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Kuwait Autos Report Q2 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Apr. 18, 2008 - 40 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Kuwait Automotive Sector SWOT
Kuwait Economic SWOT
Kuwait Business Environment SWOT
MEA Regional Case Study: Chinese Brands In The Middle East And Africa
Jordan
South Africa
GCC
Iran
Israel
Outlook
Business Environment Rankings
Economics - Long-Term Risk
Politics - Long-Term Risk
CBU Output Growth
Vehicle Ownership/Penetration Potential
Regulation
Competitive Environment
Industry Forecast Sce18
Table: Kuwait Automotive Sector Historical Data And
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario
Table: Kuwait Economic Activity
Competitive Landscape
Industry Developments
Automotive Parts
Luxury cars
Retail
After-Sales Services
Company Monitor
Regional Case Study: Nissan
Production
Table: Nissan Production Facilities In The Middle East And Africa
Sales
Table: Nissan Marketing Operations In The Middle East And Africa
Company Profiles
Arabian Motors Group (AMG) (Ford)
Kuwait Automotive Imports (KAICO) (Mazda, Peugeot)
Mohamed Naser Al-Sayer & Sons (MNSS) (Toyota)
Abdul Rahman Albisher & Zaid Alkazemi Company (Mercedes Benz)
AlMulla Group (Chrysler and Mitsubishi)
Alghanim Automotive (General Motors)
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Automobile Industry
Sources


Abstract

Kuwait has fallen well behind other Gulf states in terms of automotive sales growth in recent years. This
is due to a lack of economic diversification, which has prevented the kind of consumer boom seen in the
UAE, Oman, Bahrain and Qatar, according to BMI’s latest Kuwait Automotives Report.


The rising cost of living in Kuwait is depressing the country’s car market, despite an expected
acceleration of real GDP growth to 6.8% in 2008 and a supportive macroeconomic environment. We
estimate that automotive sales fell 0.2% in 2007, but forecast overall growth of 1.2% in 2008, with sales
peaking at 112,728 units. However, sales will fall throughout the rest of the forecast period, dropping to
108,180 units by 2011, 2.9% down on 2007.


While we expect no dramatic slump in sales, Kuwait’s automotive market is enduring a period of
stagnation due to saturation. However, for Japanese and European carmakers, there is still room for
growth. The revaluation of the dinar has made it easier for them to compete on the Kuwaiti market, which
is highly price responsive, although the tumbling value of the US dollar means that US carmakers still
have a price advantage. A lack of data from autos majors makes is hard to track trends, although there are
indications that the SUV segment is growing while the luxury segment is contracting; luxury car sales are
set to fall by 5% over the next five years, in sharp contrast to other Gulf states, where the segment is
booming.


Despite ongoing concerns about Kuwait’s luxury car market, German premium carmaker Audi is
continuing its expansion in the country with a new supply contract for leasing firm Priority Automobile
Company. Under the terms of the KWD9.5mn (US$34.8mn) contract, Audi Kuwait, through local
distributor Fouad Alghanim & Sons Automotive Group (FAA), will supply a minimum of 440 Audi
vehicles to Priority, which offers two-year lease terms. Expansion in Kuwait has been at the forefront of
Audi’s Middle East plans. In November 2007, Audi Volkswagen Middle East revealed that it would
build a new sales and service complex in Kuwait City, starting with a 5,000 sq m Audi showroom. Based
on the ‘terminal showroom’ concept implemented by Audi’s German headquarters, the centre will
accommodate 80 new and used cars on display, as well as 45 servicing bays. Work will begin on the Audi
section of the complex in Q108, with the Skoda and Lamborghini brands to follow.


The government has implemented policies aimed at deterring used car retailers, but the move may not
benefit new car sales. Used cars are bought by poorer segments of Kuwaiti society who cannot afford to
buy new. BMI anticipates that the government’s moves will not eliminate the used car sector, but the
closure of smaller dealerships could make it harder for private individuals and corporate fleets to sell
secondhand vehicles, bringing down the price of used cars.


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