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Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: Mar. 1, 2008 - 117 Pages
Table of Contents
- Introduction
- Distinguishing between safety and security
- Key findings
- Acronyms
- Economic Outlook
- Current outlook for GDP growth
- Figure 1: Real GDP growth rate in %, 2005-09
- Risk of falling real estate prices
- Short-term interest rates
- Figure 2: Trend & outlook for short-term interest rates*, 2006-08
- Long-term interest rates
- Figure 3: The outlook for long-term interest rates, 2007-08
- Surging oil prices
- Exchange rates
- Figure 4: Average exchange rates against the Euro, 2006-08
- Spending on travel and tourism to 2017
- Figure 5: Travel & tourism expenditure worldwide, 2007-17
- Forecast for international tourism movements and spending
- Outbound trips by region of origin, 1990-2020
- Figure 6: Outbound trips (millions) by region of origin, 1990-2020
- Inbound arrivals by destination
- Figure 7: Arrivals (millions) by region of origin, 1990-2020
- Incoming receipts growth
- Figure 8: Incoming receipts by region, 2003-20
- Top ten countries for outbound trips
- Figure 9: Top ten countries for outbound departures in 2005 & 2020
- Top ten countries for outbound expenditure
- Figure 10: Top ten countries for outbound expenditure in 2005 & 2020
- Top ten inbound countries for inbound arrivals
- Figure 11: Top ten countries for inbound arrivals in 2005 & 2020
- Top ten countries for incoming receipts
- Figure 12: Top ten markets for incoming receipts in 2005 & 2020
- The fastest-growing outbound markets and destinations
- Figure 13: The ten fastest-growing outbound countries for departures and spend, 2005-20
- Figure 14: The ten fastest-growing destinations for arrivals and receipts, 2005-20
- Forecast trips and spend by the 30 main outbound countries
- Figure 15: Trips and spend by country of origin, 2005-20
- Forecast arrivals and receipts in the 32 main destination countries
- Figure 16: Forecast arrivals and receipts by 32 main destination countries, 2005-20
- Issues and Trends
- Traffic growth
- Figure 17: Trend in worldwide air passenger movements, 2000-06
- Network expansion
- Regional trends
- Figure 18: Forecast air traffic growth for 2007
- Passengers
- Figure 19: International traffic results by airline region of registration, Nov 2006-Nov 2007
- Premium travel languishing
- Air freight
- Competition from other transport modes
- Air freight profitability
- Air freight by region
- The largest airports in the world
- Passengers
- Denver boosted by low-cost traffic
- Figure 20: The world’s leading airports ranked by passenger movements, 2006
- Aircraft movements
- Figure 21: The world’s leading airports ranked by aircraft movements*, 2006
- Freight
- Memphis is number one
- Hong Kong
- Ted Stevens Anchorage International Airport
- Figure 22: The world’s leading airports ranked by cargo tonnes transported, 2006
- Airport management
- Marketing airports
- Greensboro subsidises carriers
- Budget airlines heavily subsidised
- Airport revenue streams
- Figure 23: Sources of airport operating revenues, 2007
- ‘Dual till’ accounting
- Slot allocation
- Figure 24: share of flights of top three carriers at major airports in Europe and the US, 2005
- Alitalia sells Heathrow slots at record prices
- A slot auction at JFK?
