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Published by: Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd.
Published: Mar. 1, 2008 - 115 Pages
Table of Contents
- Research Background
- Contents
- Figures and Tables 1
- Figures and Tables 2
- 1 Corn Production in 2007 and Forecast for 2008
- 1.1 Weather Conditions of Main Corn Producing Regions in 2007
- 1.2 Changes of Corn Acreage and Output in 2007
- 1.3 Analysis of Production in Major Corn Producing Provinces in 2007
- 1.3.1 Production in Jilin Province
- 1.3.2 Production in Shandong Province
- 1.3.3 Production in Henan Province
- 1.3.4 Production in Hebei Province
- 1.3.5 Production in Heilongjiang Province
- 1.4 Analysis of Production in Major Corn Producing Reagions in 2007
- 1.4.1 Analysis of Summer Corn Regions in the Yellow River, Huaihe River and Haihe River plain
- 1.4.2Analysis of Spring Corn Areas in the North
- 1.4.3 Analysis of Mountainous Corn Growing Areas in the Southwest
- 1.4.4 Analysis of the Hilly Corn Areas in the South
- 1.4.5Analysis of Irrigated Corn Growing Areas in the Northwest
- 1.5 Distribution of Main Corn Varieties in China (Zhengdan 958, Nongda 108, Ludan 981, etc)
- 1.6 Corn Seed Production in 2007 and Forecast for 2008
- 2. Corn Trade in 2007 and Projection for 2008 in China
- 2.1 Analysis of Corn Exportin 2007
- 2.1.1 Corn Export Amount & Price (FOB) in 2007
- 2.1.2Corn Export by Country in 2007
- 2.1.3 Corn Export by Port in 2007
- 2.1.4 Corn Export by Provinces in 2007
- 2.2 Analysis of Corn Import in 2007
- 2.2.1 Corn Import Amount & Price (CIF) in 2007
- 2.2.2 Corn Import by Country in 2007
- 2.2.3 Corn Import by Port in 2007
- 2.3 Analysis of Imp&Exp Enterprises in 2007
- 2.3.1 Major Export Enterprises in China
- 2.3.2 Major Import Enterprises in China
- 2.4 Forecast for Corn Trade in 2008
- 3 Supply and Demand Relation and Forecast of Hybird Corn Seed in China, 2007
- 3.1 Main characteristics of China's corn seed industry
- 3.1.1 Hybrid corn growing area decided the seed demand
- 3.1.2 Appraisal of new varieties of corn and characteristics in promotion
- 3.1.3 Main categories of demands for corn seeds
- 3.1.4 Distribution of main varieties of corn promoted
- 3.2 Market Demand of Corn Seed in 2007
- 3.3 Analysis of market demands for main corn seeds in China
- 3.3.1 Analysis of Summer Corn Region in the Yellow River, Huaihe River and Haihe River plain
- 3.3.2 Analysis of Spring Corn Areas in the North
- 3.3.3 Analysis of Mountainous Corn Growing Areas in the Southwest
- 3.3.4 Analysis of the Hilly Corn Areas in the South
- 3.3.5 Analysis of Irrigated Corn Growing Areas in the Northwest
- 3.4 Analysis of Main Corn Seed Producing Areas in China
- 3.4.1 Total Supply from Corn Seed Production
- 3.4.2 Analysis of Seed Bases in Northwest China, inc. Gansu, Ningxia, Shaanxi and Xinjiang
- 3.4.3 Analysis of Seed Bases in Northeast China, inc. Liaoning, Jilini and Heilongjiang
- 3.4.4 Analysis of Seed Bases in North China, inc. Hebei, Shanxi and Inner Mongolia
- 3.5 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn Seeds in China,2007-2008
- 3.6 Forecasting the future trends of corn seed market of China
- 4 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 4.1 Analysis & Forecast of the Total Supply of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 4.1.1 Supply of Corn Output in 2007
- 4.1.2 Changes of Corn Storage in 2007
- 4.2 Analysis & Forecast of the Total Demand of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 4.2.1 Analysis of Feed Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.2.2 Analysis of Further Processing Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.2.3 Analysis of Edible Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.2.4 Analysis of Seed-Used Corn Demand in 2007
- 4.3 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn in China, 2007-2008
- 5 Analysis & Forecast of Corn Market Price in China, 2007-2008
- 5.1. Analysis of Changes of Corn Futures Price in 2007
- 5.1.1 Analysis of Chicago Corn Futures Price and Forecast
- 5.1.2 Analysis of Dalian Corn Futures Price and Forecast
- 5.2 Analysis of Corn Spot Price in 2007
- 5.2.1 Price Analysis of Main Producing Regions
- 5.2.2 Price Analysis of Main Consuming Regions
- 5.2.3 Analysis of Main Port Prices
- 5.3. Comparison of Spot Price and Futures Price and Trend Forecast
