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Poland Retail Analysis (2008-2012)

Published by: RNCOS

Published: May. 1, 2008 - 70 Pages



Please note - this report has been discounted due to age

Table of Contents


1. Analyst View

2. Eastern Europe - Retail Industry

3. Why Poland Retail Industry is Doing Well?

3.1 Per Head Disposable Income

3.2 Warehouse Rent

3.3 Retail Sales as Proportion of Consumer Expenditure

3.4 Economic Scenario

3.5 Interest Rates

3.6 Rent of Street Shops & Shopping Centers

4. Poland Retail - Industry Performance

4.1 Food Retail Sales

4.2 Non-food Retail Sales

4.2.1 Clothing

4.2.2 Footwear

4.2.3 Cosmetics & Toiletries

4.2.4 Furniture

4.2.5 Household Cleansing Product

4.2.6 Consumer Electronics

4.3 Retail Format

5. Consumer Behavior

5.1 Lifestyles/Shopping Habits

5.2 Brand/Price Sensitivity

5.3 Average Household Spending Pattern

5.4 Household Income Distribution

5.5 Demographics

6. Opportunities

6.1 E-commerce

6.2 Consumer Expenditure

6.3 Smaller Retail Formats

6.4 Private Labels

6.5 Consumption Pattern

6.6 Non-alcoholic Drinks

7. Challenges

7.1 Market Saturation

7.2 Property Rent

7.3 Purchasing Power

8. Key Players

8.1 Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA

8.2 METRO Group

8.3 Carrefour

8.4 Tesco Plc.

8.5 Auchan


List of Fugures:


Figure 2-1: Eastern Europe* - Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 2-2: Eastern Europe - Retail Sales by Country (in Billion US$), 2007E

Figure 3-1: Poland - Per Head Disposable Income (in US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 3-2: Poland - Median Household Income* (in US$), 2001-2007

Figure 3-3: Poland - Modern Warehouse Stock (in ’000 m2), 2006E

Figure 3-4: Poland - Retail Sales as Percentage of Consumer Expenditure (2001-2007E)

Figure 3-5: Poland - GDP (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 3-6: Poland - GDP per Head (in US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 3-7: Poland - Consumer Expenditure (%), 2002-2007

Figure 3-8: Poland - Interest Rates (%), 2001-2007E

Figure 3-9: Poland - Rent of High Streets Shops & Shopping Centers by Major Cities (in Euro/m2), 2007E

Figure 4-1: Poland - Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-2: Poland - Share of Food & Non-food Retail Sales (%), 2007E

Figure 4-3: Poland - Share of Traditional & Modern Retail Sales (%), 2007E

Figure 4-4: Poland - Forecast for Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-5: Poland - Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-6: Poland - Forecast for Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-7: Poland - Non-food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-8: Poland - Forecast for Non-food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-9: Poland - Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-10: Poland - Forecast for Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-11: Poland - Footwear Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-12: Poland - Footwear Retail Sales (in Million Pair), 2003-2007

Figure 4-13: Poland - Forecast for Footwear Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-14: Poland - Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-15: Poland - Forecast for Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-16: Poland - Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-17: Poland - Forecast for Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-18: Poland - Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-19: Poland - Forecast for Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-20: Poland - Consumer Electronics Spending (in Billion Zloty), 2004-2007E

Figure 4-21: Poland - TV Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-22: Poland - Forecast for TV Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2008-2012

Figure 4-23: Poland - PC Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-24: Poland - Forecast for PC Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2008-2012

Figure 4-25: Poland - Refrigerator Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-26: Poland - Forecast for Refrigerator Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2008-2012

Figure 4-27: Poland - Washing Machine Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2007E

Figure 4-28: Poland - Forecast for Washing Machine Retail Sales (in Million Units), 2008-2012

Figure 5-1: Poland - Consumer Expenditure by Type (%), 2007E

Figure 5-2: Poland - Population by Gender (%), 2001-2007

Figure 6-1: Poland - Forecast for Online Retail Sales (in Billion Zloty), 2008-2012

Figure 6-2: Poland - Forecast for Internet Users (in Million), 2008-2012

Figure 6-3: Poland - Forecast for Internet User Penetration (per 100 People), 2008-2012

Figure 6-4: Poland - Forecast for Consumer Expenditure (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 6-5: Poland - Forecast for Private Label Product Sales in Supermarket (%), 2012

Figure 7-1: Poland - Rental Cost of Major Cities (in Euro/m2/year), Sep 2007


List of Tables:


Table 2-1: Eastern Europe - Retail Sales by Country (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Table 4-1: Poland - Major Mergers & Acquisition (2007)

Table 4-2: Poland - Major Retail Projects

Table 4-3: Poland - Per Capita Consumption of Food (2002-2006)

Table 4-4: Poland - Consumer Durable Ownership by Rural & Urban Household (%), 2006

Table 4-5: Poland - Number of Retail Stores by Format (2005 & 2006)

Table 4-6: Poland - Number of Shops & Petrol Stations by Specifications (2005 & 2006)

Table 5-1: Poland - Household Income by Per Annum Earning (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E

Table 5-2: Poland - Number of Households by Income* (in Million), 2001-2007

Table 5-3: Poland - Population by Age Group (in Million), 2001-2007

Abstract

Poland, one of the developed economies in Eastern Europe region, is witnessing a change in its retail industry landscape. Rising income level, changing consumer behavior, and favorable demographics has given a new dimension to the industry. With retail industry at saturation level, consolidation has become a new mantra for the success of the companies in order to expand their operations and move ahead from current financial position, says “Poland Retail Analysis (2008-2012)”, a report by RNCOS.

The report provides extensive research and rational analysis on the retail industry in Poland. It helps clients to analyze the opportunities and factors critical to the success of retail industry in the country and underlines the key issues the industry is facing.

The report evaluates various market segments and retail formats present in the industry in detail and give an overview on opportunities and future forecast to help clients analyze the future course of direction and major growth areas of the industry.

Key Findings
  • Retail sales in Poland, increasing at CAGR of 13.34%, doubled during 2001 to 2007.
  • Modern retail accounted for 60% of total retail in 2007.
  • Private label products are expected to account for 10% of total supermarket sales by 2012.
  • Online retail sales to reach Zloty 70 Billion by 2012.
  • Rising consumer expenditure to drive retail sales by at least 15% during 2008-2012.
  • The structure of the retail sector will continue to evolve towards Western patterns, especially in larger towns.
  • Retail sales are expected to increase at a CAGR of 14.96% during 2008-2012.
Key Issues Analyzed
  • The market size and scope of the retail industry.
  • Evaluation of current market trends.
  • Analysis of various challenges and opportunities for the industry.
  • The factors driving growth in this sector.
  • Various retail formats in the Poland retail industry.
  • Detailed discussion of consumer behavior.
  • Key players in Poland Retail Industry.
Key Players Analysed This section covers the key players currently operating in the Poland retail industry, including Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA , METRO, Carrefour, Tesco PLC etc.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources
Information in the report has been taken from various authentic sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method
The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.

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