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Brazil Food and Drink Report Q3 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 11, 2008 - 55 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Q308
Brazil’s Food And Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Rankings - Brazil’s Global Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Food And Drink
Brazil Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Mass Grocery Retail
Brazil Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Brazil Economic Activity
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Consumption
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Trade Indicators, 2005-2012 (US$mn)
Canned Food
Table: Brazil’s Canned Food Sales, 2005-2012
Confectionery
Table: Brazil’s Confectionery Sales, 2005-2012
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Prepared Food / Canned Food
Confectionery
Dairy
Meat
Seafood
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Soft Drinks And Bottled Water
Table: Soft Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Hot Drinks
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Agriculture At A Glance.
Table: Brazil’s Dairy Industry Data, 2000-2006
Table: Brazil’s Agricultural Sub-Sector Production Data, 2000-2006
Table: Brazil Rural/Urban Population Breakdown
Agricultural Commodity Price
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Brazil’s Mass Grocery Retail Value Sales By Format, 2005-2012 (US$bn)
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, 2007 And 2017 (%)
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets, 2002-2007
Table: Structure Of Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Market, Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Average Annual Sales Value By Format, 2007 (US$mn)
Competitive Landscape.
Key Players
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players in Brazil's Food and Drink Sector
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2007
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Sector (cont.)
Company Analysis
Food
Perdigão
Sadia SA
Drink
Embotelladora Andina
AmBev
Mass Grocery Retail
Companhia Brasileira de Distribuição (CBD)
Wal-Mart
Appendix
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits of Potential Returns
Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

The Brazilian meat industry is one of the largest and most profitable of all the Brazilian food sectors.However, its market leading position is constantly threatened by health scares and export bans, whichhave the power to wreak havoc on firms’ revenues. Many of the largest firms have sought to diversifyinto other countries and other sectors in an effort to shield themselves from this threat. However, a ban onBrazilian beef by the EU in the first quarter of 2008 highlights the precarious position of many food firmsoperating in this sector.

In February 2008 the EU enacted a complete ban on Brazilian beef imports after concerns were raisedabout the country’s handling of the latest foot-and-mouth outbreak. An EU Food and Veterinary Office(FVO) report revealed irregularities regarding animal registration, identification, vaccination andcertification. Gradually, following stringent inspection procedures, farms are being again given access tothe EU market, but as of April 2008, only 95 Brazilian farms have so far received approval. Thisrepresents just 1% of the total number permitted to export to the EU before the ban came into place. Withthe EU the largest export market for Brazilian beef, this action will have a significant effect on the 2008revenues of Brazilian meat firms. As confirmation of this, the country’s largest beef firm, JBS, hasrevealed that, in the first quarter of 2008, its beef exports were 20.6% lower than in the same period ayear ago.

This action by the EU comes just a year after Russia lifted its own ban on Brazilian meat. Brazil isRussia’s biggest meat supplier, but in 2005, after a widespread outbreak of foot and mouth disease,Russia prohibited all meat imports from eight Brazilian states. On December 1 2007, this ban was lifted,but it had already forced some Brazilian firms to shift entire production lines to Brazilian states where theban was not applied.

In a response to the EU ban, Brazilian meat processing firm Marfrig, which derives around 16% of itsrevenues from exports to the EU, announced it would expand its operations in Argentina and Uruguay.This kind of geographical diversification has been pursued by all of the country’s leading meat firms andis one way to negate the effect of bans on Brazilian meat. JBS now has significant operations in Argentinaand has been rapidly expanding in the US. However, despite this diversification all of the leadingBrazilian firms, including JBS and Marfrig, rely heavily on meat produced in Brazil and ensuring thatthese firms do not have to endure an endless cycle of export bans is crucial for safeguarding the long-termhealth of the Brazilian meat industry.


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