- 5.4 Review of Primary Incidents of Corn Market in 2007
- 43.18 billion Yuan will be used for ‘three dimensional rural issues’ by the Central Finance in 2008
- Central No. 1 documents focus on agriculture infrastructure in 2008
- Quality Variety Subsidy on 170 thousand ha in Henan in 2007
- Railway Construction Fund Readjusted for Grain Shipment in Oct. 2007
- Jilin start processing project for new energy resource based on corn stalk
- Grain Export Tax Refund Abolished in 2008
- Tax Imposed on Grain Exports in 2008
- The state plan the out put of ethanol fuel will be up to 2 million tons till 2010
- Ethanol fuel subsidy changed from quota system to flexible system
- 6. Analysis & Forecast of of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.1 Market Review of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007
- 6.2 Review and Outlook of Corn Starch Market in 2007
- 6.2.1 Market Review of Corn Starch Market in 2007
- 6.2.1.1 Main Processed Varieties of Corn Starch and Their Market Prospects
- 6.2.1.2 Analysis of Corn Starch Production Distribution
- 6.2.1.3 Analysis of Concentration of Corn Starch Enterprises
- 6.2.1.4 Main Features of Corn Starch Production
- 6.2.2 Analysis of Price Level of Corn Starch in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.2.3 Analysis of Corn Starch Import and Export in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.2.4 Trend of Corn Starch Further Processing in 2008 and Predictions
- 6.3. Analysis of Alcohol and Ethanol Industrial Development in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.3.1 Analysis of Corn Alcohol and Ethanol Production in 2007
- 6.3.1.1 Rising Output of Alcohol and Ethanol
- 6.3.1.2 Characteristics of Alcohol and Ethanol Production in China
- 6.3.1.3 Corn Consumption for Ethanol Production
- 6.3.2 Analysis of Import and Export Situation of Alcohol
- 6.3.3 Development of Domestic Ethanol and National Grain Safety
- 6.3.4 Application of Alcohol and Ethanol in 2008 and Prospects
- 6.4 Review and Forecast of Disnatured Corn Starch Market
- 6.4.1 Analysis of Production of Disnatured Corn Starch in 2007
- 6.4.1.1 Review of Output of Disnatured Corn Starch
- 6.4.1.2 Production Characteristics of Disnatured Corn Starch
- 6.4.2 Analysis of Import and Export of Disnatured Corn Starch
- 6.4.3 Forecast of Trend of Disnatured Corn Starch in 2008
- 6.5 Market Analysis and Forecast for Corn Starch Sugar
- 6.5.1 Analysis of Production of Corn Starch Sugar in 2007
- 6.5.1.1 Review of Output of Starch Sugar
- 6.5.1.2 Characteristics of Corn Starch Sugar Production
- 6.5.1.3 Consumption of Corn by Corn Starch Sugar Production
- 6.5.2 Import and Export Analysis of Corn Starch Sugar
- 6.5.3 Analysis of Trend of Corn Starch Sugar in 2007
- 6.6 Review and Forecast for Gourmet Powder Industry
- 6.6.1 Analysis of Production of Corn Gourmet Powder in 2007
- 6.6.1.1 Overall Output of Gourmet Powder
- 6.6.1.2 Characteristics of Corn Gourmet Powder Production
- 6.6.1.3 Corn Consumption by Corn Gourmet Powder Production
- 6.6.2 Analysis of Import and Export of Gourmet Powder
- 6.6.3 Trend of Corn Gourmet Powder in 2008
- 6.7 Market Analysis of Other Further Processed Corn Products
- 6.7.1 Market Analysis and Forecast for Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.1.1 Market Structure of Corn Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.1.2 Analysis of Supply and Demand for Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.1.3 Price Analysis of Lysine in 2007
- 6.7.2 Market Analysis of Citric Acid in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.2.1 Supply and Demand of Citric Acid in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.2.2 Citric Acid Production in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.3 Market Analysis of Corn Oil in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.3.1 Corn Oil Production in 2007 and Analysis of Characteristics
- 6.7.3.2 Analysis of Supply and Demand of Corn Oil in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.7.3.3 Forecast for Corn Oil Production Consumption and Trade in 2008
- 6.8. Overall Analysis and Forecast of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.8.1 Industrial Structural Analysis of Corn Processing in 2007
