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Commercial Insight: Cytotoxic Therapy Cancer Brands - Looming patent expiries limit market growth

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Jul. 18, 2008 - 259 Pages


Table of Contents


CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Strategic scoping and focus
Datamonitor insight into the cytotoxic therapy cancer brands market
Related reports
Upcoming reports
CHAPTER 2 MARKET DEFINITION
Cytotoxic therapies by ATC class
L1A - Alkylating agents
L1B - Antimetabolites
L1C - Vinca alkaloids and other plant-derived products
L1D - Antineoplastic antibiotics
L1X2 - Platinum compounds
Report classification of cytotoxic therapies
Antimetabolites
Mitotic inhibitors
DNA-interactive agents
Topoisomerase poisons
Non-covalent DNA binding drugs
Covalent DNA binding drugs - Alkylating agents
CHAPTER 3 MARKET OVERVIEW AND FORECASTS
Seven major markets
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Sales by country
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Sales by country
Opportunities and threats
US
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Japan
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
5EU
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
France
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Germany
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Italy
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Spain
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
UK
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Rest of World snapshot
Current market assessment
Global cytotoxics market
Global antimetabolites market
Global mitotic inhibitors market
Global DNA-interactive agents market
CHAPTER 4 BRAND DYNAMICS
Brand analysis by class
Mitotic inhibitor brands are the smallest class, representing 16% cytotoxic therapies
Brand analysis by indication
Taxotere and TS-1 are the leading cytotoxic therapy cancer brands in terms of number of approved indications
Breast cancer is the indication with the most approved cytotoxic therapy cancer brands
Brand analysis by company
Sanofi-Aventis has the highest number of cytotoxic therapy cancer brands, although patent expiries are looming
Sanofi-Aventis
Taiho
Johnson & Johnson
Brand analysis by event
Abraxane will experience the greatest number of forecast events across the seven major markets
Brand analysis by sales growth
All cytotoxic drug classes show positive sales growth to 2017
Sales growth of antimetabolite brands
Sales growth of DNA-interactive agent brands
Sales growth of mitotic inhibitor brands
Brand versus generic market snapshot
Seven major markets
Generics - higher volume, lower value; Brands - lower volume, higher value
US
Japan
5EU
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
CHAPTER 5 BRAND PROFILES AND FORECASTS
Abraxane
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Next generation taxane set to enter the EU markets
Alimta
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Line extensions and horizontal expansion will boost Alimta’s sales over the forecast period
Arranon
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Calsed
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Camptosar
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Increased generic competition decreases sales across the seven major markets
Clolar/Evoltra
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Dacogen
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Anticipated high uptake set to make Dacogen a leading cytotoxic therapy cancer brand
Doxil
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Ellence
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Eloxatin
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Top-seller likely to face strong generic competition
Furtulon
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Gemzar
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Blockbuster sales set to be dented by generic entry
Gliadel
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Hycamtin
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Ixempra
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Launch in big indication presents opportunity for novel mitotic inhibitor
Taxol
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Taxotere
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Approval in new indications and extensive use in major tumor types means blockbuster status will be maintained
Temodar
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Tomudex
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Treanda
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
TS-1
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
UFT
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Vidaza
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Entry into new markets will help boost sales to blockbuster status
Xeloda
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
New indications and line extensions will ensure increasing sales
Yondelis
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
APPENDIX A - MARKET ASSUMPTIONS
Country-specific assumptions and events
Effect of Medicare Modernization Act in the US
Biennial price cuts in Japan
Generic erosion assumptions
Data definitions, limitations and assumptions
Standard units
Japanese market data
Derivation of sales forecasts and pricing trends
Forecasts
Forecast methodology
APPENDIX B
Bibliography
Journals
Websites
List of figures
Abbreviations
Report methodology
About Datamonitor
About Datamonitor Healthcare
Disclaimer

Abstract

Introduction

Cytotoxic therapies are the second largest class of cancer therapeutics, generating branded drug sales of over $10 billion in the seven major pharmaceutical markets in 2007. Patent expiries for a number of agents that have achieved blockbuster sales over the years, means that the market continues to attract a considerable amount of generic competition.

Scope
  • Analysis of the performance of each of the cytotoxic therapy cancer brands in the seven major markets, forecast to 2017
  • Analysis and segmentation of the market at various levels including drug class, indication, company and sales growth rate
  • Assessment of the leading cancer brands and drug classes to identify key success factors within this sector
  • Quantification of the market size of the cytotoxic therapy cancer brands in the seven major pharmaceutical markets with the rest of world markets
Highlights

The cytotoxic therapy cancer brands market is currently worth just over $10 billion and is forecast to grow to sales of almost $15 billion. The launch of the antimetabolite brands, Dacogen (decitabine; Eisai/Johnson & Johnson) and Vidaza (azacitadine; Celgene) in the EU and Japanese markets contributes to this growth.

As a class, DNA-interactive cytotoxic therapy cancer brands contributed the highest proportion of sales in 2007 with $4.3 billion. This is in part, driven by the sales of Eloxatin (oxaliplatin; Sanofi-Aventis) and Camptosar. However, by 2017, the antimetabolite brands class are set to overtake.

Twenty four companies are involved in the development of currently approved cytotoxic therapy cancer brands, over half of which have more than one cytotoxic brand on the market. Sanofi-Aventis leads with four out of the 25 cytotoxic brands marketed, which made a collective $4,176m for the company in the seven major markets in 2007.

Reasons to Purchase
  • Quantify the performance of each of the marketed cytotoxic therapy cancer brands in the seven major markets over the period 2007 to 2017
  • Acquire a detailed account of cytotoxic therapy cancer brand dynamics and the events that drive and limit their market growth
  • Benchmark the cytotoxic therapy cancer brands against their generics and rest of class and align their 7MM performance with a rest of world snapshot
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