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United States Food and Drink Report Q2 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Apr. 22, 2008 - 40 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
United States Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food And Drink
United States Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: United States - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: United States MGR Sector - Sales Value By Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of The Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets ('000s)
Table: Structure Of The Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Average Annual Sales Value By Format 2007
Food And Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: US Food Consumption Indicators
Table: Food Sub-sector Sales, Value & Volume
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Sectoral Trade Indicators (US$mn)
Drink
Table: Drinks indicators
Industry Developments
Food
Drink
Agriculture
Market Overview
Food
Drink
Agriculture
Table: US Dairy Industry Data (‘000 tonnes, unless stated)
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tobacco Indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table - Key Players: US Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Food And Drink
Table: Key Players - Food & Drink Sector
Company Analysis
Food
Kellogg Company
General Mills Inc
Tyson Foods
Drink
Pepsi Bottling Group
Anheuser-Busch
Mass Grocery Retail
Wal-Mart Stores
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

In a sign of the ongoing economic advancements in Latin America, several food and drink firms from this
region are starting to make acquisitions in the US as discussed in BMI's newly published Q208 US Food
& Drink Report. With the US dollar currently very weak compared to several Latin American currencies,
including the Brazilian Real, the country’s assets are looking increasingly affordable to firms from this
region. So far the rate of investment has been fairly slow, however with the US representing a massive
market with significant buying power, BMI expects that this trickle of takeovers may eventually turn into
a flood. However, with some of the country’s politicians expressing concern about this increase in foreign
takeovers, especially in the sensitive area of agriculture, further large scale acquisitions may start to come
under greater scrutiny.


Some of the largest deals so far involve Brazilian beef processor JBS, which began its conquest of the US
in May 2007 with the acquisition beef and pork processor Swift. The firm now looks set to go on to
become the US’s largest beef processor through the acquisitions of National Beef for US$565mn and the
beef operations of US meat group Smithfield Foods for US$560mn. These moves, if approved by the
country's antitrust authorities, will give the firm control of around 32% of the US market, dwarfing the
current largest operators Cargill Meat Solutions and Tyson Foods, which both control around 22% of
the market. Surprisingly, despite the food production being a politically sensitive issue, these moves have
not attracted too much criticism from the country’s protectionist politicians. However this is likely to be
because the US beef processing industry is currently experiencing significant problems, with excess
processing capacity and slowing sales due to the economic downturn, and any form of investment is
therefore greeted positively.


A second firm looking to target high spending US consumers is Colombia’s third largest dairy firm
Alpina. In December 2007 the firm announced plans to make its first foray into the US market with the
purchase of a yoghurt company on the US east coast. Alpina outlined that it plans to target the east coast
area's large Hispanic community, which is familiar with its products and has a high purchasing power
compared to much of Colombia's population. The growing US Latino population is another key reason
why Latin American firms may soon start taking a much greater interest in expanding into the US. So far
most of Latin America’s largest food firms, such as Colombia’s Grupo Nacional de Chocolates and
Venezuela’s Empresas Polar have steered clear of the US, preferring to concentrate on expanding in
neighbouring countries in Latin America. However, if JBS goes on to prove that a Latin American food
firm can successfully take on the US players in their own back yard, Latin American acquisitions of US
food and drink firms may start becoming a much more regular occurrence.


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