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Venezuela Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 21, 2008 - 52 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Q308
Venezuela’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Venezuela’s Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
Venezuela Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
Venezuela Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Venezuela Economic Activity
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Venezuela Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Prepared Food / Canned Food
Dairy
Meat
Seafood
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Agriculture At A Glance
Table: Venezuela Dairy Industry Data (‘000 Tonnes, Unless Stated)
Table: Venezuela Organic Agricultural Data, 2006
Table: Venezuela Rural/Urban Population Breakdown
Agricultural Commodity Price
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Venezuela Mass Grocery Retail - Value Sales By Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type - 2007 & 2017
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Venezuela's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Numbers Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of Venezuela's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value By Format (US$bn)
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players In Venezuela's Food & Drink Sector, 2007
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In Venezuela's Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2007
Company Analysis
Food
Alimentos Heinz CA
Cargill de Venezuela
Empresas Polar
Drink
Coca-Cola FEMSA
Pernod Ricard Venezuela
Mass Grocery Retail
Mercal CA
Makro Venezuela
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

Over the past two years the alcoholic drinks industry in Venezuela has been under attack from thecountry’s President Hugo Chávez, as discussed in BMI's newly published Q308 Venezuela Food & DrinkReport. Chávez, who claims to rarely drink, has introduced a raft of new taxes and made it more difficultfor importers to access the US dollars they need to purchase brand name spirits from multinational firms.Despite these moves, alcohol consumption continues to rise at both ends of the socio-economic spectrum.However, BMI expects these anti-alcohol measures to eventually have a negative effect on this rate ofgrowth.

Chávez has attacked the lack of morals in Venezuela’s society and raised concerns that too manyVenezuelans swill beer on street corners. Chávez began his crusade against the alcohol industry bybanning beer trucks that traditionally acted as mobile markets selling beer in the country’s poorerneighbourhoods. The Venezuelan beer industry is dominated by local firm Empresas Polar S.A. whichcontrols around 80% of the market. Another local firm Cervecería Regional controls around 12% of themarket, while multinational brewer InBev controls around 7%.

In October 2007 Chávez stepped up his campaign against alcohol by announcing a substantial increase inthe tax charged on beer and spirits. In addition Chávez announced that stores near schools, churches andcultural centres would not be allowed to sell alcohol and that the government would no longer makegovernment dollars available to import luxury spirits such as whiskies. With dollars on the black marketchanging hands for twice the official exchange rate this policy would significantly increase the priceconsumers are forced to pay for imported spirits.

Venezuela has the highest per capita beer consumption rate in Latin America and despite these measuresdesigned to curb consumption sales continue to climb. Between 2002 and 2007 consumption in volumeterms increased by 13% however BMI is forecasting that the additional taxes, plus continued measures toreduce sales outlets will eventually take their toll and this rate of growth is expected to slow down overthe next five years.

Venezuela is also a big consumer of spirits, with whiskey particularly popular. According to the ScotchWhiskey Association Venezuela is currently the fifth biggest market for Scotch in the world, however ifprices are pushed up substantially demand in this sector is also likely to decline. BMI is thereforeforecasting that consumption of spirits in volume terms will increase by only a modest 7% over the nextfive years and that consumption of imported luxury spirits may actually start to decline.

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