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Booming Retail Sector in India

Published by: RNCOS

Published: Jun. 1, 2008 - 90 Pages


Table of Contents


1. Analyst View

2. Indian Retail Industry - Overview

3. Consumer Behavior

3.1 Demographics

3.2 Wealth Distribution

3.3 Private Consumption

3.4 Personal Income

3.5 Rural & Urban Retail

4. Indian Retail Industry - Current & Future Scenario

4.1 Food Retailing

4.2 Non-food Retailing

4.2.1 Apparel

4.2.2 Footwear

4.2.3 Cosmetics

4.2.4 Consumer Durables

4.2.5 Jewelry

5. Modern Retailing

5.1 Retail Formats

5.2 Shopping Mall

6. Emerging Areas in Modern Retail

6.1 Rural Retail

6.2 Processed Food

6.3 Organized Telecom Retailing

6.4 Luxury Goods & Services

6.5 Private Label

6.6 Online Sales

6.7 Financial Services Distribution

6.8 IT Infrastructure

6.9 Commercial Refrigeration Services

6.10 Mall Management

6.11 Third Party Logistic Providers

6.12 Wooden Interior Design Industry

6.13 Franchising Industry

7. Roadblocks

7.1 Retail Fraud

7.2 Policy Hurdles

7.3 Real Estate Prices

7.4 Supply Chain Problem

8. Key Players

8.1 Pantaloon Retail (India) Ltd

8.2 Reliance Retail Limited (RRL)

8.3 Subhiksha

8.4 RPG Group - Spencers

8.5 Trent Ltd


List of Figures:


Figure 2-1: India - Rural & Urban Retail Market (%), 2007E

Figure 2-2: India - Organized & Unorganized Retail Market (%), 2007E

Figure 3-1: India - Population (in Billion), 2001-2007E

Figure 3-2: India - Population by Gender (%), 2007E

Figure 3-3: India - Median Household Income (in US$), 2001*-2007E

Figure 3-4: India - Private Consumption Expenditure (in Rs Crore), 2001-02 to 2007-08E

Figure 3-5: India - Consumer Expenditure by Segment (%), 2007E

Figure 3-6: India - Personal Disposable Income (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 3-7: India - Per Head Personal Disposable Income (in US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 3-8: India - Rural & Urban Retail Market (in Billion US$), 2007E

Figure 4-1: India - Retail Industry (in Billion US$), 2007*-2012F

Figure 4-2: India - Retail Industry by Segment (%), 2007E & 2012F

Figure 4-3: India - Food, Beverages & Tobacco Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007*-2012F

Figure 4-4: India - Vegetables Consumption (in Kg per Head), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-5: India - Fruits Consumption (in Kg per Head), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-6: India - Meat Consumption (in Kg per Head), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-7: India - Fish Consumption (in Kg per Head), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-8: India - Confectionery Product Sales (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-9: India - Milk Consumption (in Liter per Head), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-10: India - Coffee Consumption (in Kg per Head), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-11: India - Tea Consumption (in Kg per Head), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-12: India - Alcoholic Drink Sales (in Billion Liter), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-13: India - Soft Drink Sales (in Billion Liter), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-14: India - Apparel Market (in Billion US$), 2007*-2012F

Figure 4-15: India - Apparel Market by Segment (%), 2007E

Figure 4-16: India - Men’s Apparel Market* by Segment (%), 2007E

Figure 4-17: India - Men’s Apparel Market by Branded & Unbranded Products (%), 2006

Figure 4-18: India - Men’s Apparel Market by Ready-to-Wear & Tailor-made Products (%), 2006

Figure 4-19: India - Women’s Apparel Market* by Segment (%), 2007E

Figure 4-20: India - Women’s Apparel Market by Branded & Unbranded Products (%), 2006

Figure 4-21: India - Women’s Apparel Market by Ready-to-Wear & Tailor-made Products (%), 2006

Figure 4-22: India - Footwear Retail Market (in Billion US$), 2007*-2012F

Figure 4-23: India - Footwear Retail Market* by Product (%), 2006

Figure 4-24: India - Footwear Retail Market* by Target Segment (%), 2006

Figure 4-25: India - Branded & Unbranded Footwear Market (%), 2007

Figure 4-26: India - Clothing & Footwear Consumption in Rural & Urban Region (%), 2005

Figure 4-27: India - Cosmetics Market (in Million US$), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-28: India - Cosmetics Market by Domestic & Foreign Brands (%), 2007E

Figure 4-29: India - Consumer Durables Market (in Billion US$), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-30: India - TV Sales (in Billion US$), 2007E & 2011F

Figure 4-31: India - TV Sales (in Million Units), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-32: India - Forecast for LCD TV Sales (in Million Units), 2008-2011

Figure 4-33: India - Forecast for Plasma TV Sales (in ‘000 Units), 2008-2011

Figure 4-34: India - Refrigerator Sales (in Million Units), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-35: India - Direct Cool & Frost-free Refrigerator Sales (%), 2007E & 2011F

