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Low-cost Airlines - Europe

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: May. 1, 2008 - 63 Pages


Table of Contents


Introduction


Key findings

Deregulation of European airspace

The low-cost airline business model

Figure 1: Summary of the LCC business model



Data Sources




Overview


Rising fuel costs

Figure 2: The weekly jet fuel price monitor*, 25 April 2008

The outlook for GDP growth by European country

Figure 3: Outlook for growth in GDP and private consumption, 2007-09

Outlook for exchange rates

Projected trend in spending on travel & tourism 2008-2018

Europe overall

Figure 4: Travel & tourism expenditure in Europe*, 2008-18

Central & Eastern Europe

Figure 5: Travel & tourism expenditure in Central & Eastern Europe*, 2008-18

By selected country

Austria

Figure 6: Travel & tourism expenditure in Austria, 2008-18

Belgium

Figure 7: Travel & tourism expenditure in Belgium, 2008-18

Denmark

Figure 8: Travel & tourism expenditure in Denmark, 2008-18

Finland

Figure 9: Travel & tourism expenditure in Finland, 2008-18

France

Figure 10: Travel & tourism expenditure in France, 2008-18

Germany

Figure 11: Travel & tourism expenditure in Germany, 2008-18

Ireland

Figure 12: Travel & tourism expenditure in Ireland, 2008-18

Italy

Figure 13: Travel & tourism expenditure in Italy, 2008-18

The Netherlands

Figure 14: Travel & tourism expenditure in Netherlands, 2008-18

Norway

Figure 15: Travel & tourism expenditure in Norway, 2008-18

Poland

Figure 16: Travel & tourism expenditure in Poland, 2008-18

Russia

Figure 17: Travel & tourism expenditure in Russia, 2008-18

Spain

Figure 18: Travel & tourism expenditure in Spain, 2008-18

Sweden

Figure 19: Travel & tourism expenditure in Sweden, 2008-18

Switzerland

Figure 20: Travel & tourism expenditure in Switzerland, 2008-18

UK

Figure 21: Travel & tourism expenditure in the UK, 2008-18



The European LCC Market

Figure 22: LCCs categorised by number of flights per day, first six months of 2007 vs first six months of 2006

Market leaders

Figure 23: Major European LCCs ranked by 2007 passenger numbers

Ryanair

The ASA has accused Ryanair and easyJet

Offer to buy Aer Lingus

Profit warning

easyJet

easyJet has acquired GB Airways

Figure 24: Key performance indicators for easyJet/GB, 2007

Figure 25: Proforma financial results for easyJet/GB combined, 2007

EasyJet switching to Airbus

Air Berlin

Third party distribution

Figure 26: Seat-only sales by channel, 2006-07

Figure 27: Charter sales by channel, 2006-07

On the acquisition trail

Condor to be acquired

Figure 28: Air Berlin passenger numbers by geographical region of flight route, 2005-07



Geographical Expansion


Spain

Vueling

Figure 29: Key figures for Vueling, 2004-07

Vueling merge with Clickair

All is not well in the Spanish market, however…



Distribution Trends


Dynamic packaging on easyJet’s website

An end to traditional package tours?

Most easyJet offers are urban short-break destinations

Intermediaries are no longer taboo

easyJet agrees to work with travel agents

Air Berlin gets on board with Expedia



Airport-LCC Relations


Fee structures and disputes

Ryanair critical of ‘monopoly airports’

Stansted will continue to be regulated

Manchester “deregulated”, but under pressure from the competition

Ryanair attracted by low fees at Birmingham

Subsidies

The largest LCC airports

Figure 30: The top 25 European airports for LCC flights, first six months of 2007 vs first six months of 2006

Top 25 low-cost destination-pairs

Figure 31: The top 25 destination pairs for LCC flights, first six months of 2007 vs first six months of 2006

Low-cost market share by country

Figure 32: Low-cost market share by country, first six months of 2007 vs first six months of 2006



What Next?


Slowing growth rate as the sector matures

A blurring of the lines…

Competition with rail

Impact of present and future environmental restrictions

Impact of passenger rights regulations

Abstract

Low-cost, or ‘budget airlines’, have been one of the main drivers of growth in intra-European travel over the past decade. However, after a period of rapid expansion, it seems that the sector is now reaching maturity and that the growth is likely to slow down in the coming years. The low-cost business model is geared to short-haul routes, which allow for a quick turnaround of aircraft. As such, LCCs are increasingly in competition with other modes of travel, especially rail, which has undergone a substantial upgrading in recent years.

Travel & Tourism Analyst is a bimonthly newsletter providing an examination of the travel industry, sector by sector. Each issue includes five objective and detailed studies on sectors and issues of interest and importance, across the international tourism industry.

Transport - from air transport and car hire, to the cruise industry, rail and coach travel

Outbound Markets - detailed profiles of the world's leading tourism origin countries

Market Segments - key sectors of the travel and tourism industry, ie youth travel

Accommodation, Leisure and Theme Parks - the performance of the hotel industry, resorts, timeshare, as well as developments in the attractions market

Travel Distribution and Technology - the travel trade worldwide, including the impact of new technology on travel distribution and marketing

Financial Services - ranging from tourism investment to paying for travel

Occasional Studies - other significant issues, such as the role of tourism organisations and the impact of travel on the environment.



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