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Femtocell Market Shares, Strategies, and Forecasts, 2008 to 2014

Published by: Wintergreen Research

Published: May. 1, 2008 - 303 Pages


Table of Contents


FEMTOCELL EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Femtocell Base Station

Femtocell Forecasts

Femtocell Service Launches

1. FEMTOCELL MARKET DESCRIPTION AND MARKET DYNAMICS

1.1 Femtocell Base Station Services

1.1.1 Traditional FMC Model Support VoIP Calls Over The IP Network

1.1.2 Femtocells Support VoIP Calls Over The IP Network

1.1.3 Session Border Controller (SBC)

1.1.4 SPIT Attack Simulation Project

1.2 T-Mobile Strategic Ubiquisys 3G Femtocell Positioning

1.3 Femtocells Small Consumer Devices

1.4 Femtocells Improve Cellular Coverage

1.4.1 Units The Size Of A Paperback Book

1.5 Increased Exposure To Radiation Is A Concern

1.6 SIP- Deployment

1.6.1 Telephone First Point Of Contact

1.6.2 SIP Application Server

1.6.3 SIP Applications

2. FEMTOCELL MARKET SHARES AND FORECASTS

2.1 Femtocell A Base Station

2.1.1 Femtocell Can Achieve Wireless Backhaul

2.1.2 Femtocell Advanced Functionality

2.2 Femtocell Forecasts

2.3 SMB Business Femtocell Market Forecasts

2.4 Femtocell Service Launches

2.4.1 Ubiquisys Google-Backed Company

2.4.2 T-Mobile's HotSpot@Home Service

2.4.3 Sprint Femtocell Trials

2.5 Carrier Adoption of Femtocells

2.6 Femtocell Market Participants

2.6.1 Ubiquisys

2.6.2 Ubiquisys Femtocell

2.6.3 Nokia Siemens

2.6.4 Netgear

2.6.5 Linksys

2.6.6 NextPoint Networks / ReefPoint Systems Announces A

Distribution Agreement With Samsung Electronics

2.6.7 Huawei

2.7 Femtocell Market Convergence Of Services

2.8 Femtocell Potential Benefits To Wireless Service Providers

2.8.1 Google

2.9 Broadband Subscribers

2.10 Business Use of Broadband

2.10.1 Challenges of 3G wireless broadband technology

2.11 Femtocell Business Case

2.12 Femtocell Pricing

2.13 Femtocell Regional Analysis

2.13.1 N. America

2.13.2 Western Europe

2.13.3 Asia-Pacific / Japan

3. FEMTOCELL PRODUCT DESCRIPTION

3.1 ipaccess

3.1.1 ipaccess Oyster 3G

3.2.1 Architecture of Oyster 3G

3.2 Fujitsu Ultra-Compact Femtocell

3.3 Samsung

3.3.1 Samsung CDMA UbiCell

3.3.2 Samsung HSPA UbiCell

3.4 Airvana

3.3.1 Airvana CDMA HubBub

3.5 Ubiquisys

3.5.1 Ubiquisys ZoneGate Services Platform

3.5.2 Ubiquisys ZoneGate for Operators

3.5.3 Ubiquisys ZoneGate for Consumers

3.6 CCPU

3.6.1 CCPU’s Trillium Femtocell software

3.6.2 Example of Trillium Femtocell Solutions

3.6.3 Femtocell Protocols Supported by CCPU

3.7 Airwalk

3.7.1 Airwalk EdgePoint

3.8 Aricent

3.9 RadioFrame Networks

3.8.1 RadioFrame OmniCell@Home

3.10 Nokia Siemens Networks

3.11 Huawei

3.12 picoChip

3.12.1 picoChip PC82x8 series

3.12.2 picoChip PC8209 series

3.13 Ericsson

3.13.1 Ericsson Home 3G Access Point

3.14 Kineto Wireless

3.15 Juniper Networks

3.16 Sonus Networks

3.17 2Wire

3.18 NextPoint

3.19 Rakon

4. FEMTOCELL TECHNOLOGY

4.1 Technology Trends in Femtocells

4.2 Collapsed Stack

4.2.1 UMA core

4.2.2 SIP or IMS

4.3 IP Multimedia Subsystems

4.3.1 Fixed / Mobile Convergence (FMC)

4.4 Unified Communications

4.4.1 IP Can Enable Consolidation Of Fixed And

Mobile Networks

4.4.2 SIP Protocol In Mobile Devices

4.4.3 Handoff Mechanism Between The Femtocell

Mini-Base Station And An External Cell Tower

4.5 Converged Edge Platform

4.6 IMS Architecture Provides Session Services

4.6.1 Simplifying Network Operation at the Media Layer

4.7 Femto Forum Standards and Open Systems Initiatives

4.7.1 Femtocell Technology Open Standards

4.7.2 Femtocell Forum Members

4.8 SIP Integration With IP And Rich Media Applications

4.8.1 Standards Based Signaling Technology Session

Initiation Protocol (SIP).

