Indian Automobile Industry - Two Wheelers Outlook : Market Research Report

Indian Automobile Industry - Two Wheelers Outlook

Published by: CRISIL Ltd.

Published: Nov. 1, 2007 - 80 Pages

Sections
Two wheelers: Structural shift to single digit growth rates
Executive summary
1.0 Demand outlook: Summary; Demand review; Segmental trends; Implication for players
2.0 Profitability
Box
1.0 Demand outlook: 01 Demand forecast methodology for two-wheelers
Figures
1.0 Demand outlook: 01 Led by motorcycle segment, two-wheelers posted strong growth during past 5 years; 02 Two-wheeler sales 2007-08 with a marginal decline; 03 Growth in the relevant rural population to induce demand; 04 Two-wheeler demand trend; 05 Japan penetration trend; 06 Two wheeler growth trend; 07 Scooters: Demand trend; 08 Adressable market size (2006); 09 Motorcycle demand growth; 10 Mopeds demand growth; 11 Exports growth; 12 Segment-wise export sales; 13 Products at lower price points to expand markets
2.0 Profitability: 01 Operating profit trend; 02 Product share trends; 03 Comparison of raw material/unit with operating margins; 04 Plotting the change in the cost of basic materials and change in raw material cost per unit; 05 Advertising expenditure; 06 Distribution expense
Tables
1.0 Demand outlook: 01 Declining rate of increments to the relevant population; 02 Cross-Category comparison; 03 Cross-Country comparison; 04 Urban/Rural penetration; 05 Demand drivers for ungeared scooters
2.0 Profitability: 01 Trends in per unit raw material cost
Sections
1.0 Player review
2.0 Player profile: Bajaj Auto Limited; Hero Honda Motors Ltd; TVS Motor Company; Honda Motorcycle and Scooters India (HMSI); Yamaha Motor India; Kinetic Motor Company Limited (KMCL); Suzuki Motorcycle India Pvt Ltd
3.0 Costs: Raw material costs; Factors affecting raw material costs; Research and development (R&D) costs
4.0 Supply
5.0 Global coverage: Global two-wheeler market
6.0 Government policy: Introduction; Investment policy; Import policy; Fiscal regulations; Excise duty; Other levies; Emission norms; Emission control laws; Safety laws
Box
5.0 Global coverage: 01 Market trends
Figures
1.0 Player review: 01 Two-wheelers - Player share in total production; 02 Motorcycle - Player share in total production; 03 Scooters - Player share in total production; 04 Mopeds - Player share in total production
2.0 Player profile: 01 Bajaj Auto - Estimated market share in motorcycle sub-segment; 02 Hero Honda - Estimated market share in motorcycle sub-segment; 03 TVS Motor - Estimated market share in motorcycle sub-segment; 04 HMSI - Segment-wise market share; 05 Yamaha - Estimated market share in motorcycle sub-segment; 06 Kinetic - Trends in segment-wise market share
3.0 Costs: 01 Trends in steel prices; 02 Raw material imports; 03 Selling and distribution expenses - Industry aggregates
4.0 Supply: 01 Capacity utilisation
5.0 Global coverage: 01 Global motorcycle production; 02 Global motorcycle sales; 03 China - Exports share 2006; 04 China - Motorcycle sales; 05 Indonesia - Sales of motorcycles; 06 Thailand - Motorcycle sales; 07 Vietnam - Motorcycles in circulation; 08 Japanese - Domestic sales; 09 Europe - Motorcycle & moped production; 10 Italy - Two-wheeler sales; 11 Market share of different types of motorcycles - 2005; 12 Germany - Two-wheeler sales; 13 USA - Segment-wise sales; 14 USA - Company-wise market share (2005)
Tables
1.0 Player review: 01 Two-wheelers - Player comparison (2006-07); 02 Estimated two-wheeler distribution network; 03 Two wheelers - New major models launched (April 2006 onwards)
2.0 Player profile: 01 Bajaj Auto Ltd; 02 Hero Honda Motors Ltd; 03 TVS Motor Company Ltd; 04 Honda Motorcycles and Scooters India Ltd; 05 Yamaha Motors Ltd; 06 Kinetic - Trends in segment-wise market share; 07 Suzuki Motorcycle India Pvt Ltd
3.0 Costs: 01 Two-wheelers - Trends in raw material cost; 02 Two- wheeler - Operating structure of key players (2006-07)
4.0 Supply: 01 Two-wheelers - Capacity and capacity utilisation (2006-07); 02 Two-wheelers - Capacity addition plans
5.0 Global coverage: 01 Different types of motorcycles; 02 Indonesia - Segment-wise motorcycle sales; 03 Thailand player-wise capacity share; 04 Segment-wise market share in 2004; 05 Demand in Brazil; 06 World-wide e - bike sales
6.0 Government policy: 01 Two-wheelers - Import tariffs (2006-07); 02 Key raw materials - Import tariffs; 03 Excise duty - Two-wheelers and key raw materials; 04 Two-wheelers - Emission norms
Section
1.0 Industry statistics
Tables
1.0 Industry statistics: 01 Two-wheelers: Player-wise sales volumes; 02 Two-wheelers: Segment-wise sales; 03 Segment-wise player-wise sales volume; 04 Two-wheelers: Segment-wise player-wise market share; 05 Segment-wise player-wise exports share; 06 Player-wise segmental production; 07 Two-wheelers: Aggregate profit and loss account; 08 Two-wheelers: Aggregate industry balance sheet; 09 Hero Honda Motors Ltd; 10 Bajaj Auto Ltd; 11 TVS Motor Company Ltd

Abstract

The three main sections of the report include ?forecast, state of the industry and provision of key data. The first section comprises two chapters dealing with overall demand review and forecast for two-wheeler industry over the next 5 years. The demand forecast has been arrived at based on shift in demographics, penetration trends and inter-segment substitution. Recognising that two-wheelers have reached significant penetration levels, potential saturation has been estimated. Saturation estimates are based on demographics, cross-product and cross-country comparisons. The second chapter deals with the industry?s profitability outlook for 2007-08 and profitability trends over the next 5 years. The second section includes player performance review, industry?s cost structure, installed capacities and investment reviews and global markets review. The last section mainly provides the facts and figures on the two-wheeler industry.

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Indian Automobile Industry - Two Wheelers Outlook

Table of Contents

Abstract