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Published by: Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd.
Published: Mar. 1, 2008 - 57 Pages
Table of Contents
- Contents
- Figures and Tables 1
- Figures and Tables 2
- 1 Corn Production in 2007 and Forecast for 2008
- 1.1 Weather Conditions of Main Corn Producing Regions in 2007
- 1.2 Changes of Corn Acreage and Output in 2007
- 1.3 Analysis of Production in Major Corn Producing Provinces in 2007
- 1.3.1 Production in Jilin Province
- 1.3.2 Production in Shandong Province
- 1.3.3 Production in Henan Province
- 1.3.4 Production in Hebei Province
- 1.3.5 Production in Heilongjiang Province
- 1.4 Analysis of Production in Major Corn Producing Reagions in 2007
- 1.4.1 Analysis of Summer Corn Regions in the Yellow River, Huaihe River and Haihe River plain
- 1.4.2Analysis of Spring Corn Areas in the North
- 1.4.3 Analysis of Mountainous Corn Growing Areas in the Southwest
- 1.4.4 Analysis of the Hilly Corn Areas in the South
- 1.4.5Analysis of Irrigated Corn Growing Areas in the Northwest
- 1.5 Distribution of Main Corn Varieties in China (Zhengdan 958, Nongda 108, Ludan 981, etc)
- 1.6 Corn Seed Production in 2007 and Forecast for 2008
- 2. Corn Trade in 2007 and Projection for 2008 in China
- 2.1 Analysis of Corn Exportin 2007
- 2.1.1 Corn Export Amount & Price (FOB) in 2007
- 2.1.2Corn Export by Country in 2007
- 2.1.3 Corn Export by Port in 2007
- 2.1.4 Corn Export by Provinces in 2007
- 2.2 Analysis of Corn Import in 2007
- 2.2.1 Corn Import Amount & Price (CIF) in 2007
- 2.2.2 Corn Import by Country in 2007
- 2.2.3 Corn Import by Port in 2007
- 2.3 Analysis of Imp&Exp Enterprises in 2007
- 2.3.1 Major Export Enterprises in China
- 2.3.2 Major Import Enterprises in China
- 2.4 Forecast for Corn Trade in 2008
- 3 Supply and Demand Relation and Forecast of Hybird Corn Seed in China, 2007
- 3.1 Main characteristics of China's corn seed industry
- 3.1.1 Hybrid corn growing area decided the seed demand
- 3.1.2 Appraisal of new varieties of corn and characteristics in promotion
- 3.1.3 Main categories of demands for corn seeds
- 3.1.4 Distribution of main varieties of corn promoted
- 3.2 Market Demand of Corn Seed in 2007
- 3.3 Analysis of market demands for main corn seeds in China
- 3.3.1 Analysis of Summer Corn Region in the Yellow River, Huaihe River and Haihe River plain
- 3.3.2 Analysis of Spring Corn Areas in the North
- 3.3.3 Analysis of Mountainous Corn Growing Areas in the Southwest
- 3.3.4 Analysis of the Hilly Corn Areas in the South
- 3.3.5 Analysis of Irrigated Corn Growing Areas in the Northwest
- 3.4 Analysis of Main Corn Seed Producing Areas in China
- 3.4.1 Total Supply from Corn Seed Production
- 3.4.2 Analysis of Seed Bases in Northwest China, inc. Gansu, Ningxia, Shaanxi and Xinjiang
- 3.4.3 Analysis of Seed Bases in Northeast China, inc. Liaoning, Jilini and Heilongjiang
- 3.4.4 Analysis of Seed Bases in North China, inc. Hebei, Shanxi and Inner Mongolia
- 3.5 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn Seeds in China, 2007-2008
- 3.6 Forecasting the future trends of corn seed market of China
- 4 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 4.1 Analysis & Forecast of the Total Supply of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 4.1.1 Supply of Corn Output in 2007
- 4.1.2 Changes of Corn Storage in 2007
- 4.2 Analysis & Forecast of the Total Demand of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 4.2.1 Analysis of Feed Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.2.2 Analysis of Further Processing Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.2.3 Analysis of Edible Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.2.4 Analysis of Seed-Used Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.3 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 5 Analysis & Forecast of Corn Market Price in China, 2007-2008
- 5.1. Analysis of Changes of Corn Futures Price in 2007
- 5.1.1 Analysis of Chicago Corn Futures Price and Forecast
- 5.1.2 Analysis of Dalian Corn Futures Price and Forecast
