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Slovenia Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 22, 2008 - 75 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: CEE Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Q308
Slovenia’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Rankings - Slovenia’s Global Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
Slovenia Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
Slovenia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Slovenia Economic Activity
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Slovenia Food Consumption Indicators
Confectionery
Table: Slovenia Confectionery Consumption Indicators
Canned Food
Table: Slovenian Canned Food - Historical Data and F 20
Trade
Table: Sectoral Trade Indicators - Export, Import and Balance Value - Historical Data and Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Food Consumption
Confectionery
Canned Food
Trade
Agriculture
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Slovenia Alcoholic Drinks Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drinks Indicators - Value - Historical Data & Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Indicators - Volume and Value - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Wine
Hot Drinks
Soft Drinks
Agriculture At A Glance
Table: Slovenia Agricultural Sub-Sector Production
Table: Total And Agricultural Area Of Agricultural Holdings*
Table: Slovenia Organic Agricultural Data
Table: Production Of Poultry Meat And Eggs
Table: Fishing Data (kg)
Table: Cows’ Milk Collected And Milk Products Obtained By Dairies (tonnes)
Table: Production Of Meat And Milk*
Agricultural Commodity Price
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Slovenia Mass Grocery Retail - Value Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table Mercator - Private Label As % Of Product Sales In Foreign Markets
Table: Structure Of The Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Value US$ Million
Table: Estimated Value Of Sales Per Outlet, 2007
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players - Slovenia's Mass Retail Grocery Market, 2007
Food And Drink
Table 5: Key Players - Slovenia's Food & Drink Market, 2007
Company Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Engrotus
Mercator
Spar Slovenija d.o.o
Food
MIP
Zito
Panvita
Perutnina Ptuj
Droga Kolinska
Ljubljanske mlekarne
ETA Kamnik
Drink
Fructal
Pivovarna Laško
Tobacco
Tobaèna Ljubljana
Deep US Recession Scenario
Global Scenario
Table: World GDP Growth
Table: US GDP Growth, Investment Growth, and Private Consumption Growth
Table: Eurozone GDP Growth
Table: Asia, Excluding Japan, GDP Growth
Table: China GDP Growth
Table: Mexico GDP Growth
Table: Africa GDP Growth
CEE Food & Drink Scenario
US Deep Recession Scenario's Implications For The CEE
Table: Impact Of Deep Us Recession On Total Food Consumption (Us$Bn) In Selected Cee Markets - Cumulative Us$ Impact Over 5yr
Forecast Period
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

Slovenia is a small, but well-developed Central and Eastern European (CEE) food and drinks market. Theindustry has benefited from a number of factors, including an excellent logistics network, strongcommercial ties with Western Europe, high per capita disposable income and a stable politicalenvironment. Over the forecast period, the country’s affluence will drive premiumisation and innovationin the industry, providing niche opportunities for market players. In the light of the above, in BMI’sBusiness Environment Rankings for Q308, Slovenia retains its enviable second position, despite themajor drawback of only having 2mn population, as well as being a saturated and a mature market.

However, despite the rising demand for Slovenian exports, based on the Balkan state’s relative costcompetitiveness,the position of local players is not enviable. The membership of the European Union(EU) and - more recently - the eurozone, has increased the interest of major foreign companies inSlovenia and therefore the competition in the market. As a result, the domestic industry - in both foodand drink and mass grocery retail (MGR) areas - is consolidating and aiming to develop interests in otherproduct and geographic areas.

Among the most recent developments are the December 2007 strategic tie-up between Slovenian retailgroup Mercator and Mex Market in Montenegro, as the former continues to expand into more regionalmarkets. Similarly, in April 2008, Slovenia's biggest food producer Droga Kolinska announced that itwould sell off some of its less profitable brands, as it seeks to reduce the portfolio to focus on the mostsuccessful brands in the face of rising commodity costs. Earlier in the year, Droga Kolinska opened a pâtéplant in Bosnia and Herzegovina, illustrating the company’s commitment to regional market expansion inthe face of constricting opportunities at home.

Nevertheless, overall food consumption is forecast to increase from US$4.48bn in 2007 to overUS$5.78bn in 2012, with per capita spend rising by almost 40%. Slovenian consumers will continue todemand high quality, fresh food, which will provide growth opportunities for most players in the food anddrink industry. Options for cheaper foodstuffs will be provided by discounts offered by hypermarkets andlarge food outlets that benefit from economies of scale, and which will vie in price in the face of risingcompetition in the sector, although the demand for novel foodstuffs will stimulate the development ofpremium products.

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