007

But the hard sell could be proving a turn-off to PPI holders

Figure 70: Is the hard sell proving a turn-off to PPI holders?, April 2008

Figure 71: Awareness of the hard sell and the willingness to take out PPI on debt products in the future, April 2008

Implications

Competitor products could be a serious threat or an opportunity

Hybrid IP/PPI appeals to the mid-market

Figure 72: Adults agreeing with the statement: ‘I'd prefer a policy that pays me a percentage of my monthly salary, so I can use the money to pay for whatever I like and not just my debt repayments’, by gender, age, socio-economic group, working status, tenure, daily newspaper readership, TV received and supermarket used, April 2007

Implications

Abstract

There can be few finance markets that have hit the headlines to the same degree as the creditor insurance market has over the past 18 months. A market which, until 2005, was robust and highly (excessively?) profitable now faces fundamental changes in terms of its distribution structure and sales tactics - always the core drivers of sales - and its pricing. And yet, despite all the criticism, the public see real value in holding a policy that can repay their debts should they suffer a loss of income due to unemployment, accident or sickness. If expenditure on PPI is falling, this mainly reflects a downturn in the underlying debt markets rather than a significant rejection of the concept of PPI.

The coming few years will see a market in transition: expenditure on PPI policies is likely to remain weak as consumers seek to reduce their reliance on debt and regulatory changes are likely to result in significant changes in distribution, sales tactics and pricing.

This report covers the recent developments in the market, with a particular emphasis on the current wave of regulatory interest and the potential impact that this will have on the market.

The report additionally offers:

  • An investigation into the internal and broader social, legal and economic factors impacting on the market
  • An overview of the market’s competitive context, its strengths and weaknesses, insights and opportunities
  • The views of leading experts
  • An examination of recent and projected market growth
  • An appraisal of the supply side of the market, including market shares of the largest underwriters
  • A review of product innovation, distribution and promotion
  • An overview of general consumer financial activity
  • The results of Mintel’s independently commissioned consumer research, which offers insight into the leading characteristics, attitudes and behaviours of policyholders
  • Special further analysis (using cluster modelling) to enable deeper understanding of the core target market.



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