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Malaysia Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 22, 2008 - 63 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Ratings Q308
Malaysia’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating . 10
Table: Malaysia’s Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
Malaysia Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
Malaysia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Malaysia Economic Activity
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Confectionery
Value/Volume Sales Of Confectionery Sub-Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Trade
Malaysia Food & Drink Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Agriculture
Food Production
Halal
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Malaysia Beverage Sub-Sector Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Agriculture At A Glance
Table: Malaysia Agricultural Sub-Sector Production Volume Data
Table: Malaysia Organic Agricultural Data
Table: Malaysia Dairy Industry Data (‘000 tonnes, unless stated)
Agricultural Commodity Price
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Malaysia Mass Grocery Retail Sales - Sales Value By Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Malaysia’s Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of Malaysia’s Mass Grocery Retail Market - Value Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Average Sales Per Outlet By Format - 2007
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players In Malaysian Food & Drink Sector - 2007
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In Malaysia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2007
Company Analysis
Food
Nestlé Malaysia
Yeo Hiap Seng (Malaysia) Berhad (YHS)
Drink
Guinness Anchor Berhad
Carlsberg Malaysia
Mass Grocery Retail
Carrefour
AEON (M) Bhd
Deep US Recession Scenario
Global Scenario
Table: World GDP Growth
Table: US GDP Growth, Investment Growth And Private Consumption Growth
Table: Eurozone GDP Growth
Table: Asia, Excluding Japan, GDP Growth
Table: China GDP Growth
Table: Mexico GDP Growth
Table: Africa GDP Growth
Asia Pacific Food & Drink Scenario
Table: Impact Of Deep US Recession On Total Food Consumption (US$bn) In Selected Asia Pacific Markets - Cumulative US$ Impact Over
5-yr Forecast Period
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

Malaysia remains an often confusing and contradictory market for food and drink investors. On the onehand, a small population and relative industry maturity pose real challenges to investors, on the other, finda niche for yourself and this increasingly consumer-oriented and resource rich market can providehandsome returns. The dual prospects - discussed at length in BMI’s newly-published Q308 MalaysiaFood & Drink Report - go some way to explaining Malaysia’s mid-table position in BMI’s Food &Drink Business Environment Ratings; strong opportunities do exist, they just are not necessarily as easyto find as in other, more attractive regional markets.

A number of events from the past quarter highlight this trend. Leading brewers Carlsberg Malaysia andGuinness Anchor Berhad have continued to temper positivity surrounding their interim results withstatements about how challenging the future remains; repeated government excise increases, a thrivingblack market for alcoholic drinks and spiralling input costs the stated black clouds. Meanwhile food andbeverage producer Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS) has taken the opposite approach, stating positivity whenperformance points to the contrary; YHS has struggled with unsuccessful product launches and a lack ofpenetration in higher value, innovative channels and posted a loss of US$6.2mn in 2007 - a loss it plansto reserve in 2008.

However, while fierce competition in the comparatively small food and beverage market might promptthe need for caution, the level of investment being poured into Malaysia’s mass grocery retail industrysuggests that consumerism is still alive and well. French giant Carrefour has recently pledgedUS$374mn towards doubling its hypermarket business and potentially entering the convenience sector,while multinational rival Tesco has confirmed a US$240mn investment in opening 11 new hypermarketsin the country; convenience major 7-Eleven Malaysia, meanwhile, plans to open a further 100 stores.

Examining the expansion plans of these leading retailers in more detail, seems to reveal more about whatis at the crux of achieving success in this competitive market; simple expansion is not a viable growthpath in such a small market, expansion needs to be targeted and tailored closely to consumer needs.

Tesco, Carrefour, Dairy Farm and AEON have all pledged significant investment towards thedevelopment of private label brands in Malaysia, such products representing the perfect balance betweenthe aspirational consumer’s desire to participate in modern retail and the inevitable price barriers thatexist in what is still an emerging market.

The performance of Swiss giant Nestlé this quarter further illustrates the importance of targeted growth.The speed with which Nestlé spotted Malaysia’s potential as an important global hub for halal producehas allowed it to get a head-start on its rivals and it is product development in this category in particularthat is thought to have driven export sales growth of 32% to US$60.3mn in Q108.

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