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Restaurants - UK - April 2008

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Apr. 1, 2008 - 104 Pages


Table of Contents


ISSUES IN THE MARKET

Main issues

Definition

Abbreviations

MARKET IN BRIEF

‘Double whammy’ hits restaurants

Figure 1: UK restaurant sector growth trends, 2003-08

Eating out still a priority

British and European outshines American and ethnic

The Restaurant Group and Tragus dominate a fragmented industry

Pub restaurants still provide stiffest competition

Eating out: still a treat

STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES IN THE MARKET

Strengths

Affluence

Lifestyle factors

Service

Specialism

Weaknesses

Rising overheads

Staff shortages

Vulnerable to trading down

Smoking ban

INTERNAL MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

Daytime business increases

Figure 2: Frequency of eating out at restaurants in the last 12 months, 2003-07

Figure 3: Frequency of eating out at lunchtime on weekdays in the last month, 2003-07

Adapting to changing tastes

Figure 4: Types of restaurants visited in the last three months, 2003-07

Are we truly a nation of foodies?

Figure 5: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, 2003-07

Pricing pressures

Figure 6: Trends in the cost of restaurant meals compared to all items and food prices, 2002-07

Other overhead pressures

Immigration: opportunities and threats

Energy: cost and green issues abound

Good service costs nothing

Provenance: where does it come from?

Keeping it simple

Technology: boon or bane?

Figure 7: British Internet penetration at home/work/place of study or elsewhere, by demographics, Jan 2001-July 2007

BROADER MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

Splash the cash

Figure 8: Trends in personal disposable income and consumer expenditure, 2003-13

An ageing population

Figure 9: Trends in the age structure of the UK population, by gender, 2003-13

Posh nosh

Figure 10: Forecast adult population trends, by socio-economic group, 2003-13

Third age but first priority

Figure 11: Forecast adult population trends, by lifestage, 2003-13

Single-minded

Figure 12: UK household sizes, 2003-13

COMPETITIVE CONTEXT

Key points

Eating out takes priority

Figure 13: Expenditure priorities, 2006-08

Figure 14: The UK market for eating out, 2002-07

Contrasting fortunes

Figure 15: The UK market for eating out*, by sector, 2001-07

Pubs up the ante

MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

Key points

Market treads water

Figure 16: The UK restaurant market, 2003-13

Future-proof?

Factors used in forecast

SEGMENT PERFORMANCE

Key points

Restaurant meals outstrip ethnic sector

Figure 17: UK restaurant market, by sector, 2003-13

RESTAURANT MEALS

British restaurants

American and themed restaurants

European restaurants

Ethnic restaurants

Factors used in forecast

COMPANIES AND PRODUCTS

Key points

Figure 18: Leading UK restaurant chain operators*, March 2008

A TO Z RESTAURANTS LTD

Caprice Holdings Ltd

Carluccio’s plc

Clapham House Group plc

Gaucho Group Ltd

Greene King

Individual Restaurant Company plc

Bay Restaurant Group Ltd

Living Ventures Restaurants Ltd

Mitchells & Butlers

Paramount Holdings Ltd

Prezzo plc

Regent Inns plc

T.G.I. Friday’s UK Ltd

The Orchid Group

The Restaurant Group plc

Town Centre Restaurants Ltd

Tragus Holdings

Wagamama Ltd

Yo! Sushi

BRAND COMMUNICATION AND PROMOTION

Key points

Figure 19: Main media advertising expenditure for selected restaurant chains, by channel, 2007

TYPE OF RESTAURANTS VISITED

Key points

Figure 20: Restaurants visited in the last three months, January 2008

Pubs continue to dominate the eating out landscape

The Chinese restaurant eat-in consumer

The Indian restaurant eat-in consumer

The Thai restaurant eat-in consumer

The British restaurant eat-in consumer

The Italian restaurant eat-in consumer

The American restaurant eat-in consumer

Pubs, Chinese and British restaurants the big movers and shakers

Figure 21: Restaurants visited in the last three months for a meal eaten in the restaurant, 2006 and 2008

Top takeaway choices consolidate their position

Figure 22: Restaurants visited in the last three months for a takeaway, 2006 and 2008

The Chinese restaurant takeaway consumer

The Indian restaurant takeaway consumer

FREQUENCY OF VISITING RESTAURANTS

Key points

Figure 23: Frequency of visiting restaurants, 2006 and 2008

Most frequent diners are younger and affluent

Most frequent diners have broad repertoire

Figure 24: Frequency of visiting restaurants, by restaurants visited for a meal eaten in a restaurant, January 2008

APPENDIX: INTERNAL MARKET ENVIRONMENT

FREQUENCY OF EATING OUT AT RESTAURANTS - DETAILED DEMOGRAPHICS

Figure 25: Frequency of eating out at restaurants in the last 12 months, by demographic sub-group, 2007

Figure 26: Frequency of eating out at restaurants during the day in the last 12 months, by demographic sub group, 2007

Figure 27: Frequency of eating out at restaurants during the evening in the last 12 months, by demographic sub group, 2007

Figure 28: Frequency of eating out at lunchtime on weekdays in the last month, by demographic sub group, 2007

AGREEMENT WITH LIFESTYLE STATEMENTS - DETAILED DEMOGRAPHICS

Figure 29: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, by demographic sub group, 2007

Figure 30: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, by demographic sub-group, 2007

APPENDIX: TYPE OF RESTAURANTS VISITED

RESTAURANTS VISITED TO EAT IN - DETAILED DEMOGRAPHICS

Figure 31: Most popular restaurants visited to eat in, by detailed demographics, January 2008

Figure 32: Next most popular restaurants visited to eat in, by detailed demographics, January 2008

RESTAURANTS VISITED FOR A TAKEAWAY - DETAILED DEMOGRAPHICS

Figure 33: Most popular restaurants visited for a takeaway, by detailed demographics, January 2008

APPENDIX: FREQUENCY OF VISITING RESTAURANTS

FREQUENCY OF VISITING RESTAURANTS - DETAILED DEMOGRAPHICS

Figure 34: Frequency of visiting restaurants, by detailed demographics, January 2008

APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

Abstract

After a period of prolonged growth, restaurant operators have had to come to terms with weaker demand. This has come about through a combination of weakening of consumer confidence and stiffer competition from other sectors, such as pubs, which compete at the value end of the price spectrum. Although consumers do not want to eat out less frequently, there are indications that they are, or may seek to be in the future, trading down in terms of spend per head or the type of outlet they visit. While this is not good news for fine dining and mid-market chains, it will benefit those with a value proposition.

This report assesses the current status of the market and provides some pointers as to the future development of the industry and the major operators that compete within it. It also considers the hypothesis: “How do restaurants create a point of differentiation in a competitive marketplace?” and looks at how restaurants are adapting to changing market conditions and how they might need to respond in the future.

Main themes of the report:
  • Responding to a rising cost base in terms of staff costs and conforming to increasing red tape.
  • Coping with rising food prices, which are putting pressure on menu prices and margins.
  • Dealing with increased competition from pub restaurants.
  • Adapting to shifting consumer demand driven by weaker confidence levels and the credit crunch.



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