- Non-aeronautical activities
- Airport retailing and food & beverage goes upmarket
- Airport hotels
- Airport charges
- Fee structures
- Airport fee consultation procedure in Italy
- Airport fees average 4% of airline costs, but higher for LCCs
- Ryanair critical of ‘monopoly airports’
- IATA lobbies for lower airport charges
- Regulation airport charges in UK
- Stansted will continue to be regulated
- Manchester ‘deregulated’ but under pressure from competition
- Ryanair attracted by low fees at Birmingham
- Owner/operator trends
- Asia-Pacific
- Australia
- China
- Europe
- Austria
- Denmark
- France
- Germany
- Italy
- Netherlands
- Russia
- Spain
- Sweden
- Switzerland
- Turkey
- Figure 25: TAV Airports Holding’s shareholder structure, 2007
- UK
- Latin America
- Argentina
- Nicaragua
- North America
- Chicago Midway Airport
- Canada
- Mexico
- Economic impact of airports
- Figure 26: The economic impact of the air transport industry, 2007
- Employment
- Figure 27: Employment at airports worldwide, 2005
- The economic impact of the airport transport industry by region
- Figure 28: Breakdown of the economic contribution of the air transport industry by region, 2004
- UK
- Heathrow creates over 170,000 jobs
- Figure 29: Jobs created directly and indirectly by London Heathrow, 2005
- Environmental sustainability
- Noise
- Emissions control and energy conservation
- Global aviation environmental standards
- Airport Security
- Layers of security
- Figure 30: The TSA’s 20 layers of airport security
- The Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF)
- The ‘No-fly List’
- The No-Fly List criticised
- Validity questioned
- Secure Flight
- Figure 31: Comparison of CAPPS II and Secure Flight capabilities, 2006
- ‘Vetting and credentialing’ rationalised
- How Secure Flight would work
- Passengers to be categorised
- Mounting opposition to Secure Flight
- Key legislators and government officials also question the programme’s viability
- Too costly, not enough time
- Secondary Security Screening Selection
- Procedure when selected
- Randomness and credibility
- VIPR teams
- The TSA’s canine team
- Behaviour detection officers
- SPOT’s track record
- Ethnic profiling
- Federal Flight Deck Officer Program
- Passenger screening
- Metal detectors
- Ten fingerprints from foreign travellers entering the US
- The UK’s e-Borders programme
- Figure 32: e-Borders implementation schedule, 2008-14
- Baggage screening
- 100% passenger baggage screening
- Canada had 100% baggage screening before the deadline
- One-bag rule revoked
- Human resources issues
- Vetting of applicants
- The Transportation Security Clearinghouse
- New vetting requirements creating a bottleneck
- BAA spends £250 million a year on security
- Securing the building, parking areas, runways and surroundings
- BAA’s number plate recognition
- Screening for car bombs
- Roving security patrols
- Developments in scanning technology
- Backscatters do virtual ‘strip searches’
- Issues involving the use of backscatters
- Biometric security applications in airports
- Employee access control is the main use now
- Figure 33: Use of biometric identification in the world’s largest airports*, 2007
- TSA biometric product testing and standards
- TSA qualification testing
- miSense at Heathrow
- miSense passenger flow sequence
- Subsequent journeys
- miSense - summary of results
- miSense plus
- miSense all clear
- International regulatory requirements
- The IATA’s air travel security standards
- The ‘Simplifying Passenger Travel’ initiative
- Key opportunities
- Figure 34: Electronic ticketing penetration by airlines in IATA BSPs*, 2006-07
- ICAO security audits
- The audit process
- Aviation Security Mechanism
- Technical Co-operation Programme
- Audit follow-up missions
- Travel disruption now a major issue
- Ryanair descries airport mismanagement
- UK airports losing share due to restrictive rules
- Uproar over continued delays at UK airports
- Figure 35: UK airport guide for security duration, 2007
- Decline in satisfaction with baggage handling at US airports
- Figure 36: Customer satisfaction ranking* at large** US airports, 2007
- Do monopolies reduce passenger satisfaction?
- Monopoly theory contradicted by JD Power study
- Dealing with travel disruption
- Registered passenger schemes
- Privium Club
- CANPASS Air
- The UK’s Project IRIS
- The TSA’s Registered Traveller (RT) programme
- Participating sponsoring entities
- Clear
- Figure 37: Cost* of Clear membership, 2008
- Online registration
- Check-in by mobile phone
- Finnair
- Japan Airlines (JAL)
- All Nippon Airways (ANA)
- Air Canada
- Spanair’s link with Vodafone
- Creating an industry standard
- Airport Development and Expansion Projects
- Africa
- Angola
- A new airport at Luanda
- A US$400-million investment programme
- Libya
- Morocco
- South Africa
- Johannesburg International Airport (JIA)
- New airport at Durban
- Tunisia
- Asia Pacific
- Australia
- Brisbane Airport
- Sydney Airport
- China
- 97 more regional airports by 2020
- Congestion at the big hubs remains the real problem
- Bottlenecks due to lack of qualified manpower?