Figure 4-36: India - PC Shipment* (in Million Units), 2007**-2011F

Figure 4-37: India - Desktop & Notebook Shipment (%), 2007

Figure 4-38: India - AC Sales (in Million US$), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-39: India - AC Sales (in Million Units), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-40: India - Washing Machine Sales (in Million Units), 2007*-2011F

Figure 4-41: India - Jewelry Retail Sales (in Rs Crore), 2007*-2010F

Figure 5-1: India - Organized Retail Market (in Billion US$), 2007*-2011F

Figure 5-2: India - Organized Retail Market by Segment (%), 2007E

Figure 5-3: India - Number of Shopping Malls (2007, 2010F & 2015F)

Figure 5-4: India - Retail Space (in Million Sq Ft), 2007, 2010F & 2015F

Figure 5-5: India - Forecast for Mall Space by Region (%), 2011

Figure 6-1: India - Rural Retail Market (in Billion US$), 2007E & 2012F

Figure 6-2: India - Forecast for Organized & Unorganized Retail in Rural Region (%), 2012

Figure 6-3: India - Share of Processed Food in Food Market (%), 2006-07

Figure 6-4: India - Fruit & Vegetable Processing Sector in Food Processing Industry (%), 2007E, 2010F & 2025F

Figure 6-5: India - Share in Global Processed Food Trade (%), 2007E & 2015F

Figure 6-6: India - Forecast for Organized Telecom Retailing (in Rs Crore), 2008-2010

Figure 6-7: India - Forecast for Luxury Goods Market (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 6-8: India - Forecast for Number of Household Earning > US$15,000 p.a. (in Million), 2008-2012

Figure 6-9: India - Forecast for Share of Private Labels in Retail Sales (%), 2012

Figure 6-10: India - Forecast for Online Sales (in Rs Crore), 2008-09 to 2011-12

Figure 6-11: India - Forecast for Number of Internet Users (in Million), 2008-2011

Figure 6-12: India - Forecast for IT Revenue from Retail Industry (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 6-13: India - Forecast for Cold Chain Storage (in Rs Crore), 2008-2012

Figure 6-14: India - Forecast for Outsourced Logistics Market (in Billion US$), 2008-2011

Figure 6-15: India - Forecast for Wooden Interior Product Market* (in Rs Crore), 2008-2012


List of Tables:


Table 2-1: Global - Retail Development Index by Country (2008)

Table 3-1: India - Population by Age Group (in Million), 2001-2007E

Table 3-2: India - Households by Income Bracket (in Million), 2001*-2007E

Table 3-3: India - Private Consumption Expenditure by Item (in Rs Crore), 2001-02 to 2006-07E

Table 3-4: India - Rural Consumer Demand by Category (%), 2001-02 & 2009-10F

Table 4-1: India - Four Largest Organized Retail Segments by Sales (in Million US$), 2002 & 2007

Table 4-2: India - Private Food Consumption Expenditure by Product (%), 2001-02 to 2006-07E

Table 4-3: India - PC Market by Vendor (%), 2007

Table 5-1: India - Major Formats of In-store Retailing

Table 5-2: India - Number of Malls in Major Cities by Gross Leasable Area (in Million Sq Ft), 2008E

Table 7-1: India - Entry Route by Foreign Retailers

Abstract

India is one of the most attractive destinations for retailers from all across the globe. Thanks to the entry of corporate, changing consumer behavior & lifestyle, increasing influence of western culture and rising income, the Indian retail industry has seen phenomenal growth in the last five years (2001-2006) and organized retailing has finally emerged from the shadows of unorganized retailing and is contributing significantly to the growth of the overall retail sector, according to ""Booming Retail Sector in India”, a new market research report by RNCOS. The research report helps the client to analyze the opportunities and factors that will make the Indian retail industry a success.

Key Findings
  • Organized retail market in India is expected to reach US$ 50 Billion mark by 2011.
  • Number of shopping malls is expected to increase at a CAGR of more than 18.9% from 2007 to 2015.
  • Rural market is projected to dominate the retail industry landscape in India by 2012 with total market share of above 50%.
  • Organized retailing of mobile handset and accessories is expected to reach close to Rs. 5000 Crore by 2010.
  • Driven by the expanding retail market, third party logistic market is forecasted to reach US$ 20 Billion by 2011.
  • Apparel, along with food and grocery, will lead the organized retailing in India.
Key Issues Analyzed
  • What is the market size and scope of the retail industry in India?
  • What are the current market trends?
  • What are the growth prospects and issues related to the industry?
  • What is the segment-wise size of the organized market and what are the growth prospects of the market?
  • What are the opportunities and challenges faced by the industry?
  • Who are the major players in the Indian retail industry and what are the latest developments?
Key Players Analyzed

This section covers the key players currently operating in the Indian retail industry, including Subhiksha, Reliance Retail Ltd, Pantaloon Retail (India) Ltd., etc.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources
Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method
The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting and cause and effect analysis.

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