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United Kingdom Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 24, 2008 - 73 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q3 2008
Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - United Kingdom’s Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
United Kingdom Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
United Kingdom Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: United Kingdom - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: UK Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Canned Food / Prepared Food
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Prepared Food
Livestock
Dairy
Seafood
Organic Food
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Soft Drinks And Bottled Water
Table: Soft Drink Value Sales - Historical Data & Foreca 28
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Agriculture At A Glance
Table: United Kingdom Agricultural Sub-Sector Production
Table: United Kingdom Dairy Industry Data
Table: United Kingdom Organic Agricultural Data
Agricultural Commodity Price
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Structure of UK Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales By Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Online Retailing
Table: Structure Of The UK's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of The UK's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value By Format (US$bn), estimates
Table: Annual Average Sales Per Outlet By Format (US$mn) - 2006
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food And Drink
Key Players in the UK's Food & Drink Sector - 2006/2007. 46
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Players in the UK's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Analysis
Food
Associated British Foods
Dairy Crest Group Plc
Drink
Diageo
Cadbury Schweppes Plc
Mass Grocery Retail
Tesco
J. Sainsbury Plc
Asda
Deep US Recession Scenario
Global Scenario
Table: World GDP Growth
Table: US GDP Growth, Investment Growth And Private Consumption Growth
Table: Eurozone GDP Growth
Table: Asia, Excluding Japan, GDP Growth
Table: China GDP Growth
Table: Mexico GDP Growth
Table: Africa GDP Growth
Western Europe Recession Scenario
Table: Impact Of Deep US Recession On Total Food Consumption In Selected Western European Markets - Cumulative Difference Between
Core And Recession Scenarios (%)
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

The amount of focus given to private labels versus branded goods is a key decision for both MassGrocery Retailers (MGRs) and food producers. Nearly all retailers carry at least some private label goods,and some, such as upmarket retailer Marks & Spencer (M&S), carry exclusively private label products.Meanwhile, many of the UK’s largest food and drink producers manufacture both branded and privatelabel goods. With the market share for private label goods growing, there is a strong argument forproducers to focus production in this area. However, producers that focus on branded products have theadvantage of negotiating with retailers from a point of strength, particularly if consumer demand for theirproducts is high, and can generally achieve greater margins.

These issues have come to the fore in the second quarter of 2008. In May, Marks & Spencer revealed thatit would start selling some of the country’s most popular branded products, such as Nestlé coffee andHeinz baked beans. Meanwhile several manufacturers, including the UK’s largest retailer, PremierFoods, began downsizing their private activities to focus on higher-margin branded products.

Marks & Spencer’s decision to sell branded products has been prompted by the growing popularity ofupmarket private label ranges at other UK retailers. All of the major UK MGRs now have their ownpremium private label ranges, reducing the competitive advantage that Marks & Spencer once enjoyed.All of these retailers have enjoyed considerable success with their private label ranges and J Sainsbury(Sainsbury’s) recently reported that its upmarket ‘Taste the difference’ along with its economy ‘Basics’range were among the most important drivers of growth throughout 2007.

Despite the rise in importance of private label products for retailers many food manufacturers are lessenamoured with the sector. As production of private label products can be shifted between manufacturers,retailers generally have a strong position when negotiating supply terms. As an example of this, in May2008, Northern Foods announced that it is to close a factory in Lincolnshire that supplies ready meals toM&S after it could not agree acceptable supply terms. Northern Foods claims that the factory is only justbreaking even and that the new terms demanded by M&S make the factory unviable. This highlights thewafer thin margins that many firms producing private label products are forced to operate on.

Another firm reducing its reliance on private label products is Premier Foods. The firm is planning to sellits RF Brookes subsidiary, which supplies chilled food to major retailers and the food service industry,and its Avana Bakeries unit, which is one of the main suppliers of cakes and confectionery to Marks &Spencer. Both Premier Foods and Northern Foods have a portfolio of very strong consumer brands, suchas Hovis bread and Goodfella’s pizza respectively. Although both firms are unlikely to leave the privatelabel sector entirely anytime soon, this downsizing may be a signal that the major UK food producersmay not be willing to go on supplying private label products if the returns cannot match the returns thatcan be achieved by focusing on brands.

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