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Motor Industry

Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd

Published: May. 1, 2008 - 208 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

1. Industry Overview

REPORT COVERAGE

REPORT BACKGROUND

ECONOMIC TRENDS

Gross Domestic Product

Table 1.1: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and

Annual Chain-Linked Prices (¢Gm), 2003-2007

Population

Table 1.2: UK Resident Population Estimates

by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2003-2007

Inflation

Table 1.3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2003-2007

Unemployment

Table 1.4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons

in the UK (million), 2003-2007

Household Disposable Income

Table 1.5: UK Household Disposable Income

per Capita (¢G), 2003-2007

MARKET SIZE

By Value

Table 1.6: The Apparent UK Market for Motor Vehicles and Components

by Sector by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

Figure 1.1: The Apparent UK Market for Motor Vehicles and Components

by Sector by Value (%), 2007

By Volume

UK Production

Table 1.7: UK Production of Cars and Commercial Vehicles

by Volume (000), 2003-2007

New Registrations

Table 1.8: New Registrations of Motor Vehicles in the UK

by Sector (000), 2003-2007

Number of Licensed Vehicles

Table 1.9: Number of Licensed Motor Vehicles in Great Britain

by Type (000), 2003-2007

Contents Motor Industry

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Sales of Used Vehicles

Table 1.10: Number of Used Vehicles Sold in Great Britain

by Type (000), 2003-2007

MARKET SEGMENTATION

Cars

Commercial Vehicles

Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

Motor Components

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

Concentration

Number of UK Businesses

Table 1.11: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the Motor Industry

by Sector, 2003-2007

By Turnover

Table 1.12: Breakdown of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the Motor Industry

by Sector by Turnover Sizeband (¢G000, number and %), 2007

By Age of Business

Table 1.13: Breakdown of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the Motor Industry

by Sector by Age of Business (number and %), 2007

Employment

Table 1.14: Breakdown of UK VAT-Based Enterprises in the Motor Industry

by Sector by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007

Regional Distribution of Motor Traders

Table 1.15: Breakdown of UK VAT-Based Local Units in the Motor Trade

by Region (number and %), 2007

MARKET POSITION

Vehicle Production

Table 1.16: Global Production of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles

by Country by Volume (000 and %), 2006

New Registrations

Table 1.17: New Registrations of Passenger Cars in Europe

by Country (000 and %), 2007

KEY TRENDS

General Motors and Toyota Share Top Spot

Renault Set to Become the World¡¦s Third-Largest Vehicle Manufacturer

Car Retailers Invest Overseas

Diesel Cars Continue to Gain Sales

LEGISLATION

Second and Third Driving Licence Directives

Vehicle Legislation

KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

BIPAVER

British Vehicle Rental and Leasing Association

Freight Transport Association

Motor Cycle Industry Association

National Tyre Distributors Association

Motor Industry Contents

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Retail Motor Industry Federation

Retread Manufacturers Association

Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders

2. PEST Analysis

POLITICAL FACTORS

CO2 Tailpipe Regulation

Greater Respect Sought from Government for Powered Two-Wheelers

EC Whole Vehicle Type Approval

ECONOMIC FACTORS

Central London Congestion Charge

Call to Ban All ¡¥Gas Guzzlers¡¦

Euro V Reduced Pollution Certificate

London Low-Emission Zone

SOCIAL FACTORS

Growth in Road Traffic Slowing?

