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Canada Food and Drink Report Q2 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Apr. 18, 2008 - 37 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Canada Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
Canada Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Canada - Economic Activity
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Canada Mass Grocery Retail Sales by Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Table: Structure Of Canada's Mass Grocery Retail Sector By Estimated Number of Outlets
Table: Structure Of Canada's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Annual Average Value Of Sales By Format In 2007 (US$mn Unless Otherwise Stated)
Food And Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators
Drink
Table: Drinks Indicators
Industry Developments
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: Canada Dairy Industry Data
Food
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tobacco Indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In Canada's Mass Grocery Retail Ind
Food And Drink
Table - Key Players in Canada's Food & Beverage Sectors
Company Analysis
Food
Saputo
George Weston Ltd
Maple Leaf Foods
Drink
Corby Distilleries Ltd
Mass Grocery Retail
Loblaw Companies Ltd
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

One notable trend in Canada’s food and drink and is the move towards premium and value-added products as
discussed in BMI's newly published Q208 Canada Food & Drink Report. Premiumisation is generally good
news for the food and drink industry with firms able to generate greater revenues and higher margins,
however, the trend towards higher priced products has also meant that several firms pitched at the lower-end
of the market have struggled. This trend has also led to some firms being forced to radically rethink their
strategy to capitalise on changing Canadian demands.


Two firms that have not been helped by the trend towards premium products are soft drink producer Cott and
brewery firm Brick Brewing. Cott specialises in private-label carbonated soft drinks, with interests in both
Canada and the US. In both countries consumers have been trading up from carbonated soft drinks to fruit
juices, smoothies and flavoured waters. This trend meant that in 2007 the firm’s sales were stagnant
compared to 2006 while the firm’s net losses soared to US$73.1mn. Meanwhile In the nine months to
October 31 2007, Brick Brewing lost around US$1.5mn as consumers spurned the firm’s economy beer
brands. The firm announced it was conducting a strategic review - a signal that it was up for sale - however,
none of the multinational brewers was attracted by the firm’s economy portfolio at a time when consumers
are increasing opting for premium brands.


Both these firms may need to radically rethink their strategies to stand any change of growing sales in the
coming years. One firm that already recognised the need for change is Canada’s largest food processor
Maple Leaf. One year ago Maple Leaf unveiled a comprehensive three-year restructuring program designed
to move the firm away from selling fresh pork towards selling value-added prepared food. For the whole of
2007, earnings from continuing operations were up by 15.6%, reaching CAD199.1mn (US$196.5mn)
suggesting that the firm's restructuring strategy may be paying off. However, the cost of the restructuring
process is now estimated to be between CAD275mn (US$272mn) and CAD325mn (US$321mn) - figures
which highlight the short term impact of such a large scale change in strategy.


One notable exception to this trend is in the area of grocery retailing where a mainstream ‘premium’ grocery
retailer, along the lines of the UK’s Waitrose or the US’s newly rebranded Safeway, has not emerged. With
the country’s long-established retailers struggling to adapt to the new levels of price competition from Wal-
Mart’s newly launched hypermarkets and the demand for premium products already proven this is perhaps a
strategy worth pursuing for one of the country’s struggling supermarket chains.


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