- 6.8.1.1 Regional Distribution of Corn Further Processing in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.8.1.2 Analysis of Concentration Level of Corn Further Processing Enterprises in2007 and Forecast
- 6.8.2 Comparative Study of Corn Further Processing Industry in China and in USA in 2007
- 6.8.3 Development of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007 and Forecast
- 6.8.3.1 Analysis of Key Features of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.8.3.2 Analysis of Features of Composition of Processed Products
- 6.8.3.3 Strategies for Future Development of Corn Further Processing Industry
- 6.9. Primary Incidentes of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007
- Corn high yield project started up in Heilongjiang
- Approval system on corn ethanol
- Changchun plan to build a biochemical industry base with 8 millions tons corn treatment capacity
- Experts Suggest Jilin Further Develop Corn Deep-Processing
- 2.4 million tons corn further processing project in Jilin would be restricted
- 50 billon Yuan will be invested to the corn further processing project in Jilin by COFCO
- Changchun Dacheng started up a project with 2.25 million tons corn processing capacity
- 2 million tons output capacity corn Biochemical Industry Area with total 2.6 billion investment set up in Zhaoyuan
- Chifeng signed a 100 thousand tons corn processing project
- ANNEX: TABLES
- Appendix II: The Guidelines on Promotion Bio Fuel Ethanol Project Healthy Development of the Industry from NDRC (Policy & Measures)
- Figures and Tables 1
- Figure 1 Highest Temperature Fluctuation in Major Corn Producing Provinces
- Figure 2 Lowest Temperature Fluctuation in Major Corn Producing Provinces
- Figure 3 Annual Changes of Corn Acreagea
- Figure 4 Annual Changes of Corn Production
- Figure 5 Distribution of Corn Output of Major Producing Provinces in 2006
- Figure 6 Corn’s production, acreage & yield of Jilin
- Figure 7 Corn’s production, acreage & yield of Shandong
- Figure 8 Corn’s production, acreage & yield of Henan
- Figure 9 Corn’s production, acreage & yield of Hebei
- Figure 10 Corn’s production, acreage & yield of Heilongjiang
- Figure 11 Corn Production of the Yellow River, Huaihe River and Haihe River plain(2002-2007)
- Figure 12 Corn Production of spring corn in North China (2002-2007)
- Figure 13 Corn Production of the mountainous southwest (2002-2007)
- Figure 14 Corn Production of the hilly areas in South China (2002-2007)
- Figure 15 Corn Production of the irrigated areas of the northwest (2002-2007)
- Figure 16 Characteristics of the promotion of main corn varieties in China (2002-2006)11
- Figure 17 Montly Exports and FOB of Chinese Corn, 2007
- Figure 18 Statistics of Main Destination Countries of Corn Export in 2007
- Figure 19 Statistics of Main Customs of Corn Export in 2007
- Figure 20 Statistics of Main Provinces of Corn Export in 2007
- Figure 21 Montly Imports and CIF of Chinese Corn, 2007
- Figure 22 Statistics of Main Destination Countries of Corn Import in 2007
- Figure 23 Statistics of Main Customs of Corn Import in 2007
- Figure 24 Major Corn Export Enterprises in China, 2007
- Figure 25 Major Corn Import Enterprises in China, 2007
- Figure 26 Forecast Annual Corn Import & Export, 2008
- Figure 27 Corn seed consumption by region (2007)
- Figure 28 Demands for corn seeds of the Yellow River,Huaihe River and Haihe Riverplain (2002-2006)
- Figure 29 Demands for corn seeds of the spring corn growing area in North China(2002-2008)
- Figure 30 Demands for corn seeds and market share of the corn growing areas in thesouthwest (2002-2008)
- Figure 31 Demands for corn seeds of the hilly corn growing areas of South China(2002-2008)
- Figure 32 Demands for seeds of the irrigated corn growing areas in the northwest(2002-2008)
- Figure 33 China's corn seed growing area and changes in the output (1999-2007)
- Figure 34 Changes in the corn seed growing area in the northwest (2004-2007)
- Figure 35 Changes in the output of corn seeds in the northwest (2004-2007)
- Figure 36 Changes in the corn seed growing area in Northeast China (2004-2007)
- Figure37 Changes in the output of corn seeds in Northeast China (2004-2007)
- Figure 38 Changes in the output of corn seeds in North China (2004-2007)
- Figure 39 Changes in the output of corn seeds in North China (2004-2007)
