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Take-Home Trade

Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd

Published: Jun. 1, 2008 - 86 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

1. Market Definition

REPORT COVERAGE

MARKET SECTORS

By Type of Outlet

By Type of Drink

MARKET TRENDS

Growth in Sales Through Multiple Grocers

Concentration in Supply

Social and Fashion Trends

The Anti-Alcohol Lobby

ECONOMIC TRENDS

Population

Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2003-2007

Gross Domestic Product

Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Chain-Linked Prices (£m), 2003-2007

Inflation

Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2003-2007

Unemployment

Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2003-2007

Household Disposable Income

Table 5: UK Household Disposable Income per Capita (£), 2003-2007

MARKET POSITION

The UK

Overseas

2. Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET

Table 6: The UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol at Current Prices and Constant 2003 Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007

Figure 1: The UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007

Price Trends

Table 7: Retail Price Indices for Take-Home Alcohol by Type of Drink (2003=100), 2003-2007

BY MARKET SECTOR

Table 8: The UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol by Type of Drink at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007

Table 9: The UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol by Type of Drink at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003 and 2007

Figure 2: The UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol by Type of Drink at Current Prices (%), 2007

Wine

Spirits and Liqueurs

Beer

Cider and Ready-to-Drink Spirits

Other Alcohol

3. Industry Background

RECENT HISTORY

NUMBER OF COMPANIES

Table 10: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Retail Sale of Alcoholic and Other Beverages by Turnover Sizeband (£000, number and %), 2001-2007

EMPLOYMENT

Table 11: Number of UK VAT-Based Local Units Engaged in the Retail Sale of Alcoholic and Other Beverages by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007

REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE

HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?

LEGISLATION

KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

4. Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE

Table 12: The UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol by Type of Retailer by Value (%), 2003 and 2008

Grocers

Drinks Specialists

Independents, Franchises and Symbol Groups

MARKET LEADERS

Table 13: The Leading Retailers of Take-Home Alcohol by Number of UK Outlets, 2008

THE LEADING MULTIPLE GROCERS

Table 14: The ‘Big Four’ UK Grocers — Financial Results (£m), 2005-2007

Tesco PLC

ASDA Group Ltd

J Sainsbury PLC

Wm Morrison Supermarkets PLC

Other Companies

THE LEADING DRINKS SPECIALISTS

Thresher Group (Thresher Wines Holdings Ltd)

Bargain Booze Ltd

Oddbins Ltd

Booze Buster (Wine Cellar Ltd)

Majestic Wine PLC

Other Companies

OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS

Table 15: The Leading Suppliers of Alcoholic Drinks to the UK Take-Home Market and Their Brands, 2008

MARKETING ACTIVITY

Main Media Advertising

Table 16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Specialist Alcohol Retailers (£000), 2007

Other Marketing Activity

5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats

STRENGTHS

WEAKNESSES

OPPORTUNITIES

THREATS

6. Buying Behaviour

PURCHASERS OF TAKE-HOME ALCOHOL

Table 17: Purchasers of Take-Home Alcohol by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2007

OTHER CONSUMER RESEARCH

Penetration of Alcoholic Drinks

Table 18: Penetration of Alcoholic Drinks by Sex, Age and Social Grade (% of adults), 2007

Favourite Alcoholic Drinks

Table 19: Favourite Alcoholic Drinks (% of adults), 2008

The Leading Drink Brands

7. Current Issues

INCREASED TAXES ON ALCOHOL

CAMPAIGNS AGAINST ‘CHEAP’ ALCOHOL

CHALLENGES TO THE SUPERMARKETS

FASHIONABLE DRINKS

ONLINE SHOPPING

8. The Global Market

THE SUPPLY OF DRINKS

DRINKS RETAILING

TAXATION

9. Forecasts

INTRODUCTION

Population

Table 20: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2008-2012

Gross Domestic Product

Table 21: Forecast Growth in UK Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2008-2012

Inflation

Table 22: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2008-2012

Unemployment

Table 23: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2008-2012

FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012

Table 24: The Forecast UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012

MARKET GROWTH

Figure 3: The UK Market for Take-Home Alcohol at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2012

FUTURE TRENDS

Alcohol, Health and Prices

Sector Trends

10. Company Profiles

BARGAIN BOOZE LTD

MAJESTIC WINE PLC

ODDBINS LTD

THRESHER WINES HOLDINGS LTD

WINE CELLAR LTD

11. Further Sources

Associations

General Sources

Government Sources

Other Sources

Bisnode Sources

Abstract

Key Note estimates that the UK market for take-home alcoholic drinks was worth £13.55bn in 2007, representing a 2.1% increase on the figure for 2006 and a mere 7.7% growth in sales since 2003. The three largest sectors of the market, in terms of value, are wine, spirits and liqueurs, and beer.

Strong growth in the value of sales has been difficult to achieve because of the price competition among the multiple grocers (Tesco, ASDA, Sainsbury's and Morrisons), which now dominate the take-home market. However, the availability of `cheap' alcohol is controversial, because of concerns about its effects on health, as well as the fuelling of violence in UK town centres.

With the multiple grocers taking two-thirds of the take-home market, the specialist off-licences have been forced to merge in order to fight back. Today, only a handful of companies remain, led by Thresher Group. There are also some more specialised operators, such as Oddbins (wine shops), Majestic Wine (wine warehouses) and Bargain Booze (discount alcohol).

Economic uncertainty and pricing difficulties mean that Key Note is predicting fairly slow growth for the take-home market between 2008 and 2012. Some of the market's growth will come from the ban on smoking in on-trade premises, which may persuade smokers to drink at home.

The market will continue to be influenced by changes in fashion. Current examples of fashionable drinks include rosé wine and over-ice cider. For the next 5 years, an emphasis on cocktails, which have a cyclical pattern, is likely among younger drinkers.

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