4.8.2 SIP Presence

4.8.3 SIP Actions

4.8.4 SIP Helps Sales

4.8.5 SIP Trunks & Benefits

4.8.6 SIP Reduction In The Cost Of Networking

4.9 SIP PBXs' Based On Linux

4.9.1 Cisco SIP

4.9.2 Cisco Unified Communication System

4.10 VoIP Gateways

4.11 Huawei Clock over IP

5. FEMTOCELL COMPANY PROFILES

5.1 2Wire

5.1.1 Partners/Customers

5.1.2 Revenue

5.2 Alcatel-Lucent

5.2.1 Financials

5.2.2 Alcatel - Lucent Revenue by Region and Business Group

5.2.3 Alcatel--Lucent and NEC

5.2.4 Rationale for LTE Joint Venture Combining

5.2.5 Customer List

5.2.6 Partners

5.3 Airvana

5.4 AirWalk Communications

5.4.1 Partners

5.4.2 Customers

5.5 Aricent

5.5.1 Customers

5.5.2 Strategy

5.5.3 Investors

5.5.4 Partners

5.5.5 Finance

5.6 Cisco

5.6.1 Cisco Net Sales:

5.6.2 BT and Cisco VoIP Connectivity To Cambridge University Users

5.6.3 Cisco SMB

5.7 Continuous Computing

5.7.1 Customers

5.7.2 Partners

5.8 Ericsson

5.8.1 Customers

5.9 Fujitsu

5.10 Google

5.11 Huawei

5.11.1 Huawei Next Generation Telecommunications Networks

5.11.2 Huawei Strategy

5.11.3 Huawei Partners

5.11.4 Huawei Global Operations

5.11.5 Huawei

5.11.6 Huawei Strategy

5.11.7 Partners

5.11.8 Global Operations

5.11.9 Financials

5.11.10 Huawei Files 26,880 Patent Applications

5.11.11 Huawei Standards & Patents

5.11.12 Huawei Core Technology Systems Architecture

5.11.13 Huawei Procucts

5.11.14 Huawei Key Partnerships

5.11.15 Huawei Technologies and 3Com Focus on

Enterprise Data Networking

5.12 Ip.access

5.12.1 Ip.access Investors

5.12.2 Partners

5.13 InfiNet Wireless

5.13.1 Global Strategic Partners

5.14 Juniper Networks

5.14.1 Strategy

5.14.2 Customers

5.14.3 Partners

5.15 Kineto

5.15.1 Customers

5.15.2 Partners

5.16 Motorola

5.16.1 Financials

5.16.2 Partners

5.17 NextPoint

5.17.1 NextPoint Networks Global, Fixed-Mobile Convergence

5.17.2 NextPoint Networks / Reefpoint Systems

5.17.3 Customers

5.18 Nokia-Siemens

5.18.1 Strategy

5.18.2 Financials

5.18.3 Customers

5.18.4 Partners

5.18.5 Nokia Mobile Communications

5.18.6 Siemens AG

5.18.7 Siemens Networks LLC

5.18.8 Siemens

5.19 Nortel

5.19.1 Results of Operations

5.20 picoChip

5.20.1 Investors

5.20.2 Partners

5.20.3 Finance

5.21 RadioFrame Networks

5.21.1 RadioFrame Networks Investors

5.21.2 RadioFrame Networks Strategy

5.21.3 RadioFrame Networks Partners

5.22 Rakon

5.22.1 Financials

5.22.2 Partners

5.23 Samsung

5.23.1 Samsung

5.23.2 Samsung Strategy

5.23.3 Samsung Electronics Financials

5.23.4 Samsung Partners

5.23.5 Samsung Information Technology Division (ITD)

5.23.6 Samsung Electronics Global Leader

5.24 Sonus Networks

5.24.1 Customers

5.24.2 Partners

5.24.3 Revenue

5.25 Texas Instruments

5.25.1 Texas Instrument Femtocell Strategic Positioning