- India
- Mumbai and New Delhi
- Slum clearance project
- Figure 38: Summary of India’s major airport infrastructure projects, April 2007
- Hyderabad’s new airport
- Figure 39: Trend in air passenger traffic at Hyderabad, 2002-07
- Greater Noida
- Indonesia
- Kuala Namu International Airport
- An international airport in Kertajati
- Japan
- Tokyo Haneda Airport
- Naha Airport
- Malaysia
- New Zealand
- Pakistan
- Philippines
- Sri Lanka
- Thailand
- Vietnam
- Europe
- Planned capital expenditure at European airports 2006-15
- Figure 40: Capital expenditure at European airports 2006-15 by type of expenditure, 2000-15
- Figure 41: Future Capital expenditure at European airports by location, 2006-15
- France
- Figure 42: Aéroports de Paris investment programme by year, 2006-12
- Capacity increase at Paris-Charles de Gaulle
- Germany
- Berlin
- BBI’s financing and ownership structure
- Frankfurt
- Munich
- Ireland
- Pier D
- Terminal 1
- Terminal 2
- Italy
- Poland
- Portugal
- Lisbon’s new international airport to be located in Alcochete, not in Ota
- Economic and financial factors decisive
- Russia
- A revived aircraft manufacturing sector?
- Moscow
- Spain
- Canary Islands expansion project
- Switzerland
- UK
- Heathrow
- Heathrow East
- Timeline for the currently planned development of Heathrow
- A further £9-billion expansion?
- Stansted
- LCCs oppose the plan
- Luton has abandoned its expansion plan
- Birmingham
- Latin America and the Caribbean
- Argentina
- Brazil
- Colombia
- Two new regional airports
- Haiti
- Honduras
- Panama
- Uruguay
- Middle East
- Bahrain
- Iraq
- Karbala International Airport
- Jordan
- Kuwait
- Qatar
- Saudi Arabia
- United Arab Emirates
- The Dubai World Central International Airport
- Abu Dhabi International Airport
- Sharjah
- Sir Abu Nu’air
- North America
- Canada
- Edmonton
- US
- Figure 43: Breakdown of projected capital expenditure at US airports by size/type, 2007-11
- Inflation-impacting airport construction costs
- Terminal capacity is the priority
- Figure 44: Projected development costs by project location & size of hub, 2000-11
- Figure 45: Projected development expenditure by project type, (US$ mn), 2007-11
- Figure 46: Projected development expenditure by project type in %, 2007-11
- FACT 1 & 2
- Airports with near term capacity or delay constraints
- Airports with longer-term potential capacity constraints
- Figure 47: Airports likely to experience capacity problems by 2015 even ater planned improvements, 2007
- Figure 48: Airports likely to experience capacity problems by 2025 even ater planned improvements, 2007
- Chicago O’Hare
- Figure 49: O’Hare airport’s master plan, 2005-25
- Figure 50: The O'Hare modernization programme (OMP), 2007
- Tampa, Florida
- What Next?
- Outlook for growth in passenger/freight traffic
- Growth by region
- Figure 51: Growth in passenger and freight traffic, 2007-11
- Global air traffic shares in 2011
- Figure 52: Global air passenger and air freight shares by route/region in 2011
- Figure 53: Projected growth in passenger boardings at US airports (in millions), 2006-13*
- Future growth in aircraft capacity
- Deregulation and LCCs will drive growth
- Passenger and freighter aircraft deliveries worth US$2.6 trillion
- Figure 54: Total aircraft deliveries* by region, 2006-25
- Figure 55: Top ten countries for passenger plane orders, 2006-25
- The outlook for airport security
AbstractOver the past half-century, airports have progressed from being stark airfields with military-like hangars to modern day centres of commerce. Airports have become key economic development drivers for regions and countries around the world. Retailing and other consumer services have become important revenue generators, alongside the core business of air transport. Securing airports and flights from criminal and terrorist actions has become a major pre-occupation of airport administrators, governments and key supra-national organisations, such as the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and the European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation - EUROCONTROL.
The two main objectives of this report are to provide an overview of the current state of airports around the world, with an emphasis on security issues. Growth trends in passenger movement and cargo transport are summarised and the biggest airports are ranked by several different criteria. Airport management is examined from the point of view of revenue diversification, as well as costs.
Owner/operator trends and the economic impact of airports, as well as environmental issues, are also studied. A summary of airport development projects by region worldwide has also been provided.
Regarding security, the mains themes include passenger and baggage screening, national and international regulatory requirements, human resource issues and dealing with traveller disruption caused by the increase in security procedures. The impact of technological evolution, particularly in the area of biometrics, as well as the development of registered passenger schemes on solving the problems created by enhanced security at airports has also been evaluated.
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