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The Future of Electronics Manufacturing in North America - Impact on Connectors

Published by: Bishop & Associates

Published: Feb. 1, 2008


Table of Contents


Forward

Economic History

Fast Forward to 2001

Present

Future

Chapter 1 - Situation Analysis

Purpose

Intel To Build $2.5B Chip Plant In China

Dalian, China Plant To Focus On PC Chipsets, Driving Prices Down

Time Frame & Scope

Mindset

History

Paradigm Shift - Post 2000

The China Syndrome

China Manufacturing + Increasing Design Footprint

How Fast Was The China Buildup?

World Connector Market - 1995/2007

How much of the World's Connector Manufacturing is in China Now?

2007 World Connector Market by Region

When Will The Majority Of The China Buildup Be Over?

How Much Of The World's Connector Manufacturing Will Be In China

World Connector Market - 2000 / 2005 / 2010

Connector Product Design - Percent by Region

Region Product Design Compared to Region Market Share

Connector Manufacturing Footprint in China

Tyco - Electronics Rank # 1 - 300,000 sq. meters

Molex - Rank # 2 - 133,000 sq. meters

FCI - Rank # 3 - 40,000 sq. meters

J.S.T. - Rank # 6 - 50,000 sq. meters

JAE - Rank # 7 - 19,000 sq. meters

ITT - Rank # 12 - 99,400 sq. meters

Hirose Rank # 9 - 7,300 sq. meters

HARTING - Rank # - 15 - 4,600 sq. meters

Samtec - Rank # 20 - 9,300 sq. meters

Rosenberger - Rank # 22 - 20,000 sq. meters

Methode - Rank # 36 - 11,000 sq. meters

ODU - Rank # 53 - 1,000 sq. meters

The Global Migration of System Design

Chapter Summary

Chapter 2 - Manufacturing Infrastructure

Situation Analysis

National Research Council Findings

Information Technology as an Enabler of Globalization:

OEM Manufacturers Globalization and Reduction in North American Manufacturing

Infrastructure

Selected North American OEM Companies 2006

Contract Manufacturers - i.e. Outsourcing

Why Outsource?

Why Not Outsource

Top 20 EMS Providers and Estimated North American Content

Printed Circuit Board Industry

Top 50 PCB Manufacturers and Location

Semiconductor Industry

Top 25 Semiconductor Companies

More on Contract Manufacture

Top 100 CM/ODM with Estimated Primary Manufacturing Location

Connector Industry

Connector Industry Supply Chain

Global Supply Chain Issues

Impact On The Connector Industry?

Engineering vs. Manufacturing Locations

Chapter 3 - Taiwan Example

Asian Tiger In A Global Marketplace

Background

ITRI: Industrial Technology Research Institute - Taiwan

ITRI Overview:

ITRI Input on Electronics Manufacturing Trends

Taiwan Companies

Major Product Industries

Taiwan Shipment Performance by IT Product Category

Taiwan Production Locations and Shipping Destinations

Interpreting Taiwan Data

Future

Taiwan Global IT Market Share 2005-2008

Summary Interpretation of Taiwan Data

Chapter 4 - US National Manufacturing Data

Introduction & Summary

World's Fastest Chip Supports High Technology IBM Server Manufacturing

Total US Manufacturing: Value of Shipments:

Goods and Services

Goods

Services

Goods and Services Moving Average

Selected Not Seasonally Adjusted Goods Details

Revisions

Census Data Table of Contents

Seasonally Adjusted

Exhibit 1

Not Seasonally Adjusted

Exhibit 12

US Manufacturing: Non-Defense - Value of Shipments 1992-2006:

US Manufacturing: Durable Goods - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Defense Aircraft & Parts - Value of Shipments 1992-2006:

US Manufacturing: Defense Communications Systems - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Non-Def. Aircraft and Parts - Value of Shipments 1992-2006:

US Manufacturing: Total Comm. Equip. - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Information Technology Products - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Computers & Related Products - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Electronic Computers - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Computer Peripherals - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Storage Equip - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Other Electronic Components - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Electro-Medical & Control Instr. Equip. - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Electrical Equip - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Machinery - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Lighting - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Batteries - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

Why Are There No Volume Lithium-Ion Battery Manufacturers in the US?

US Manufacturing: Power Trans. Equip. - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Consumer Durable Goods - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Home Appliances - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Audio-Video Equip. 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Motor Vehicles & Parts - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Automotive - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

US Manufacturing: Light Trucks & SUV’s - Value of Shipments 1992-2006

Shipments of Semiconductors Elect. Components, and Semi. Manufacturing Equip. 2006-2006

Connector Imports & Exports By Country 2001 ($x1000)

Electronic Connector Imports & Exports By Country 2006 ($x1000)


Chapter 5 - North American Connector Industry Trends And Roadmap

2007

World Connector Industry - Percent Change in Sales

World Connector Industry Forecast

North American Growth vs. Industry Growth

Connector Industry Forecast by Market Sector

2008 OUTLOOK

2008 Connector Industry Forecast By Geographic Region

Will World Economies Remain Strong and Avoid Recession?

