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Germany Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Apr. 22, 2008 - 83 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Germany Pharmaceuticals And Healthcare Industry SWOT
Germany Political SWOT
Germany Economic SWOT
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings
Table: Western Europe Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Germany - Market
Regulatory Regime
Intellectual Property Developments
Pricing And Reimbursement Issues
Retail Industry
Industry Developments
Healthcare Sector
Pharmaceutical Sector
Domestic Industry
Krankenkassen
Foreign Industry
Research And Development Sector
Generics Sector
Wholesaler Sector
Epidemiology
Biotechnology Sector
Industry Forecast Sc
Overall Market Forecast
Table: German Drug Market Expenditure Forecasts
Key Growth Factors - Industry
Table: German Health Expenditure Indicators, 2004-2012
Key Growth Factors - Macroeconomic
Table: Germany - Economic Forecasts
Patented Market Forecast
Table: Germany’s Branded Market Indicators, 2004-2012
OTC Market Forecast
Table: Germay’s OTC Market Indicators, 2004-2012 (US$mn unless otherwise stated)
Generics Market Forecasts
Table: Germany’s Generics And Branded Market Indicators, 2004-2012
Export/Import Forecasts
Table: Germany’s Pharmaceuticals Exports And Imports, 2004-2012 (US$mn)
Industry News
Table: Leading German Medical Device Players
Table: Germany’s Medical Device Market Indicators, 2006-2012 (US$bn unless otherwise stated)
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Competitive Landscape
Company Profiles
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)
Pfizer
Novartis
Sanofi-Aventis
Merck & Co
Bayer
Boehringer Ingelheim
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Pharmaceutical Industry
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Table: Pharmaceutical Business Environment Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting Of Components
Sources


Abstract

Germany’s pharmaceutical market was worth approximately US$48.9bn in 2007, making it the largest in
Europe. Unsurprisingly, for such a mature market, growth will be steady rather than spectacular, with
drug expenditure reaching a value of US$57.2bn in 2012. This represents a compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) of 3.19%.


The biggest change this quarter has been BMI’s introduction of forecasts in the medical device market. In
2007, we estimated that the medical equipment market was worth approximately US$13bn and should
reach a value of US$15.1bn by 2012. This represents a CAGR of 3%, a slightly lower rate than the
pharmaceuticals market. Going forward, growth should be driven primarily by large, top-end medical
equipment due to Germany's technological sophistication in this area.


Elsewhere, Germany's drug discount contracts have come under fire from the German Association of
Medicines Manufacturers (BAH), which claims that they are anti-competitive and will hurt small and
medium-sized enterprises. The mandatory contracts were introduced to lower costs but have met with
criticism from the drug industry calling for less regulation. It was expected that the reform would also be
a stimulus to competition, but the larger firms have been given an unfair advantage as they have the
financial muscle to undercut their rivals.


Germany retains second place in BMI’s Business Environment Rankings for the Western European
region, just behind Switzerland. The country benefits from a large internal market and a high per capita
spend. The local industry is also traditionally strong and technologically advanced. However, a stringent
focus of cost-containment is harming innovation and presenting a barrier to foreign direct investment
(FDI), according to the research-based manufacturing sector. Many multinationals, such as France’s
Sanofi-Aventis are actually considering disinvesting in the country due to government pressure.


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