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Hungary Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 21, 2008 - 68 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: CEE Food & Drink Ratings - Q3 2008
Hungary’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Rankings - Hungary’s Global Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
Hungary Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
Hungary Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Hungary Economic Activity
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Hungary Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Hungary Confectionery Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Canned Food
Table: Hungary Canned Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Trade
Table: Sectoral Trade Indicators - Export, Import and Balance Value - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Food Consumption
Confectionery
Canned Food
Trade
Agriculture
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Hungary Alcoholic Drinks Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Hot Drinks
Table: Hungary Hot Drinks Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Hungary Soft Drinks Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Beer
Wine
Spirits
Hot Drinks
Soft Drinks
Agriculture At A Glance
Table: Hungary Agricultural Production Statistics
Table: Hungary Organic Agricultural Data
Agricultural Commodity Price
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Hungary Mass Grocery Retail - Value Sales By Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Leading Retailers
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Value (US$bn)
Table: Average Annual Sales Per Outlet By Format, 2007
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food And Drink
Table: Leading Companies In Hungary's Food & Drink Sector, 2007
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players - Hungary's Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2007
Company Analysis
Food
Fornetti Group
Drink
Sió-Eckes
Heineken Hungária Breweries
Coca-Cola Beverages Magyaroszág Kft.
Mass Grocery Retail
Tesco
CBA Kereskedelmi
Deep US Recession Scenario
Global Scenario
Table: World GDP Growth
Table: US GDP Growth, Investment Growth, and Private Consumption Growth
Table: Eurozone GDP Growth
Table: Asia, Excluding Japan, GDP Growth
Table: China GDP Growth
Table: Mexico GDP Growth
Table: Africa GDP Growth
CEE Food & Drink Scenario
Table: Impact Of Deep Us Recession On Total Food Consumption (US$Bn) In Selected CEE Markets - Cumulative US$ Impact Over 5yr
Forecast Period
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

Despite expected difficulties in the Hungarian marked, due to prospects of a sharp drop in externaldemand and ongoing fiscal tightening measures, foreign retailers have remained interested in thecountry’s potential in the discount sector. In February 2008, German discounter Aldi announced thatit will open its first Hungarian store in April this year. Shortly afterwards, in April 2008, Austrianretailer Spar reached an agreement with Germany's Tengelmann to acquire its Plus discount chain inHungary, the operations of which need to be turned around following months of underperformance.

Finally, one of top domestic retailers, CBA, announced its plans to open 16 new stores in 2008, with10 of these openings scheduled for the first half of the year.

Similarly, the country’s food and drinks sector also continues to show a considerable amount ofdynamism. In April 2008, Coca-Cola Beverages Hungary (CCBH) announced an opening of a newproduction line at its plant in Hungary, which will help significantly boost capacity at the plant whichproduces preservatives-free ice teas, fruit-based refreshments and juices. This is just the latestinvestment by CCBH, which will now no longer have to import these drinks from the group's Polisharm. With this latest investment, CCBH is now well positioned to become a major exporter to otherregional markets and is anticipating exports of HUF10bn (US$62.4mn) this year alone.

In the meantime, Hungarian companies are continuing to expand abroad. In March 2008, Hungarianbakery firm Fornetti Groupe announced a EUR1mn (US$1.57mn) investment through itsMacedonian branch to build a distribution centre and cooling facility for frozen bakery goods in thecapital Skopje. According to local press reports, this is the first step in a broader expansion strategywhich includes plans to establish a production facility in line with EU standards, which is expected tolaunch full production within two years.

In terms of its regional attractiveness, as measured by BMI’s Food and Drink Business EnvironmentRanking Hungary receives an extremely high score for its food and drink market, due to the verystrong - and rising - spending levels of Hungarian consumers. In the forecast period, Hungarianconsumers are expected to trade up to more premium products, thereby garnering it a top score for thecountry for this indicator. Hungary also scores very well on risks to realisation of potential returns,with its stable economy and attractive business environment, thus ranking first in the table surveying14 markets in the region.

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