- Figure 40 Supply-demand equilibrium table of corn seed in China (2002-2006)
- Figure 41 Changes of Production & Total Demand of Corn, China (1991/92-2007/08)
- Figure 42 Changes of Corn Stocks of Crop Year, China (1991/92-2007/08)
- Figure 43 Changes of Feed Consumption of Corn-1991/92-2007/08
- Figure 44 Changes of Corn Consumption by Processing Industry-1991/92-2007/08.38
- Figure 45 Changes of Food Consumption of Corn -1991/92-2007/08
- Figure 46 Changes of Corn Consumption by Seed Use -1991/92-2007/08
- Figure 47 China’s Corn Balance Sheet (Crop Year)
- Figure 48 Trend of CBOT Corn Futures Price in 2007
- Figure 49 Trend of DCE Corn Futures Price in 2007
- Figure 50 Price Changes of Main Producing Regions (2007)
- Figure 51 Price Changes of Main Consuming Regions (2007)
- Figure 52 Changes of Port Price (2007)
- Figure 53 Comparison of Average of Futures Price and Spot Price in 2007
- Figure 54 Fluctuation of Output of Corn Starch -1996/97-2007/08
- Figure 55 Main Producing Provinces of Corn Starch (2007)
- Figure 56 Major Corn Starch Enterprises in 2007
- Figure 57 Comparisons between Average Price of Corn Starch and Corn in 2007
- Figure 58 Import and Export of Corn Starch-1996/97-2007/08
- Figure 59 Corn’s Consumption for Producing of Corn Starch
- Figure 60 Fluctuation Corn Alcohol and Ethanol Output -1997/98-2007/08
- Figure 61 Distribution of Enterprise Production Capacity of Alcohol and Ethanol
- Figure 62 Distributions of Major Alcohol and Ethanol Enterprises in China
- Figure 63 Corn Consumption by Alcohol Production-1997/98-2007/08
- Figure 64 Changes of Alcohol Import and Export-1996-2007
- Figure 65 Output Fluctuation of Disnatured Corn Starch -1996/97-2007/08
- Figure 66 Regional Distribution of Disnatured Starch Production (2007)
- Figure 67 Distributions of Disnatured Corn Starch Enterprises (2007)
- Figure 68 Fluctuation of Import and Export of Disnatured Starch-1997-2007
- Figure 69 Disnatured Corn Starch and Its Corn Consumption
- Figure 70 Fluctuation of Total Output of Starch Sugar(1995/96-2007/08)
- Figure 71 Fluctuation of Output of Liquid Starch Sugar and Crystallized Glucose(1995/96-2007/08)
- Figure 72 Regional Distribution of Starch Sugar Production (2007)
- Figure 73 Distribution of Starch sugar Enterprises (2007)
- Figure 74 Fluctuation of Corn Consumption for Corn Starch Sugar(1995/96-2007/08)
- Figure 77 Total Output of Gourmet Powder and the Trend -1996/97-2007/08
- Figure 78 Regional Distribution of Gourmet Powder (2007)
- Figure 79 Enterprise Composition of Corn Gourmet Powder (2007)
- Figure 80 Corn Consumption by Gourmet Powder Production-1996/97-2007/08
- Figure 81 Import and Export of Gourmet Powder-1996-2007
- Figure 82 Regional Distribution of Corn Lysine -2007
- Figure 83 Corn Lysine Enterprises-2007
- Figure 84 Output, Import and Export of Lysine Products-2000/01-2007/08
- Figure 85 Monthly Imports and Exports of Lysine Products (2007)
- Figure 86 Price Trend of Lysine-2007
- Figure 87 Output, Import and Export of Citric Acid-1996/97-2007/08
- Figure 88 Regional Distribution of Citric Acid Production-2007
- Figure 89 Production Capacity of Key Corn Oil Enterprises-2007
- Figure 90 Corn Oil Output, Import and Export -2001/02-2006/07
- Figure 91 Comparison of Corn Consumption for Processed Products in China-91/92-06/07
- Figure 92 Comparison of Corn Consumption for Processed Products in the US-91/92-07/08
- Figures and Tables 2
- Table 1, China’s Corn production (1997/98-2007/08)
- Table 2, China’s Corn Planting Areas by Province (2000-2007)
- Table 3, China’s Corn Yield by Province (2000-2007)
- Table 4, China’s Corn Import-1997-2007
- Table 5, China’s Corn Import of Crop Year-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 6, China’s Corn Import by Original Country-2007
- Table 7, China’s Corn Import by Custom-2007
- Table 8, Corn’s Feed Use of China-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 9, Industrial Consumption of Corn-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 10, Food Consumption of Corn-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 11, Seed Consumption of Corn-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 12, Chinese Corn Export of Crop Year-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 13, Chinese Corn Export of Year-1997-2007
