Vietnam Retail Analysis (2008-2012)

Published by: RNCOS

Published: May. 1, 2008 - 65 Pages

Table of Contents

1. Analyst View

2. Vietnam - An Attractive Retail Market

3. Growing Retail Market - An Analysis

3.1 Purchasing Power & Consumer Spending

3.2 Population

3.3 Urbanization

3.4 Employment

3.5 Tourism

3.6 Consumer Financing

3.7 Economic Liberalization

3.8 Economic Stability

4. Retail Market Performance

4.1 Retail Sales

4.1.1 Food

4.1.2 Non-food

4.1.2.1 Clothing

4.1.2.2 Footwear

4.1.2.3 Cosmetics & Toiletries

4.1.2.4 Perfumes & Fragrances

4.1.2.5 Furniture

4.1.2.6 Household Cleaning Products

4.1.2.7 Consumer Electronics

4.1.2.7.1 TV Sets

4.1.2.7.2 Mobile Handsets

4.1.2.7.3 Personal Computers

4.1.2.7.4 Video Recorders

4.1.2.7.5 Washing Machines

4.1.2.7.6 Others

4.2 By Province

4.2.1 South East

4.2.2 Red River Delta

4.2.3 Mekong River Delta

4.2.4 South Central Coast

4.2.5 North Central Coast

4.2.6 North East

4.2.7 Central Highlands

4.2.8 North West

4.3 By Ownership

4.3.1 State-owned Companies

4.3.2 Non-state-owned Companies

4.3.3 Foreign-owned Companies

4.4 By Retail Format

4.4.1 Traditional Market

4.4.2 Supermarket

4.4.3 Hypermarket & Warehouse Clubs

4.4.4 Convenience Stores

5. Consumer Behavior Pattern

6. Product Affordability Analysis

7. Future Growth Prospects

7.1 Developing Trend of Modern Retailing

7.2 Online Retailing

7.3 Non-food Retailers

7.4 POS Terminal

7.5 International Brands & Luxury Goods

7.6 IT in Retailing

7.7 High-tech Retailers

7.8 Hotel & Restaurants

8. Key Industry Hurdles

8.1 Skilled Staff

8.2 Consumer Price Index

8.3 Retail Space & Cost

8.4 Trade Barriers & State Subsidiaries

8.5 Infrastructure

9. Competitive Landscape

List of Figures:

Figure 3-1: Vietnam - Per Head Personal Disposable Income (in US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 3-2: Vietnam - Forecast for Per Head Personal Disposable Income (in US$), 2008-2012

Figure 3-3: Vietnam - Consumer Spending (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 3-4: Vietnam - Forecast for Consumer Spending (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 3-5: Vietnam - Population (in Million), 2002-2007E

Figure 3-6: Vietnam - Forecast for Population (in Million), 2008-2012

Figure 3-7: Vietnam - Urban Population (in Million), 2001-2006P

Figure 3-8: Vietnam - Employment (in Million), 2002-2007E

Figure 3-9: Vietnam - Forecast for Employment (in Million), 2008-2012

Figure 3-10: Vietnam - Tourist Arrivals (in ‘000), 2003-2007E

Figure 3-11: Vietnam - Forecast for Tourist Arrivals (in ‘000), 2008-2012

Figure 3-12: Vietnam - Credit/Debit Cards (in Million Units), 2004-2006

Figure 3-13: Vietnam - Nominal GDP (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 3-14: Vietnam - Forecast for Nominal GDP (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-1: Vietnam - Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-2: Vietnam - Forecast for Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-3: Vietnam, China & Thailand - Share of Retail Sales in Nominal GDP (%), 2007

Figure 4-4: Vietnam - Food Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-5: Vietnam - Non-food Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-6: Vietnam - Non-food Retail Sales by Segment (%), 2007E

Figure 4-7: Vietnam - Clothing Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-8: Vietnam - Forecast for Clothing Sales (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-9: Vietnam - Footwear Sales* (in Million US$), 2002-2007