- 5.2 Analysis of Corn Spot Price in 2007
- 5.2.1 Price Analysis of Main Producing Regions
- 5.2.2 Price Analysis of Main Consuming Regions
- 5.2.3 Analysis of Main Port Prices
- 5.3. Comparison of Spot Price and Futures Price and Trend Forecast
- 5.4 Review of Primary Incidents of Corn Market in 2007
- 43.18 billion Yuan will be used for ‘three dimensional rural issues’ by the Central Finance in 2008
- Central No. 1 documents focus on agriculture infrastructure in 2008
- Quality Variety Subsidy on 170 thousand ha in Henan in 2007
- Railway Construction Fund Readjusted for Grain Shipment in Oct. 2007
- Jilin start processing project for new energy resource based on corn stalk
- Grain Export Tax Refund Abolished in 2008
- Tax Imposed on Grain Exports in 2008
- The state plan the out put of ethanol fuel will be up to 2 million tons till 2010
- Ethanol fuel subsidy changed from quota system to flexible system
- 6. Analysis & Forecast of of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.1 Market Review of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007
- 6.2 Review and Outlook of Corn Starch Market in 2007
- 6.2.1 Market Review of Corn Starch Market in 2007
- 6.2.1.1 Main Processed Varieties of Corn Starch and Their Market Prospects
- 6.2.1.2 Analysis of Corn Starch Production Distribution
- 6.2.1.3 Analysis of Concentration of Corn Starch Enterprises
- 6.2.1.4 Main Features of Corn Starch Production
- 6.2.2 Analysis of Price Level of Corn Starch in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.2.3 Analysis of Corn Starch Import and Export in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.2.4 Trend of Corn Starch Further Processing in 2008 and Predictions
- 6.3. Analysis of Alcohol and Ethanol Industrial Development in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.3.1 Analysis of Corn Alcohol and Ethanol Production in 2007
- 6.3.1.1 Rising Output of Alcohol and Ethanol
- 6.3.1.2 Characteristics of Alcohol and Ethanol Production in China
- 6.3.1.3 Corn Consumption for Ethanol Production
- 6.3.2 Analysis of Import and Export Situation of Alcohol
- 6.3.3 Development of Domestic Ethanol and National Grain Safety
- 6.3.4 Application of Alcohol and Ethanol in 2008 and Prospects
- 6.4 Review and Forecast of Disnatured Corn Starch Market
- 6.4.1 Analysis of Production of Disnatured Corn Starch in 2007
- 6.4.1.1 Review of Output of Disnatured Corn Starch
- 6.4.1.2 Production Characteristics of Disnatured Corn Starch
- 6.4.2 Analysis of Import and Export of Disnatured Corn Starch
- 6.4.3 Forecast of Trend of Disnatured Corn Starch in 2008
- 6.5 Market Analysis and Forecast for Corn Starch Sugar
- 6.5.1 Analysis of Production of Corn Starch Sugar in 2007
- 6.5.1.1 Review of Output of Starch Sugar
- 6.5.1.2 Characteristics of Corn Starch Sugar Production
- 6.5.1.3 Consumption of Corn by Corn Starch Sugar Production
- 6.5.2 Import and Export Analysis of Corn Starch Sugar
- 6.5.3 Analysis of Trend of Corn Starch Sugar in 2007
- 6.6 Review and Forecast for Gourmet Powder Industry
- 6.6.1 Analysis of Production of Corn Gourmet Powder in 2007
- 6.6.1.1 Overall Output of Gourmet Powder
- 6.6.1.2 Characteristics of Corn Gourmet Powder Production
- 6.6.1.3 Corn Consumption by Corn Gourmet Powder Production
- 6.6.2 Analysis of Import and Export of Gourmet Powder
- 6.6.3 Trend of Corn Gourmet Powder in 2008
- 6.7 Market Analysis of Other Further Processed Corn Products
- 6.7.1 Market Analysis and Forecast for Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.1.1 Market Structure of Corn Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.1.2 Analysis of Supply and Demand for Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.1.3 Price Analysis of Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.2 Market Analysis of Citric Acid in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.2.1 Supply and Demand of Citric Acid in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.2.2 Citric Acid Production in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.3 Market Analysis of Corn Oil in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.3.1 Corn Oil Production in 2007 and Analysis of Characteristics