5.26 Ubiquisys

5.26.1 Partners

5.26.2 Customers

5.27 ZTE

5.27.1 Partners

5.27.2 Financials

6. WORLDWIDE MID MARKET BUSINESS SIZE AND GO TO MARKET STRATEGIES

6.1 Global Digital Environment Depends on

Leadership and Partnering

6.1.1 Channel Partner Strategy

6.1.2 IBM Global Innovation Outlook

6.1.3 Cisco Leads with On Line Technology Message

6.1.4 Vision of Intelligent Information Networks to Leverage Technology Innovation and the Internet

6.1.5 Microsoft, Intel, and Hewlett-Packard Have A Small And Medium Enterprise (SME) Consortium

6.2 Enabling Small and Mid Size Business Environment

6.3 Growth Potential Of Small Businesses Becoming Mid Size Businesses

6.3.1 U.S. Small and Mid Market Size Business Revenue Growth

6.3.1 U.S. Small and Mid Market Size Business IT and Broadband Equipment Spending Growth

6.3.2 Worldwide Small and Mid Market Size Business IT and Broadband Equipment Spending Growth

6.3.3 Worldwide Small and Mid Market Size Business Communications and Network Spending Growth

6.4 Worldwide SMB Market Size and Growth

6.5 SMB As Percent Of Country / Region / World GDP

6.5.1 Asian Pacific SMBs Adopting IT at High Rate

6.6 Challenges Facing Small To Medium Businesses (SMBs)

6.6.1 Exporting

6.6.2 Mid Size Business Global Opportunity

6.6.3 Critical to the World Economy

6.6.4 Internet As An Integral Part Of The Global Economy

6.6.5 Internet-Based Businesses

6.6.6 Digital Inclusion

6.7 SMB Research And Analysis Highlights

6.7.1 What Constitutes A Small Business?

6.7.2 US 6-36

6.7.3 Germany

6.7.4 Economic Growth In Europe

6.7.5 SMB Broadband in Southeast Asia

6.7.6 BPM in SMBs

6.7.7 Broadband in SMBs

6.7.8 Hong Kong

6.7.9 Australia

6.7.10 South Korea

6.7.11 Japan 6-45

6.7.12 Russia 6-45

6.7.13 Exports

6.7.14 SME Requirements And How A Smart Marketing And Sales Executive Addresses Them

6.7.15 India 6-47

6.7.16 Pakistan

List of Tables and Figures

Table ES-1

Femtocell Market Advantages

Figure ES-2

Worldwide Home and SMB Femtocell Market Forecasts,

Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 1-1

Fixed Mobile Convergence Handset Illustration

Table 1-2

T-Mobile Strategic Ubiquisys 3G Femtocell Positioning

Figure 1-3

Femtocell Architecture

Table 2-1

Femtocell Market Advantages

Table 2-2

Femtocell Market Difficulties

Table 2-3

Femtocell Market Driving Forces

Table 2-4

Femtocell Market Aspects

Table 2-5

Femtocell Technology Benefits

Figure 2-6

Worldwide Home and SMB Femtocell Market Forecasts,

Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 2-7

Worldwide Consumer and SMB Business Use of Femtocells

Market Forecasts, Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 2-8

Worldwide Home Femtocell Market Forecasts, Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 2-9