More ¡¥Green¡¦ Cars to be Sold

Tomorrow¡¦s Roads Safer for Everyone

TECHNOGICAL FACTORS

Use of Biofuels

A Boost for Digital Radio

Investment in Car Safety

Ford Invests in CO2-Reducing Technologies

3. Consumer Research

DRIVING-TEST APPLICATIONS AND PASS RATES

Table 3.1: Number of Applications for Driving Tests

by Type (000), Years Ending March 2005-2007

Table 3.2: Driving-Test Pass Rates by Type of Test

(%), Years Ending March 2005-2007

NUMBER OF DRIVING LICENCES HELD

Table 3.3: Number of Full Driving Licence Holders in Great Britain

by Sex (million), 2003-2007

PENETRATION OF DRIVING LICENCES

Table 3.4: Penetration of Full and Provisional Driving Licences in Great Britain

by Sex, Age and Social Grade (% of adults), 2007

PENETRATION OF CAR OWNERSHIP

Table 3.5: Penetration of Car Ownership in Great Britain

(% of households), 2007

AGE OF CAR

Table 3.6: Age of Only Car or Most Recently Purchased Car

(% of households), 2007

Contents Motor Industry

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INTENTION TO PURCHASE A CAR

Table 3.7: Intention to Buy a Car in the Next 12 Months

by Sex, Age and Social Grade (% of households), 2007

Table 3.8: Intention to Buy a Car in the Next 12 Months ¡X

New or Second-Hand (% of households), 2007

Table 3.9: Intention to Buy a Car in the Next 12 Months ¡X

First, Additional or Replacement (% of households), 2007

Table 3.10: Intention to Buy a Car in the Next 12 Months ¡X

Type of Car (% of households), 2007

4. Competitive Structure

THE MARKETPLACE

Motor-Vehicle Manufacturers

Motor Dealerships

Motor-Component Manufacturers and Distributors

LEADING MOTOR-VEHICLE MANUFACTURERS

Table 4.1: Selected Leading UK-Registered Motor-Vehicle Manufacturers

by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (¢Gm), 2006/2007

Ford Motor Company Ltd

Volkswagen Group UK Ltd

Honda Motor Europe Ltd

Vauxhall Motors Ltd

BMW (UK) Ltd

Mercedes-Benz UK Ltd

Toyota (GB) PLC

Renault UK Ltd

Peugeot Motor Company PLC/Citroen UK Ltd

Nissan Motor (GB) Ltd

Fiat Group Automobiles UK Ltd

LEADING MOTOR DEALERSHIPS

Table 4.2: Selected Leading UK-Registered Motor Dealerships

by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (¢Gm), 2006

Pendragon PLC

Inchcape PLC

Sytner Group Ltd

Arnold Clark Automobiles Ltd

Lookers PLC

Jardine Motors Group UK Ltd

LEADING MOTOR-COMPONENT MANUFACTURERS AND DISTRIBUTORS

Robert Bosch Ltd

Calsonic Kansei Europe PLC

Denso Marston Ltd

GKN PLC

Halfords Group PLC

NSK Europe Ltd

Motor Industry Contents

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PPG Industries (UK) Ltd

Quinton Hazell Automotive Ltd

Tomkins PLC

TRW Ltd

Unipart Group Ltd

Wagon PLC

MARKETING ACTIVITY

Main Media Advertising Expenditure

By Car Manufacturers

Table 4.3: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Car Manufacturers

(¢G000 and %), Year Ending December 2007

Table 4.4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Car Manufacturers

by Type of Car (¢G000 and %), Year Ending December 2007

By Motor Dealerships

Table 4.5: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Motor Dealerships

(¢G000), Year Ending December 2007

Exhibitions and Trade Shows

5. Cars

DEFINITION

KEY TRENDS

MARKET SIZE

Table 5.1: The Apparent UK Market for Cars

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

Figure 5.1: The Apparent UK Market for Cars

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

SUPPLY STRUCTURE

UK Production

Table 5.2: UK Production of Cars for the Home Market and

Export Markets by Volume (number and %), 2003-2007

New Registrations

Table 5.3: New Registrations of Cars in the UK

by Origin of Vehicle (number and %), 2003-2007

Diesel-Engined Cars

Table 5.4: New Registrations of Cars in the UK ¡X Diesel and

Non-Diesel Vehicles (number and %), 2003-2007

Private Cars and Company Cars

Table 5.5: New Registrations of Cars in the UK ¡X Private and

Non-Private Vehicles (%), 2003-2007

The Most Popular Models

Table 5.6: New Registrations of Cars in the UK ¡X the Top Ten Models

(number and %), 2006 and 2007

Sales of Used Cars

Table 5.7: Sales of Used Cars in the UK ¡X the Top Ten Models

(number and %), 2007

Contents Motor Industry

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Number of Companies and Employment

Table 5.8: Number of Enterprises and Number of Employees Engaged in

the Manufacture of Motor Vehicles in the UK, 2002-2006

MAJOR PLAYERS

Table 5.9: New Registrations of Cars in the UK by Manufacturer

(number and %), 2006 and 2007

Ford

Vauxhall

Volkswagen

Peugeot/Citroen

Renault

BMW

Toyota

Honda

Audi

Mercedes-Benz

Nissan

Fiat

Mazda

Suzuki

Volvo

ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION

Table 5.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Cars by Manufacturer