Connectors vs. Semiconductors

Semiconductor and Connector Forecast - 2007 to 2011

In Relation to North American Market

Of the top 25 Semiconductor Companies - Ten are Head Quartered in North America

Of The Top 10 Connector Companies - Four Are Head Quartered In North America

2008 Comparisons

Five-Year Outlook - 2006-2011

Connector Industry Forecast - 2007 to 2011

Key Market Outlook: Automotive, Computer-Peripheral, Telecom/Datacom

Automotive Sector

World Automotive Connector Market by Region

World Automotive Connector Market by Application

Automotive Connector Forecast - Percent Change

2007 World Automotive Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Telecom/Datacom Sector

2007 World Telecom/Datacom Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Computers & Peripherals

Product Segments

Major CCC OEM Players

Server Market Share

Future Outlook - Business

Future Outlook - Technology and Connectors

2007 World Computer And Peripheral Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Consumer Market

Consumer Market Segments

Focus on iPhone

iPhone Connector Content

Consumer Electronics Outlook

World Consumer Electronics Connector Shipments 2006-2011E

2007 World Consumer Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Business/Office Equipment Sector

Office Equipment Market Segments Include:

Office Equipment Suppliers

Industry Trends

Issues:

Opportunities:

Connector Implications:

2007 World Business/Office Equipment Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Industrial Equipment Sector

World View

North America

Europe

Japan

China

Asia-Pacific

ROW

2007 World Industrial Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Military/Aerospace Sector

North America

Europe

Japan

China

Asia Pacific

ROW

2007 World Military/Aerospace Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

2007 AND 2011 Connector Forecast

World Connector Market Forecast by Region

World Connector Market Forecast by Equipment Sector

Total World Connector Forecast

World Forecast by Region

World Forecast by Region

World Connector Percent Trends

North American Percent Trends

North America - Top Six Connector Markets

North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary

Trends in Top Six North American Markets

Mil/Aero/Government:

Computers & Peripherals:

Other Equipment:

2006-2007 Percent Change

2006-2011 CAGR

2006-2011 Market Share by Equipment Category

North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail

North American-Based Connector Companies

Comparison: North American Connector Market vs. China

Chapter 6 - Connector Roadmap & Conclusions

Technology Roadmap

Connector Market Capsule

Classification by Levels of Packaging:

Continuing Impact of Environmental Regulations

Ongoing Issues:

Technology Roadmap by Connector Type

Manufacturing Trends

Modular Assembly

State-Of-The-Art Metal Forming

Tight Tolerance Stack-Ups

Marking and Packaging

Automation & Re-Automation In Developing Countries

Connector Roadmap Dialog

Key Drivers for Connectors & Cable:

Generic PCB Connector Roadmap

Generic IC Socket Roadmap

Generic Backplane Connector Roadmap

Generic Fiber Optic Connector Roadmap

Where Will Fiber Optics be used?

Conclusions

Electronics Industry

Connector Industry

Design & Manufacturing Issues

Recommendations

Government Suggestions

Commissions

R&D

Congress

Electronics IndustryConnector Industry

Abstract

Bishop and Associates has just released a new six-chapter research report, The Future of Electronics Manufacturing in North America - Impact on Connectors. This new report profiles the North American electronics manufacturing industry and its electronic connector market. Some elements of this report were several years in the making, drawing on our analyst’s long experience in the electronics industry, North America’s multiple phases of off-shoring, outsourcing, and involvement in government/industry initiatives that have attempted to address the globalization issue as it impacts the domestic manufacturing market, yet strengthens North American OEM’s global competitiveness.

The report’s foundation includes eight years of experience compiling the Connector Roadmap with the International Electronics Manufacturing Initiative. It also includes extensive experience in the industry, including NIST’s Advanced Technology Program, the Department of Commerce and Census Bureau data, IEEE National Innovation Forum, DARPA, and other U.S. competitiveness initiatives.

Main Points of Interest
  • Continuing trends in outsourcing and off-shoring.
  • Growth in emerging markets, particularly China.
  • Low-to-negative growth in some domestic markets (based on where equipment is manufactured).
  • Issues relating to domestic manufacturing infrastructure.
  • Detailed connector industry forecasts and cyclical scenarios.
  • Potential government and private sector actions.
This report is a snapshot of the huge, complex North American electronics manufacturing market and the connector industry, which are operating in an increasingly global marketplace, and insight into how we can strengthen North American markets going forward. It is a non-agenda-driven analysis, which points out areas of concern in manufacturing, and includes concerns about the future of domestic design, which is linked to manufacturing.

The report should help those involved in the electronics industry better understand these trends. Interested parties include OEM, EMS, ODM, electronic component manufacturers, and specifically, connector suppliers.

This is also good information for the investment community, strategic planners, government personnel, and managers and executives with interests in the future of this strategically important industry.

The report includes detailed forecasts of North American, regional, and global connector markets, with an emphasis on North America, China, and Asia-Pacific. It details, as a strategic example, Taiwan’s transition from an upstart to an electronics design and manufacturing powerhouse, to a country strategically linked to outsourcing and electronic assembly in China. This is supported by strong industry-government cooperation in the planning process, with a very successful track record. Taiwan dominates several electronic product categories, often behind-the-scenes for major OEMs.

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