Worldwide Consumer Use of Femtocell Market Forecasts,

Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 2-10

Worldwide Femtocell Market Penetration Market Forecasts,

Units, 2008-2014

Figure 2-11

Worldwide Household Femtocell Market Penetration, Market

Forecasts, Percent, 2008-2014

Figure 2-12

Worldwide SMB Business Femtocell Market Forecasts,

Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 2-13

Worldwide Small and Mid Size Business Use of Femtocell

Market Forecasts, Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 2-14

Worldwide Femtocell Small and Mid Size Business

Market Penetration, Market Forecasts, Number of

Businesses, Units, 2008-2014

Figure 2-15

Worldwide Femtocell Small and Mid Size Business

Market Penetration, Market Forecasts, Number of

Businesses, Units, 2008-2014

Figure 2-16

Worldwide Femtocell Small and Mid Size Business

Market Penetration, Market Forecasts, Number of

Businesses, 2008-2014

Figure 2-17

Worldwide Femtocell Small and Mid Size Business

Market Penetration, Market Forecasts, Number of

Businesses, Percent, 2008-2014

Figure 2-18

Worldwide Femtocell Small and Mid Size Business

Market Forecasts, Number of Businesses, 2008-2014

Figure 2-19

Femtocell Architecture Installed Indoors

Figure 2-20

Femtocell Home Architecture

Figure 3-1

ipaccess Oyster 3G Femtocell

Table 3-2

Advantages of Oyster 3G

Table 3-3

Advantages of Oyster 3G Access Point

Table 3-4

Advantages of Oyster 3G Access Controller

Table 3-5

Services Provided by Oyster 3G Manager

Figure 3-6

Samsung CDMA UbiCell

Table 3-7

Advantages of Samsung CDMA UbiCell

Figure 3-8

Samsung HSPA UbiCell

Figure 3-9

Samsung HSPA UbiCell

Table 3-10

Advantages of Samsung HSPA UbiCell

Figure 3-11

Airvana CDMA HubBub Network Architecture

Table 3-12

Features of Airvana CDMA HubBub

Table 3-13

Operator Benefits Provided By Airvana Femtocell Solutions

Table 3-14

Consumer Benefits Provided By Airvana Femtocell Solutions

Figure 3-15

Ubiquisys ZoneGate

Figure 3-16

Ubiquisys Home Zone Gateway

Table 3-17

Services offered by CCPU Trillium Femtocell Software

Figure 3-18

SIP Interface to Core Network

Figure 3-19

Trillium 3G / 4G Wireless Product Family

Figure 3-20

Airwalk EdgePoint

Table 3-21

Operator Benefits of Airwalk EdgePoint

Table 3-22

Residential Consumer Benefits of Airwalk EdgePoint

Table 3-23

Advantages of Aricent Femtocell Solutions

Table 3-24

Advantages of RadioFrame Base Station

Figure 3-25

RadioFrame’s OmniCell@Home

Figure 3-26

Nokia Siemens Networks 3G Femto Home Access Points

Table 3-27

User Advantages of Nokia Siemens Networks 3G Femto

Home Access Points

Table 3-28

Operator Advantages of Nokia Siemens Networks 3G

Femto Home Access Points

Figure 3-29

Femtocell Home Coverage System

Table 3-30

picoChip Developments in the area of Femtocell

Figure 3-31

Three Possible Femtocell Architectures

Table 3-32

NextPoint FCG Features

Figure 4-1

Motorola Service Provider Technology Positioning

Figure 4-2

Motorola Femtocell Technology Evolution

Figure 4-3

Unified Communications Exchange

Figure 4-4

Unified Communications Voice Data Integration

Figure 4-5

Converged Edge Platform Architecture

Figure 4-6

IMS Architecture Session Service

Table 4-7

Session Initiation Protocol SIP Benefits

Table 4-8

avaya.com SIP Protocols

Table 4-8 (Continued)

avaya.com SIP Protocols

Table 4-9

Avaya SIP Creates System Flexibility

Figure 4-10

Cisco Unified Communication System

Table 4-11

Transitioning From Physical To Virtual Contact Centers

Table 4-11 (Continued)

Transitioning From Physical To Virtual Contact Centers

Figure 5-1

Alcatel - Lucent Revenue by Region and Business Group

Table 5-2

Huawei Standards & Patents

Table 5-3

Huawei Key Telecommunications Technologies

Table 5-4

Huawei Products And Solutions

Figure 5-5

Siemens Addresses Market Shifts for IP PBX

Figure 5-6

Siemens Reorganization Closer to Customer

Figure 6-1

U.S. Small and Medium Size Businesses, Number 2008-2014

Figure 6-2

U.S. Small and Medium Size Business IT and Broadband

Equipment Spending, Market Forecast, Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 6-3

