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Commercial Insight: Targeted Therapy Cancer Brands - High growth market will see eight new blockbusters by 2017

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Jul. 18, 2008 - 272 Pages


Table of Contents


CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Strategic scoping and focus
Datamonitor insight into the targeted therapy cancer brands market
Related reports
Upcoming reports
CHAPTER 2 MARKET DEFINITION
Definition of the cancer market by ATC class
Molecular targeted therapies
L1X3 - Antineoplastic monoclonal antibodies
L1X9 - All other antineoplastics
CHAPTER 3 MARKET OVERVIEW AND FORECASTS
Seven major markets
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Sales by country
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Sales by country
Opportunities and threats
US
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Japan
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
5EU
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
France
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Germany
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Italy
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Spain
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
UK
Current market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Future market assessment
Sales by class
Sales by brand
Rest of World snapshot
Current market assessment
Global monoclonal antibody brand market
Global small molecule brand market
CHAPTER 4 BRAND DYNAMICS
Brand analysis by class
Seven major markets
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
US
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
Japan
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
5EU
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
France
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
Germany
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
Italy
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
Spain
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
UK
Analysis of current market
Analysis of future market
Brand analysis by approval date
Since 2005, 10 new targeted therapies have reached the market
Brand analysis by indication
Solid tumors versus hematological malignancies
Targeted therapy cancer brands approved for solid tumors had the highest market share and showed the largest growth in 2007
Targeted therapy cancer brands approved for solid tumors will gain even more market share by 2017
Analysis of brand by number of approved indications
Avastin is the leading targeted therapy cancer brand in terms of the number of approved indications
Analysis of indication by number of approved targeted therapies
Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma is the indication with the most approved targeted therapy cancer brands
Brand analysis by mode of administration
Intravenously administered targeted therapy cancer brands have the greatest market share
Brand analysis by company
23 different companies are involved in the marketing of targeted therapy cancer brands in the seven major markets
Co-marketed targeted therapy cancer brands have the largest market share in 2007
Brand analysis by event
Avastin will experience the greatest number of forecast events across the seven major markets
CHAPTER 5 BRAND PROFILES AND FORECASTS
Avastin
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Avastin set to become the biggest-selling targeted therapy cancer brand in the seven major markets in 2009
Bexxar
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Campath
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Erbitux
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Erbitux seven major market sales passed $1 billion in 2007 and are set for modest growth through line extensions and new approvals
Gleevec
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Patent expiries across the seven major markets will curb long-term growth of Gleevec sales
Herceptin
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Herceptin well placed to maintain strong performance in breast cancer market
Iressa
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Iressa’s declining sales could experience a turnaround following new Phase III lung cancer trial
Mylotarg
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Nexavar
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Liver cancer approval will help Nexavar to make up for disappointing performance in RCC market
Ontak
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Revlimid
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
First-line multiple myeloma approval will allow Revlimid to reach sales of $1 billion in the seven major markets by 2015
Rituxan
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Rituxan was the biggest-selling targeted therapy cancer brand in 2007
Sprycel
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Generic imatinib and competition from Tasigna will limit Sprycel’s uptake in first-line CML
Sutent
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Indication expansion will enable Sutent to become the leading small molecule targeted therapy cancer brand in 2017
Tarceva
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Additional lung cancer approvals will help drive growth of Tarceva sales
Targretin
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Tasigna
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Tasigna is well-positioned to compensate for Gleevec patent expiry
Thalomid
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Torisel
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Tykerb
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Breast cancer line extensions will push Tykerb sales beyond $1.4 billion in the seven major markets by 2017
Vectibix
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Vectibix is set to lag behind Erbitux and Avastin in the colorectal cancer market
Velcade
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Velcade seven major market sales will reach $1 billion by 2010 following approval for first-line multiple myeloma
Zevalin
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
Zolinza
Brand profile
Brand forecast events
Brand forecast to 2017
APPENDIX A - MARKET ASSUMPTIONS
Country-specific assumptions and events
Effect of Medicare Modernization Act in the US
Biennial price cuts in Japan
Generic erosion assumptions
Data definitions, limitations and assumptions
Standard units
Japanese market data
Derivation of sales forecasts and pricing trends
Forecasts
Forecast methodology
APPENDIX B
Bibliography
List of figures
Abbreviations
Report methodology
About Datamonitor
About Datamonitor Healthcare
Disclaimer

Abstract

Introduction

Targeted therapies are the top selling class of cancer drug, reaching sales of nearly $15 billion in the seven major pharmaceutical markets in 2007. The high growth of this therapy class makes it attractive to drug developers, resulting in 10 new entrants to the market since 2005. More drugs are likely to gain approval in the near future, contributing to a rapidly changing competitive landscape.

Scope
  • Forecast sales of every marketed targeted therapy cancer brand in each of the seven major markets over the period 2007 to 2017
  • Analysis and segmentation of the market at various levels including drug class, indication, company and mode of administration
  • Comprehensive brand profiles and analysis, including approval dates, patent expiries and all key events likely to impact sales
  • Snapshot of the targeted therapy cancer brands market in the rest of the world
Highlights

The targeted therapy cancer brands market is rapidly expanding and is forecast to maintain a high growth rate over the forecast period. The market will reach a value of over $42 billion by 2017 in the seven major pharmaceutical markets, growing at a CAGR of 11%

Approvals in new tumor types with high unmet need, use in earlier treatment settings and growing physician familiarity are among the factors likely to drive sales of the best performing targeted therapy brands. However, pharmacoeconomic pressures and the launch of generic and pipeline competitors will dampen the growth of certain brands

Monoclonal antibody targeted therapy cancer brands achieved higher sales than small molecule agents in 2007 and will remain the leading class over the forecast period. This is driven by the considerable success of the monoclonal antibody brands Avastin, Herceptin and Rituxan

Reasons to Purchase
  • Quantify the performance of each of the marketed targeted therapy cancer brands in the seven major markets over the period 2007 to 2017
  • Assess the changing key opportunities and threats both for currently marketed and pipeline targeted therapy cancer brands
  • Identify the leading brands in this market over the next 10 years and understand the key factors driving their success
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