- Table 14, China’s Corn Export by Original Country-2007
- Table 15, China's Corn Exports by Custom-2007
- Table 16, China's Corn Exports by Province-2007
- Table 17, Balance of Supply and Demand of Corn-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 18, Corn Starch Production with Total Starch Production-1996/97-2007/08
- Table 19, Main Enterprise’s Produce Ability of Corn Starch -2007
- Table 20, Import and Export of Corn Starch-1997-2007
- Table 21, Production of Disnatured Starch-1996/97-2007/08
- Table 22, Main Enterprise’s Produce Ability of Disnatured Corn Starch-2007
- Table 23, Production of Starch Sugar-1996/97-2007/08
- Table 24, Main Enterprise’s Produce Ability of Corn Starch Sugar-2007
- Table 25, Import & Export of Fructose and Fructose Syrup-1997-2007
- Table 26, Import & Export of Glucose and Glucose Syrup-1997-2007
- Table 27, Total Production of Gourmet Powder-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 28, Main Enterprise’s Produce Ability of Gourmet Powder-2007
- Table 29, Import & Export of Gourmet Powder by China-1997-2007
- Table 30, Production of Alcohol based on Fermentation Method-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 32, Main Enterprise’s Produce Ability of Corn Alcohol based on Fermentation Method (2007)
- Table 32, Import & Export of Alcohol by China-1997-2007
- Table 33, Main Enterprise’s Produce Ability of Lysine-2007
- Table 34, Lysine Production of China-2000/01-2007/08
- Table 35, Lysine Import & Export by China from-1996-2007
- Table 36, Production of Lemon Acid by China-1997/98-2007/08
- Table 37, Import & Export of Lemon Acid by China-1997-2007
- Table 38, Main Enterprise’s Produce Ability of Lemon Acid-2007
- Table 39, CornOil Production of China-2001/02-2007/08
- Table 40, Import & Export of Corn Oil and Products by China-1997-2007
- Table 41, Production Capacity of Chinese Corn Oil Enterprises-2007
- Table 42, Estimation of Corn Processing Industry Consumption in 2008
AbstractChina is one of the main producing countries of corn in the world, the national output stood at 146 million tons in 2006/07 cropping year, and the acreage enlarged under the influence of hihgh planting returns in 2007. Yield decreased due to weather conditions in the Northeast in 2007, while yield improved in other main producing areas in the Yellow River and the Huai River Valley returns. The total yield is foreseen to keep the same level with 2006/07 cropping yea last year around 146 million tons, making up 20% of the world total.
Domestic corn consumption takes feed and industrial use as main consumption channel, amounting to 85% of the total domestic consumption. Corn supply and demand relation will affect the feed industry and the development of further corn processing. Whether corn consumption in feed industry greatly affected the sharp growth of pork price in May, 2007? China witnessed a fast growth of further processing of corn in 2007. Further processing of corn starch, corn ethanol, disnatured starch and starch sugar sustained rapid growths. Competition of corn further processing intensified, and there were constant occurrence of mergers and reorganizations among companies. Due to the fast growth in domestic corn ethanol industry China implemented relevant policies to restrain corn export and corn further processing.
How shall the supply and demand relation change in 2007? How will the supply and demand relation affect the feed industry and the development of further corn processing? Whether the drastic growth of domestic corn consumption will result to primary changes of the corn supply and demand relation? How will international corn supply affect the domestic market? How shall the Chinese corn industry develop in 2008? What shall be the trend of corn further processing in 2008? How shall the market structure and product structure change? How shall the Chinese corn further processing market face competition from the international market? What strategies should a corn further processing company adopt in order to be a leading player in the industry?
ALL these issues should be addressed systematically.Based on analyzing the national corn market and further processing market in 2007, this report has certain forecasts on the two markets in the future.
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