and Model (¢G000 and %), Year Ending September 2007

BUYING BEHAVIOUR

Car Ownership

Table 5.11: Penetration of Car Ownership

(% of households), 2004, 2005 and 2007

By Sex and Age

Table 5.12: Penetration of Car Ownership

by Sex and Age (% of households), 2007

Table 5.13: Profile of Car Owners by Age and Number of Cars Owned

(% of households owning a car), 2007

By Social Grade

Table 5.14: Penetration of Car Ownership

by Social Grade (% of households), 2007

Table 5.15: Profile of Car Owners by Social Grade and Number of Cars Owned

(% of households owning a car), 2007

By Region

Table 5.16: Penetration of Car Ownership

by Region (% of households), 2007

Table 5.17: Profile of Car Owners by Region and Number of Cars Owned

(% of households owning a car), 2007

FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012

New Registrations

Table 5.18: Forecast New Registrations of Cars

in the UK (000), 2008-2012

Motor Industry Contents

ÆÉ Key Note Ltd 2008

Market Size

Table 5.19: The Forecast Apparent UK Market for Cars

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2008-2012

6. Commercial Vehicles

DEFINITION

KEY TRENDS

MARKET SIZE

Table 6.1: The Apparent UK Market for Commercial Vehicles

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

Figure 6.1: The Apparent UK Market for Commercial Vehicles

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

SUPPLY STRUCTURE

UK Production

Table 6.2: UK Production of Commercial Vehicles for the Home Market

and Export Markets by Volume (number and %), 2003-2007

UK Exports by Type of Vehicle

Table 6.3: UK Exports of Commercial Vehicles

by Type by Volume (number), 2002-2006

New Registrations

Table 6.4: New Registrations of Commercial Vehicles in the UK

by Origin of Vehicle (number and %), 2003-2007

By Type of Vehicle

Table 6.5: New Registrations of Commercial Vehicles in the UK

by Type of Vehicle (number and %), 2003-2007

Number of Companies and Employment

Table 6.6: Number of Enterprises and Number of Employees Engaged in

the Manufacture of Commercial Vehicles in the UK, 2002-2006

MAJOR PLAYERS

Light Commercial Vehicles

Table 6.7: New Registrations of Light Commercial Vehicles in the UK

by Manufacturer (number and %), 2006 and 2007

Heavy Commercial Vehicles

Table 6.8: New Registrations of Heavy Commercial Vehicles in the UK

by Manufacturer (number and %), 2006 and 2007

Buses and Coaches

Table 6.9: New Registrations of Buses and Coaches in the UK

by Manufacturer (number and %), 2006 and 2007

Selected Company Profiles

Ford

Vauxhall

Citroen/Peugeot

Volkswagen

Daimler

Renault

Contents Motor Industry

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Iveco

Nissan

PACCAR

LDV

Volvo

ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION

Table 6.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Trucks by Manufacturer

and Model (¢G000), Year Ending December 2007

Table 6.11: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Vans by Manufacturer

and Model (¢G000), Year Ending December 2007

BUYING BEHAVIOUR

Light and Heavy Commercial Vehicles

Buses and Coaches

Commercial-Vehicle Ownership and Use

By Sex and Age

Table 6.12: Commercial-Vehicle Ownership and Use

by Sex and Age (% of adults), 2007

Table 6.13: Profile of Commercial-Vehicle Owners and Users

by Sex and Age (% of adults owning/using), 2007

By Social Grade

Table 6.14: Commercial-Vehicle Ownership and Use

by Social Grade (% of adults), 2007

Table 6.15: Profile of Commercial-Vehicle Owners and Users

by Social Grade (% of adults owning/using), 2007

By Region

Table 6.16: Commercial-Vehicle Ownership and Use

by Region (% of adults), 2007

Table 6.17: Profile of Commercial-Vehicle Owners and Users

by Region (% of adults owning/using), 2007

FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012

New Registrations

Table 6.18: Forecast New Registrations of Commercial Vehicles

in the UK (000), 2008-2012

Market Size

Table 6.19: The Forecast Apparent UK Market for Commercial Vehicles

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2008-2012

7. Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

DEFINITION

KEY TRENDS

MARKET SIZE

Table 7.1: The Apparent UK Market for Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

Figure 7.1: The Apparent UK Market for Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