- 6.7.3.2 Analysis of Supply and Demand of Corn Oil in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.3.3 Forecast for Corn Oil Production Consumption and Trade in 2008
- 6.8. Overall Analysis and Forecast of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.8.1 Industrial Structural Analysis of Corn Processing in 2007
- 6.8.1.1 Regional Distribution of Corn Further Processing in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.8.1.2 Analysis of Concentration Level of Corn Further Processing Enterprises in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.8.2 Comparative Study of Corn Further Processing Industry in China and in USA in 2007
- 6.8.3 Development of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.8.3.1 Analysis of Key Features of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.8.3.2 Analysis of Features of Composition of Processed Products
- 6.8.3.3 Strategies for Future Development of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.9. Primary Incidentes of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007
- Corn high yield project started up in Heilongjiang
- Approval system on corn ethanol
- Changchun plan to build a biochemical industry base with 8 millions tons corn treatment capacity
- Experts Suggest Jilin Further Develop Corn Deep-Processing
- 2.4 million tons corn further processing project in Jilin would be restricted.
- 50 billon Yuan will be invested to the corn further processing project in Jilin by COFCO
- Changchun Dacheng started up a project with 2.25 million tons corn processing capacity
- 2 million tons output capacity corn Biochemical Industry Area with total 2.6 billion investment set up in Zhaoyuan
- Chifeng signed a 100 thousand tons corn processing project
- ANNEX: TABLES
- Appendix II: The Guidelines on Promotion Bio Fuel Ethanol Project Healthy Development of the Industry from NDRC (Policy & Measures)
AbstractSugar market witnessed lots of changes in the 2006/2007 campaign affected by some influential factors, such as droughts and output accumulation in producing regions, macro-adjustment, dramatic consumption, etc, so price change is unavoidable.
Several factors will greatly influence the new 2007/2008 campaign:
1 Output
Acreage of sugar cane in the 2006/2007 campaign expanded from the previous campaign thanks to more profit generated from sugar cane crops. Sugar beet has been entirely harvested in the North which left almost no room for output alteration. But to what extent did the drought and snowstorm in South affect the sugar output?
2. Consumption
Domestic sugar consumption reached 12.5 million tons, surpassing the previous campaign by 1.8 million tons, which is out of expectation among insiders. And the main reason is that starch sugar and other substitutes are less competitive due to drowsy. What will be the same situation happened to the new campaign? Whether consumption will increase on a large margin from previous campaign pushed by the economy in 2008 Olympic year?
3. Import and export
What will the sugar price change under the background of oversupply in international sugar market? What kind of measures will be taken to protect domestic sugar industry under the macro-adjustment?
4. Policy trend
Policies influence the supply and demand relation dramatically. Major producing areas in the 2005/2006 campaign suffered from drought, so output declined by 4%. State reserve was sold by 12 times, reaching 1.2 million tons in 2006, as to relieve the situation of demand exceeding supply in domestic market. How will central government move in the coming new campaign?
On the basis of systemic analysis on macro-adjustment, production, sale, import and export, etc, this report will make an evaluation to the market in the 2007/2008 campaign in order to provide reference for insiders in China sugar industry.
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