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Retailing in Germany 2008

Published by: Verdict Research Ltd

Published: Mar. 11, 2008 - 108 Pages


Table of Contents


CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Key Findings
Main Conclusions
CHAPTER 2 GERMANY - ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Key Findings
Main Messages
GDP
Inflation
Interest Rates
Employment
Demographic Overview
CHAPTER 3 GERMAN RETAIL MARKET
German Retail Market Size
CHAPTER 4 FOOD & GROCERY
Market Summary
Recent Developments & Trends
Shares of Grocery Retailers in Germany
Outlook for Grocery Retailing in Germany
CHAPTER 5 CLOTHING & FOOTWEAR
Market Summary
Recent Developments & Trends
Shares of Clothing Retailers in Germany
Department Stores
Leading Department Store Operators
Recent Developments & Trends
Discount Clothing Retailers
Outlook for Clothing Retailing in Germany
CHAPTER 6 DIY
Market Summary
Recent Developments & Trends
Shares of DIY Retailers in Germany
Outlook for DIY Retailing in Germany
CHAPTER 7 ELECTRICALS
Market Summary
Recent Developments & Trends
Shares of Electricals Retailers in Germany
Outlook for Electricals Retailing in Germany
CHAPTER 8 FURNITURE
Market Summary
Recent Developments & Trends
Market Shares of Leading Furniture Retailers in Germany
Outlook for Furniture Retailing in Germany
CHAPTER 9 OUT-OF-TOWN RETAILING
Market Summary
Retail Warehouse Space
Legislation and Planning Issues
Retail Warehouse Parks
Outlook for OOT Retailers in Germany
CHAPTER 10 STRATEGIC ISSUES
VAT Rise Puts Sales Back Two Years
Discount Evolution Spreads Out From Grocery
Discounters and Green Retailers Push Organic Boom
Opportunities
Shift to Price Plus
Eastern Opportunities Drive Internationalisation
Pharmacy Liberalisation Would Be Growth Opportunity
Major retailers are joining the consolidation trend
Forecast
CHAPTER 11 GLOSSARY
Definitions
Abbreviations
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Germany retail market size 2000-2007e
Table 2: Germany grocery retail snapshot 2002-2007e
Table 3: Germany % share of grocery value sales by format 2001-2006
Table 4: Germany % change in grocery value sales by format 2001-2006
Table 5: Germany grocery market share 2007e
Table 6: German clothing expenditure & specialist sales 2002-2007e
Table 7: German clothing specialists 2002-2007e
Table 8: Germany clothing specialists market shares 2007e
Table 9: Germany DIY expenditure & specialist sales 2002-2007e
Table 10: Germany DIY specialists 2002-2007e
Table 11: Germany DIY market shares 2007e
Table 12: Germany eletricals expenditure & specialist sales 2002-2007e
Table 13: Germany electricals specialists 2002-2007
Table 14: Germany electricals market shares 2007e
Table 15: Germany furniture expenditure & specialist sales 2002-2007e
Table 16: Germany furniture specialists 2002-2007e
Table 17: Germany furniture specialists market shares 2007e
Table 18: Germany OOT sales 2002-2007e
Table 19: Germany OOT selling space 2002-2007
Table 20: Leading retail warehouse parks by space 2007
Table 21: Germany organic market performance 2002-2007e
Table 22: Tegut sales performance 2002-2007
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Germany GDP 1999-2009
Figure 2: Germany GDP forecast 2007, 2008 & 2009e
Figure 3: Germany vs EU HICP inflation 2003-2007
Figure 4: ECB interest rates 2001-2007
Figure 5: Total unemployment Germany vs EU27 2000-2006
Figure 6: Forecast population growth Germany & EU25 (%) 2015 on 2005
Figure 7: Jack & Jones, New Yorker 2007
Figure 8: Karstadt 2007
Figure 9: Galeria Kaufhof 2007
Figure 10: Breuninger, Nürnberg 2007
Figure 11: KiK, Düsseldorf 2007
Figure 12: Takko 2007
Figure 13: CentrO, Oberhausen 2007
Figure 14: Retail growth 2001-2007
Figure 15: Success factors for Aldi 2007
Figure 16: Tedi, Düsseldorf 2007
Figure 17: Basic, Düsseldorf 2007
Figure 18: German retailers opportunities 2008
Figure 19: Key drivers of greater internationalisation 2008
Figure 20: Doc Morris, Düsseldorf 2007
Figure 21: Consolidation timeline 2005-2008 and forecasts
Figure 22: Germany retail sales forecast 2002-2012

Abstract

Introduction

Verdict Research: After years of slow growing demand and with last year's VAT rise behind it German retailing is entering a new phase. Despite economic storm clouds, the liberalisation of opening hours and expected reform of the pharmacy sector present new opportunities. Retailers are also adapting to the expansion of discounters by developing new pricing propositions and niche formats.

Scope

This report provides accurate insights into key trends, future developments and discusses the strategies of the main operators in the market. Proprietary data on market value, specialists sales and growth. 2002-2007 data for six different retail sectors and overall value data for Germany. Detailed sector analysis for grocery, DIY, electricals, furniture, clothing (including department stores) and out-of-town retailing is provided. Market shares for leading retailings in each sector and insightfuil analysis into their operating strategies.

Highlights

In five years time one in every two Euros in German grocery retailing will be taken by the discounters. Aldi and Lidl are trading from an inherently strong position in the country. With Edeka's might behind it, Plus will be invigorated and embark on an aggressive expansion policy. Rewe's Penny meanwhile needs to run just to stand still. The discounter boom has spread like wildfire from grocery to other sectors. In DIY Praktiker has embarked on a downsizing and price cutting exercise. In furniture discounting has reached endemic proportions, in clothing KIK and Takko produce industry beating growth rates and in general merchandise Tedi and Kodi are growing strongly. A direct result of extremely tough trading conditions is that the wheels of the consolidation bandwagon have begun to turn. The process was kick started by Metro's Wal-Mart acquisition in 2006. Looking ahead we expect more consolidation, especially in the highly fragmented furniture sector and the pharmacy market, which is set for liberalisation.

Reasons to Purchase

Understand strategic issues in the market, retailers' responses and our recommendations on how retailers must cope with the changing market. Learn about major German players including Edeka, Rewe, Metro, Aldi, Schwarz, Arcandor and Schlecker alongside information on specialist discounters. Discover how the market and retailers' future initiatives will develop. Find growth opportunities in specific sectors and identify the key threats.

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