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Italy Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 22, 2008 - 62 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q308
Italy Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
Italy Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
Italy Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Italy - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Italy Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts
Canned Food
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Drinks Indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Agriculture At A Glance
Table: Italy Organic Agricultural Data
Table: Italy Agricultural Sub-Sector Production
Table: Italy Dairy Industry Data
Agricultural Commodity Price
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Sales Value By Format In Italy's Mass Grocery Retail Market (US$mn)
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Italy's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Sales Value By Format In Italy's Mass Grocery Retail Market (US$mn)
Annual Average Sales Per Outlet By Format - 2007 (US$mn)
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players In Italy's Food & Drink Sector - 2007 . 41
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In Italy's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - 2007
Table: Key Players In Italy's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - 2007 (continued)
Company Analysis
Food
Gruppo Galbani SpA
Perfetti van Melle SpA
Gruppo Barilla
Carapelli Firenze SE SpA
Drink
Davide Campari-Milano SpA
Mass Grocery Retail
Conad
Recession Scenario
Table: Impact Of Deep US Recession On Total Food Consumption In Selected Eurozone Markets - Cumulative Difference Between Core And
Recession Scenarios (EURbn)
Table: Impact Of Deep US Recession On Total Food Consumption In Selected Western European Markets - Cumulative Difference Between
Core And Recession Scenarios (%)
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

Italian consumers have been slower than their counterparts in other European countries to embraceprivate label food and drink products and brand name goods still dominate the sector. However, there arenow signs that the combination of rising food prices and stagnant economic growth may be encouragingmore Italian consumers to move away from branded products, providing a boost to producers of privatelabels.

Italian consumers have one of the highest food consumption levels in Europe. According to BMI figureswhich have been derived from national surveys of household expenditure Italian consumers spent anaverage of EUR2,075 on food in 2007, French consumers spent EUR2,058, Spanish consumers spentEUR1,397 and German consumers spent only EUR1,166.

This very high level of spending suggests that Italian consumers are prepared to sacrifice spending inother areas to ensure they buy quality ingredients and this can partly explain Italian consumer’s reluctanceto embrace private label products. Currently brand name producers even dominate the market for stapleproducts, such as milk and pasta. For example brand name pasta producer Barilla controls around 45% ofthe Italian pasta market and diary producer Parmalat controls around one third of the market for UHTmilk.

However, there are now signs that the dominance of brand name products may be coming to an end. InMarch, Parmalat revealed that its fresh milk products have struggled to compete against retailer’scheaper, private label brands, which have been marketed aggressively at a time when consumers arefeeling the pinch of rising food prices. This decline in demand for branded milk pushed down the firm’smargins and meant that the firm’s EBITDA in Italy fell by 12% in the first quarter of 2008. With higherprices likely to push even more consumers towards private label products, it is difficult to see howParmalat can improve its margins without losing even more customers.

Co-op Italia is Italy’s largest retailer and has put its weight behind private label products. Co-op has usedprivate label products to drive down the price of staple foods and develop its group identify. Co-op Italianow accounts for around 30% of all the private label products sold in Italy. However, the private labelmarket is still very immature and offers enormous potential for growth.

BMI predicts that, as in other EU countries, consumers will move towards private label products instages, with staples such as milk, bread and pasta being the first to register strong growth followed bymore highly processed products such as confectionery and prepared meals. Although the market forprivate label goods in Italy is still relatively small, when compared to other Western European countries,this immaturity also means that there are currently a plethora of growth opportunities.

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