U.S. Small and Medium Size Business IT Spending

Forecasts, Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 6-4

Worldwide Small and Mid Market Business Forecasts,

Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 6-5

Worldwide Small And Mid Market Business

Communications And Network Spending

Forecasts, Dollars, 2008-2014

Table 6-6

Worldwide Small and Medium Size Business IT and

Broadband Communications Spending Market Forecast,

Dollars, 2008-2014

Figure 6-7

Worldwide Small and Medium Businesses by Region, 2006

Figure 6-8

Worldwide SMB Small and Medium Business Regional

Segments, 2007

Table 6-9

Worldwide Small and Medium Businesses by Region,

Number, 2006-2006

Table 6-10

Worldwide Small and Medium Businesses by Region,

Number, 2007-2014

Table 6-11

Worldwide Small and Medium Businesses by Region,

Percent, 2006

Figure 6-12

Worldwide Revenue of Small and Medium Businesses by

Region, Dollars, 2006

Table 6-13

Worldwide Small and Medium Businesses As A

Percent of GNP, 2006

Table 6-14

Worldwide Small and Medium Businesses As A

Percent of Regional GNP, 2006

Table 6-15

GDP Analysis of Indian Economy

Abstract

Femtocell systems provide modular value added services delivery of wireless communications and SIP based push technology presence implementing flexibility for people. The femtocells are designed for achieving automation of communications connectivity around the home and office. Adoption of advanced systems is anticipated to be rapid.

Femtocells, are they a secret gathering of female revolutionaries or a miniature mobile phone base station? Probably the latter, but it is intriguing to think about the former. Lets see, oh well, femtocell technology is an industry-changing innovation. Dual-mode WiFi/cellular phones are not nearly as cost effective as femtocells. Femtocells are emerging as the main technologies that will link the indoor and outdoor networks. Femtocells are particularly attractive to mobile carriers.

Femtocells are emerging as a technology that lets wireless phone use in homes and offices become a viable alternative to landline telephones. The ability to leverage the Internet makes femtocells an economic force in the marketplace; it brings the industry changes in the way voice is delivered.

Femtocells support SIP based broadband applications. Femtocells will most likely work in a telecommunications environment that has multiple co-existing technologies that are deployed by different carriers to address their specific customer bases, business models, and eco-systems.

IP Multimedia subsystems promise to play a significant role in the core network evolution. The consumer always prefers achieving control over the network as much a s possible. The core backbone infrastructure is provided by the services providers, but the edge of the network is evolving functionality. Femtocells provide a way for consumers to go to the local store and purchase a device that optimizes the existing 3G handset ability to have better access to NGN IP services.

This aspect of optimizing packet services from the home gives the consumer better control. No one will defer to the service provider if they can go out and purchase their own device for somewhere between $300 and $100 as the volumes increase and the prices decline. Service providers may think that they can control the access to the devices, but in competitive markets, the customer will always choose control over his own environment vs. giving the services provider control over the network.

If Google set up the wireless telephone business, they could offer communications free, basing the revenue model on advertising. If calls go out ot he Internet throught the femtocell, they could be handled in the same way that Google Talk works not, and there would be no need for a wireless services provider.

Services providers cannot service devices in the home the cost of truck tolls is too high. Just as Verizon started out offering routers to the home owner for fiber services, those devices were not supported and customers are told to go to the local store and purchase a router.

Femtocell trials are achieving success. Rolling out a femtocell-based service is dependent on building an end-user initiative that would create demand for a femtocell. Improved indoor coverage can be delivered by repeaters or additional macro-cell base stations. Improved capacity would follow. Femtocells create the need for subscribers to purchase home based devices. The value in FMC services comes when strong 3G users need more capacity to transmit to the internet from inside the home or office.

Markets initially at $434 million in 2009 reach $9 billion by 2014. The rapid growth occurs because to the large size of the wireless handset markets, the billions of subscribes that must be supported. The femtocells provide core infrastructure at a lower price than other alternatives. The local home base station gives the consumer a measure of control over the network that is useful.

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