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Turkey Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 28, 2008 - 53 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: MEA Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Q308
Turkey’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Turkey’s Global Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
Turkey Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
Turkey MGR Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Turkey Economic Activity
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Canned Food
Table: Value/Volume Sales Of Selected Food Sub-sectors - Canned Food Sales
Confectionery
Table: Value/Volume Sales Of Selected Food Sub-sectors - Confectionary Sales
Trade
Table: Turkey Food, Drink & Tobacco Trade Balance (US$mn)
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Agriculture
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Table: Turkey Beverage Sub-Sector Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Turkey Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Turkey's Mass Grocery Retail Sector By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of Turkey's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value By Format (US$bn)
Table: Value Of Sales Per Outlet 2007
Agricultural Commodity Prices
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players In Turkey’s Food & Drink Sector, 2007
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In Turkey’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2007
Company Analysis
Food
Ülker Group
Drink
Anadolu Efes
Coca-Cola Içecek (CCI)
Mass Grocery Retail
BIM
Tesco Kipa
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

The Turkish fast moving consumer goods industry has been experiencing booming growth in recent yearson the back of rising disposable incomes. With Turkey's per capita GDP now pushing close to 'highincome' territory, as defined by the World Bank, many firms are beginning to realise the potential of thisburgeoning consumer market. The pro-business AK Party has been proactively working to move thecountry toward EU membership. In that vein, it has instigated a number of key institutional reformswhich have helped to harmonise the country's business regulatory framework to international standards,while also significantly opening the country to foreign investors.

However, this is not to say that all changes have been positive, and the AK Party has been highlycriticised for its alcoholic drinks policies. In fact, in May 2008, following years of frustration with thecountry's high taxes, Danish brewer Carlsberg decided to pull out of the Turkish market. Carlsberg isnow in negotiations to sell its 95.65% stake in its local operations, Türk Tuborg, to its Israeli partner,CBC Group, after having posted seven years of losses in the country. Although stronger levels ofcompetition were also a factor in Carlsberg's decision to withdraw, it was clearly the country's difficultbusiness environment that played the biggest role in Carlsberg's decision. Carlsberg cited the 35% privateconsumption tax and the 18% value-added tax as major factors in its withdrawal decision, noting that ithad made its stance on private consumption tax known to the government many times, stressing what aheavy burden this is for producers.

The country’s pork producers are another group that have been very vocal in their complaints against thegovernment’s policies towards the industry. Currently the Turkish pork sector is facing a major crisis asproduction levels have plummeted in recent years. Following a 2004 crackdown, there are only two pigfarms left in the country where there were once 25, with the few remaining shops selling pork productsnow struggling to survive. While production has fallen, the demand for pork products has actually beenrising steadily in this predominantly Muslim country, along with growth in tourism and the number offoreigners living in major cities such as Istanbul. Some of the few remaining shops defend thegovernment, saying that it has granted licences to those shops with good business and hygiene practices.However, even these shops say that they are now facing possible closure, with supplies of pork quicklyrunning out. As most slaughterhouses are having their licences revoked, the rising demand from hotels,restaurants and shops is not being met, which is leading to a growing illegal trade.

Although the current government has been widely lauded for the improvements it has helped bring aboutin the country’s macroeconomic stability, and the record levels of FDI this has helped attract, there arestill many in the food and drink sector who would like to see a serious revision of certain key policies.

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