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South Korea Food and Drink Report Q2 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Apr. 30, 2008 - 69 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Ratings - Q208
South Korea’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating . 9
Table: South Korea’s Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Peer Group
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
South Korea Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
South Korea Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: South Korea - Economic Activity
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: South Korea MGR Indicators - Sales Value by Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Structure of South Korea's Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Structure of South Korea's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value by Format (US$bn)
Average Sales per Outlet by Format (US$mn), 2007
Food And Drink
Regional Overview: Confectionery in the Asia Pacific region
Table: Leading Global Chocolate Manufacturers
Table: Leading Confectionery Companies in the Asia Pacific Region
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Value/Volume Sales of Selected Food Sub-Sectors - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Sectoral Trade (US$mn)
Drink
Table: South Korea Beverage Sub-Sectors - Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Agriculture
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: South Korea Agricultural Sub-Sector Production
Table: South Korea Organic Agricultural Data
Table: South Korea Dairy Industry Data (tonnes, unless
Food
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Cigarette Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in South Korea's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Table: Key Players in South Korea's Mass Grocery Retail Sector (continued…)
Food and Drink
Key Players in South Korea's Food & Drink Sector
Regional Company Case Studies
Food: Unilever In The Asia Pacific Region
Table: Per Capita Food Consumption in Selected Asia Pacific Markets (US$)
Drink: San Miguel Corporation In The Asia Pacific Region
Table: San Miguel Corporation In The Asia Pacific Region
Table: San Miguel Corporation Revenue And Earnings Growth By Operating Division, Q107 (%)
Table: San Miguel Corporation - Sales By Market (US$mn)
Table: San Miguel Corporation - Key Historical Data
Company Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Lotte Shopping
Samsung Tesco Homeplus
Food
Maeil Dairy Industry
Nong Shim Co Ltd
Drink
Hite Brewery
Oriental Brewery
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits of Potential Returns
Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

South Korea continues to top BMI’s Asia Pacific Business Environment Ratings, the potential of this notquite developed, yet certainly past emerging food and beverage market, aided by the relative lack of risksassociated with investing to realise this potential. The past quarter has seen major industry multinationals,among them UK majors Tesco and Diageo and US giant The Coca-Cola Company (TCCC), reaffirmtheir commitment to the market, while local firms, such as Nong Shim and Hite also strive to make themost of this unique regional opportunity.

However, as BMI’s newly-published Q208 South Korea Food & Drink Report discusses, the country hastipped past that point where it attracts major ground-breaking market entry investments from industrymajors - market maturity simply does not warrant them when so many other higher-growth regionalinvestment opportunities are available. Nonetheless, the country continues to encourage furtherinvestment from its existing industry players suggesting that strong growth opportunities do exist in themarket, provided the investor knows where to look.

One such opportunity is South Korea’s alcoholic drinks market. BMI is forecasting value sales growth of12.7% to US$1.39bn in the industry to 2012. The mature beer market will of course contribute to this andimports of high-value Western lagers are expected to be a particularly strong premium growthopportunity in the medium-term. However, the spirits and wine industries appear more exciting and theopportunity on offer here will explain Diageo’s eagerness to return to South Korea this quarter, after itwas banned from directly operating in the country in 2007 due to the use of unlicensed distributors. Involume terms, sales of spirits and wine in South Korea are expected to increase by 42.6% and 17.1%respectively to 2012 and yet a value sales growth forecast of an incredible 174% for the wine industryshows just how strong the potential for investment is here.

South Korea’s alcoholic drinks market has benefited from a relaxed attitude towards alcohol consumptionamong both male and female consumers and yet it has likewise benefited - arguably to an even greaterextent than other industry sub-sectors - from the country’s sustained economic development. GDPgrowth in South Korea is expected to average a healthy 4.8% annually to 2012, further fuelling thedevelopment of added-value and non-essential food and beverage industries. A moderate, but apparentlowering of consumer confidence throughout 2007 does appear to have held into 2008 and this does posea slight risk to food and beverage sales growth. Likewise, food price inflation will have a cautionaryimpact on consumer purchasing decisions.

However, confidence is not expected to drop further and the opportunity to pursue sales growth at thepremium end of the food and beverage industries will remain an inviting prospect.


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