Figure 4-10: Vietnam - Forecast for Footwear Sales (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-11: Vietnam - Cosmetics & Toiletries Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-12: Vietnam - Forecast for Cosmetics & Toiletries Sales (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-13: Vietnam - Perfumes & Fragrances Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-14: Vietnam - Forecast for Perfumes & Fragrances Sales (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-15: Vietnam - Furniture Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-16: Vietnam - Forecast for Furniture Sales (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-17: Vietnam - Household Cleaning Product Sales (in Million US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-18: Vietnam - Forecast for Household Cleaning Product Sales (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 4-19: Vietnam - TV Set Sales (in ‘000 Units), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-20: Vietnam - Forecast for TV Set Sales (in ‘000 Units), 2008-2012

Figure 4-21: Vietnam - Mobile Handset Sales* (in Million Units), 2006 & 2007

Figure 4-22: Vietnam - Personal Computer Sales (in Million Units), 2006*-2008F

Figure 4-23: Vietnam - Video Recorder Sales (in ‘000 Units), 2002-2005

Figure 4-24: Vietnam - Washing Machine Sales (in ‘000 Units), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-25: Vietnam - Forecast for Washing Machine Sales (in ‘000 Units), 2008-2012

Figure 4-26: South East - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-27: Red River Delta - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-28: Mekong River Delta - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-29: South Central Coast - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-30: North Central Coast - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-31: North East - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-32: Central Highlands - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-33: North West - Goods & Services Retail Sales (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-34: Vietnam - Goods & Services Retail Sales by State-owned Companies (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-35: Vietnam - Goods & Services Retail Sales by Non-state-owned Companies (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-36: Vietnam - Goods & Services Retail Sales by Foreign-owned Companies (in Trillion VND), 2002-2006P

Figure 4-37: Vietnam - Share of Sales by Traditional & Modern Retail Format (%), 2007

Figure 4-38: Ho Chi Minh & Hanoi - Share of Traditional & Modern Trade (%), 2004-2006

Figure 4-39: Vietnam - Share of Hypermarkets & Supermarkets in Food Retail Sales (%), 2007E & 2020F

Figure 5-1: Vietnam - Main Shoppers* & Key Influencers** (%), 2005

Figure 7-1: Vietnam - Share of Modern Retailing in Retail Sales (%), 2007 & 2017F

Figure 7-2: Vietnam - Forecast for Internet Users (in ‘000), 2008-2012

Figure 7-3: Vietnam - Forecast for Consumer Expenditure on Hotel & Restaurants (in Million US$), 2008-2012

Figure 8-1: Vietnam - Consumer Price Inflation (%), Sep 2007 to Mar 2008

List of Tables:

Table 2-1: Top 10 Retail Markets by Global Retail Development Index, 2007

Table 4-1: Vietnam* - Number of Modern Retail Outlets by Brand (2004-2006)

Table 4-2: Vietnam* - Number of Traditional Stores by Format (2004-2006)

Table 4-3: Vietnam* - Number of Supermarkets (2004-2006)

Table 4-4: Vietnam* - Number of Hypermarkets & Warehouse Clubs (2004-2006)

Table 4-5: Vietnam* - Number of Convenience Stores (2004-2006)

Table 6-1: Vietnam - Price & Affordability Rank by Product, 2007

Abstract

• Retail sales in Vietnam are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of about 13.6% during 2008-2012.
• Food is the most important component of Vietnam’s retail sector and accounts for nearly two-third of total retail sales.
• Non-food sector is expected to grow at a faster pace than food, because of the rise in income and consumer spending on non-essential items such as clothing, electrical and DIY goods.
• Demand for international brands and luxury products will rise as income level move upwards in the country.
• Modern retailing formats like air-conditioned mini-marts, supermarkets and small shopping complexes will become more prevalent in the coming years and will lure consumers away from traditional outdoor markets.

• Where Vietnam stands in terms of products affordability index?
• What is the consumer behavior?
• Which are the fastest growing products?
• What are the key driving factors to the market?
• How the market is likely to move in future?
• What are the key challenges for the market?
• Who are the key players in the market?

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