Motor Industry Contents

ÆÉ Key Note Ltd 2008

Licensed Stock

Table 7.2: Licensed Stock of Motorcycles in Great Britain

by Engine Size (000), 2002-2006

SUPPLY STRUCTURE

New Registrations

Table 7.3: New Registrations of Motorcycles and Mopeds

in the UK, 2003-2007

By Style of Vehicle

Motorcycles

Table 7.4: First Registrations of New Motorcycles in the UK

by Style of Vehicle, 2003-2007

Mopeds

Table 7.5: First Registrations of New Mopeds in the UK

by Style of Vehicle, 2003-2007

The Most Popular Models

Table 7.6: First Registrations of New Motorcycles in the UK

by Manufacturer and Model (number and %), 2007

By Style

Table 7.7: First Registrations of New Motorcycles and Mopeds in the UK

by Style, Manufacturer and Model, 2007

Number of Companies and Employment

Table 7.8: Number of Enterprises and Number of Employees Engaged in

the Manufacture of Motorcycles in the UK, 2002-2006

Table 7.9: Number of Enterprises and Number of Employees Engaged in

the Sale, Maintenance and Repair of Motorcycles and Related Parts and Accessories

in the UK, and Their Combined Sales (¢Gm), 2002-2006

MAJOR PLAYERS

Honda

Yamaha

Suzuki

Piaggio

Triumph

Other Suppliers

ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION

Motorcycle Manufacturers

Table 7.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Motorcycle Manufacturers

(¢G000), Year Ending December 2007

Motorcycle Dealers

Table 7.11: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Motorcycle Dealers

(¢G000), Year Ending December 2007

Motorcycle Accessories

Table 7.12: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Motorcycle Accessories

(¢G000), Year Ending December 2007

BUYING BEHAVIOUR

Ownership of Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

Contents Motor Industry

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By Sex and Age

Table 7.13: Ownership of Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

by Sex and Age (% of households), 2007

Table 7.14: Profile of Motorcycle, Moped and Scooter Owners

by Sex and Age (% of households owning), 2007

By Social Grade

Table 7.15: Ownership of Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

by Social Grade (% of households), 2007

Table 7.16: Profile of Motorcycle, Moped and Scooter Owners

by Social Grade (% of households owning), 2007

By Region

Table 7.17: Ownership of Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

by Region (% of households), 2007

Table 7.18: Profile of Motorcycle, Moped and Scooter Owners

by Region (% of households owning), 2007

FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012

New Registrations

Table 7.19: Forecast New Registrations of Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

in the UK (000), 2008-2012

Market Size

Table 7.20: The Forecast Apparent UK Market for Motorcycles, Mopeds and Scooters

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2008-2012

8. Motor Components

DEFINITION

KEY TRENDS

MARKET SIZE

Table 8.1: The Apparent UK Market for Motor Components

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

Figure 8.1: The Apparent UK Market for Motor Components

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2007

Table 8.2: Import Penetration of the Apparent UK Market

for Motor Components by Value (%), 2003-2007

Overseas Trade

Table 8.3: UK Imports and Exports of Motor-Vehicle Parts and Accessories

by Region of Source or Destination by Value (¢Gm at msp and %), 2006

SUPPLY STRUCTURE

Number of Companies

Table 8.4: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in

the Manufacture of Parts and Accessories for Motor Vehicles

and Their Engines by Turnover Sizeband (¢G000), 2003-2007

Employment

Table 8.5: Number of Enterprises and Number of Employees

Engaged in the Manufacture of Parts and Accessories for Motor Vehicles

and their Engines, 2002-2006

Motor Industry Contents

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MAJOR PLAYERS

GKN

Pilkington

Stadco

TI Automotive

Tomkins

Unipart

ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION

Table 8.6: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Motor Components

by Category (¢G000), Year Ending December 2007

BUYING BEHAVIOUR

Sales of Used Vehicles

Table 8.7: Number of Used-Vehicle Sales

in Great Britain (000), 2003-2007

MOT Tests

Table 8.8: MOT Tests and Failures in Great Britain

(million and %), Years Ending March 2003-2007

Average Annual Mileage of Four-Wheeled Cars

Table 8.9: Average Annual Mileage of Four-Wheeled Cars

in Great Britain (miles), 2002-2006

Average Annual Mileage by Drivers

Table 8.10: Average Annual Mileage Driven

by Sex (% of adults), 2007

Purchasing of Car Accessories

Table 8.11: Ownership of In-Car MP3 Players, Satellite Navigation Systems

and Security Tracking Systems by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region

(% of adults), 2007

Table 8.12: Purchasers of Car Tyres, Anti-Freeze, Car Polish,

Car Batteries and Spark Plugs in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age,

Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2007

FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012

Table 8.13: The Forecast Apparent UK Market for Motor Components

by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2008-2012

9. A Global Perspective

GLOBAL PRODUCTION OF MOTOR VEHICLES

Table 9.1: Global Production of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles

by Country by Volume, 2004-2006

Table 9.2: Global Production of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles

by Country by Volume (%), 2004-2006

By Type of Vehicle

Table 9.3: Global Production of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles

by Type by Volume, 2004-2006

Passenger Cars

Table 9.4: Global Production of Passenger Cars by Country

by Volume (number and %), 2004-2006

Contents Motor Industry

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Light Commercial Vehicles

Table 9.5: Global Production of Light Commercial Vehicles

by Country by Volume (number and %), 2004-2006

Heavy Truck

Table 9.6: Global Production of Heavy Trucks by Country

by Volume (number and %), 2004-2006

Buses and Coaches

Table 9.7: Global Production of Buses and Coaches by Country

by Volume (number and %), 2004-2006

EUROPEAN PRODUCTION OF POWERED TWO-WHEELERS

Table 9.8: Production of Powered Two-Wheelers in Europe

by Country by Volume (number and %), 2004-2006

GLOBAL SALES OF MOTORCYCLES

Table 9.9: Global Sales of Motorcycles

by Region (000 and %), 2006

NEW REGISTRATIONS IN EUROPE

Passenger Cars

Table 9.10: New Registrations of Passenger Cars

in Europe, 2006 and 2007

Motorcycles and Mopeds

Table 9.11: New Registrations of Motorcycles and Mopeds

in the EU27, 2004-2006

Motorcycles

Table 9.12: New Registrations of Motorcycles in the EU27

by Country (number and %), 2004-2006

Mopeds

Table 9.13: Deliveries of New Mopeds in the EU27

by Country (number and %), 2004-2006

THE WORLD¡¦S LEADING MOTOR MANUFACTURERS

Table 9.14: Global Production of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles

by Manufacturer by Volume (number and %), 2006

10. The Future

THE ECONOMY

Gross Domestic Product

Table 10.1: Forecast Growth in UK Gross Domestic Product

in Real Terms (%), 2008-2012

Population

Table 10.2: Forecast UK Resident Population

by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2008-2012

Inflation

Table 10.3: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2008-2012

Unemployment

Table 10.4: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons

in the UK (million), 2008-2012

Motor Industry Contents

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FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012

Table 10.5: The Forecast Apparent UK Market for Motor Vehicles and

Components by Sector by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2008-2012

MARKET GROWTH

Figure 10.1: The Apparent UK Market for Motor Vehicles and

Components by Value (¢Gm at msp), 2003-2012

FUTURE TRENDS

New Car Registrations Expected to Fall in 2008

UK Vehicle Production Shows Further Strong Growth

Pendragon Changes its Approach

Honda Announces New Investment

11. Further Sources

Associations

General Sources

Government Sources

Other Sources

Bisnode Sources

Understanding TGI Data

Number, Profile, Penetration

Social Grade

Standard Region

Key Note Research

The Key Note Range of Reports

Abstract

The apparent UK market for motor vehicles and components is estimated to have been worth £61.58bn in 2007 — a 4.4% increase on the 2006 value of £58.96bn. The market has experienced varying levels of annual growth since 2003, but it grew by a total of 12.1% over the review period.

Four sectors are examined in this Market Review: cars; commercial vehicles; motorcycles, mopeds and scooters; and motor components. The cars sector is the largest by far in terms of value, but motorcycles, mopeds and scooters was the fastest-growing sector of the market between 2003 and 2007.

The UK motor-manufacturing sector, which is highly export-oriented, had a good year in 2007, with car production increasing for the first year since 2003 and commercial-vehicle production reaching its highest level since 1997. The future security of UK motor manufacturing has been boosted by news that Honda is to invest a further £80m in its plant at Swindon, while Nissan is to expand its Sunderland workforce to increase output of the Qashqai.

The motor-retailing sector, however, had a difficult year in 2007. Although the number of new car registrations was higher than in 2006, consumer demand for nearly new cars dwindled in the face of rising interest rates. As a result, the car market became progressively more competitive and pressure was put on used-car margins. Some of the leading motor retailers responded by closing less profitable dealerships or disposing of some of their UK businesses in order to invest in fast-growing overseas markets.

In 2007, new UK registrations of motorcycles and mopeds reached their highest level since 2003. People are increasingly identifying motorcycles and mopeds as a cost-effective form of transport and part of the solution to the pressures on the environment. The positive impression of motorcycling given by the television series Long Way Down, featuring Ewan MacGregor and Charley Boorman, may also have contributed to the upturn in the market.

The apparent UK market for motor vehicles and components is expected to be affected by slowing economic growth and weakening consumer confidence in 2008. New registrations of cars are projected to fall, although new registrations of commercial vehicles could show a further small rise. The current buoyancy of the motorcycle, moped and scooter market may also be maintained in 2008, and the market for motor components, including replacement parts, is expected to remain relatively strong. UK production of cars and, in particular, commercial vehicles could see a further rise.

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