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Spain Food and Drink Report Q2 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Apr. 24, 2008 - 78 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Table: Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Spain’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Spain Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
Spain Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Spain - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Retail
Regional Overview: The ‘Greening’ Of MGR In Western Europe
Table: MGR Eco-Friendly Strategies In Western Europe
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Spain Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (US$b
Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Structure of Spain's Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Structure of Spain's Mass Grocery Retail Market by Value (US$mn)
Annual Average Sales per Outlet by Format (US$mn)
Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Food And Drink
Regional Overview: Confectionery in Western Europe
Table: 2006 Western Europe Market Share (%)
Table: Western Europe Confectionery Market Share By Category (%), 2005
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Spain Food Sub-sector Indicators
Table: Spain Food Consumption Indicators
Drink
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Indicators
Industry Developments
Agriculture
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: Spain Organic Agricultural Data
Table: Spain Dairy Industry Data
Table: Spain Agricultural Sub-Sector Production
Food
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tobacco Indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape.51
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in Spain's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - 2006
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players in Spain's Food & Drink Sector - 2006
Regional Company Case Studies
Drink: The Coca-Cola Company in Western Europe
Table: Unit Case Volume Growth (%)
Table: Revenue And Income For EU (US$mn)
Drink: Diageo In Western Europe
Table: Diageo's Strongest Brands and Future Strategy for Western Europe
Mass Grocery Retail: Ahold In Western Europe
Table: Ahold Financial Results, 2003-2006 (EURmn)
Company Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Auchan
Carrefour
Caprabo
Food
Grupo Ebro Puleva
Grupo Leche Pascual Alimentación
Campofrio Alimentación SA
Drink
Heineken España SA
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Table: Limits Of Potential Returns
Table: Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

Food price inflation in Spain is currently the highest in the Eurozone; according to Eurostat figures,between 2005 and February 2008 food prices leapt by 13%. In addition, the latest Agriculture Ministryestimates suggest that in the 12 months to February 2008, milk prices rose by 24% and chicken prices by16%. Spanish consumers spend a fairly large percentage of their income on food and therefore food has aheavier weighting in the country’s overall measure of inflation than in most other Eurozone countries.This fact has helped push the country’s official inflation rate close to 4.4% - the highest level for tenyears and well above the European Central Bank’s (ECB) target of 2%.

Spain is particularly vulnerable to rising commodity prices because it is a net importer of grain. Spain’slack of grazing land means that many meat and dairy farmers have to rely on expensive animal feedproduced from grain. However, the Spanish climate means that local farmers cannot produce enoughgrain to fulfil domestic demand and the country therefore relies heavily on imports for both animal feedand food manufacture. In the coming year, this is likely to be exacerbated by 2007/2008 winter being thedriest in living memory. Much of the country’s farmland relies on irrigation from the national watersupply and if this is not replenished in the spring of 2008, this year’s harvests look likely to be very pooras meeting domestic water demand becomes the priority.

The high price of grain has pushed up the retail price of meat, milk and bread but the financial results ofEbro Puleva, the country’s largest food firm, suggest that manufacturers are also bearing some of thebrunt of the cost increases. In February 2008 Ebro announced that despite a 9.4% increase in net sales thefirm’s profits for 2007 had slumped by 50%. When announcing its results the firm commented that risingcereal prices, including animal feed prices, were having a direct effect on the bottom line. This pattern islikely to be repeated across many of the country’s dairy and meat producers. In addition with the price ofmeat and dairy increasing so sharply consumption may soon start fall, particularly if the long predictedeconomic slowdown really starts to take hold.

Despite financial results that suggest that many food producers are doing a lot to moderate the severity ofprice increases rising food prices have become an increasingly salient political issue. The Spanishconsumers’ Union, UCE, suggests that retailers are using rising commodity costs as an excuse to increasetheir margins and the strong results from many of the country’s retailers, including Carrefour, suggestthat the country’s retailers are certainly not being adversely affected by the situation.


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