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Airlines Industry In India - The Road Map Ahead

Published by: CRISIL Ltd.

Published: Aug. 1, 2007 - 80 Pages


Table of Contents


Sections
Domestic airline services poised to take off
Executive summary
1.0 Defining civil aviation
Scheduled transport services
General aviation
Scope of the domestic airline services report
2.0 Demand-supply
Demand: Pax-km to record exponential growth
Supply will keep pace with demand
Demand drivers
Key constraints
3.0 Evaluation of industry profitability
Industry revenue structure: Passenger operations drive revenues
Industry cost structure: Driven by flight operation expenses
Industry profitability
Are low-cost carriers low cost?
Levers of profitability: A checklist
4.0 Industry structure
Evolution
Operating models: Hub-and-spoke; point-to-point
Operating models in Indian aviation
International operations: Preference for hub-and-spoke model
Box
2.0 Demand-supply
01 CRISIL Research - Aviation demand forecasting model
Chart
1.0 Defining civil aviation
01 Domestic airline services structure
Figures
Executive summary
01 Pax-km to increase at CAGR of 24 per cent between 2007-08 and 2011-12
02 No. of passengers carried to grow at 27 per cent CAGR in next 5 years
2.0 Demand-supply
01 Pax-km increased at 13 per cent CAGR between 2001-02 and 2005-06
02 Pax-km to increase at 24 per cent CAGR between 2007-08 and 2011-12
03 Average distance travelled per passenger
04 Passenger growth — 2005-06
05 Passenger growth — 2010-11 P
06 Available domestic seat-km
07 Growth in households across income classes — 2002-2006
08 Growth in households across income classes — 2007-2011
09 Population — Trend in age demographic
10 Aircraft movement — Key airports (2001-02 to 2005-06)
3.0 Evaluation of industry profitability
01 Industry revenue structure (2005-06)
02 Industry revenue structure (2001-02)
03 Cost structure — Rs/ASK (2005-06)
04 Cost structure — Rs/ASK (2001-02)
05 Flight operation expenses increased at 9 per cent CAGR during 2001-02 to 2005-06
06 Greater ticketing expenses for full service carriers
07 MRO expenses lesser for airlines with younger fleet
08 Higher expenses have hurt profitability
09 Jet Airways’ cost structure lends strength
10 Total operating costs of airline operations per ASK
Tables
1.0 Defining civil aviation
01 Insignificant share of non-scheduled passenger air travel
02 Low share of Indian carriers in international pax carried
Sections
1.0 Airports in India
Classification of airports
Relevance for airline services
2.0 Institutional framework
3.0 Regulatory environment
Ownership issues
Aircraft and equipment purchases
Operational issues: Airworthiness, safety, aircraft operation guidelines
Route planning regulations
Taxes and charges
4.0 Profile: Players
Air India
Indian
Air Deccan
Air Sahara
GoAir
Jet Airways
Kingfisher
Paramount Airways
Spicejet
5.0 Profile: Suppliers
Airbus SAS
Boeing
Aerei da Trasporto Regionale / Avions de Transport Régional (ATR)
Embraer
Bombardier Inc
Chart
2.0 Institutional framework
01 Institutional framework
Tables
1.0 Airports in India
01 Passenger traffic at key airports (nos.)
02 Airports - Capabilities (maximum size of aircraft handled)
03 Airports - Traffic handled
4.0 Profile: Players
01 Air India - Domestic destinations
02 Air India - International destinations
03 Air India - Fleet
04 Air India - Orders placed
05 Air India - Crew
06 Air India - Operational snapshot
07 Indian - Domestic scheduled destinations
08 Indian Airlines - International scheduled destinations
09 Indian Airlines and Alliance Air - Fleet
10 Indian Airlines - Orders placed
11 Indian Airlines - Crew
12 Indian Airlines - Operational snapshot
13 Air Deccan - Domestic scheduled destinations
14 Air Deccan - Fleet
15 Air Deccan - Orders placed
16 Air Deccan - Crew
17 Air Deccan - Operational snapshot
18 Air Sahara - Domestic destinations
19 Air Sahara - International destinations
20 Air Sahara - Fleet
21 Air Sahara - Orders placed
22 Air Sahara - Crew
23 Air Sahara - Operational snapshot
24 GoAir - Destinations
25 GoAir - Fleet
26 GoAir - Crew
27 GoAir - Operational snapshot
28 Jet Airways (India) Ltd - Domestic destinations
29 Jet Airways (India) Ltd - International destinations
30 Jet Airways (India) Ltd - Fleet
31 Jet Airways (India) Ltd - Orders placed
32 Jet Airways - Crew
33 Jet Airways - Operational snapshot
34 Kingfisher Airlines: Destination
35 Kingfisher Airlines: Fleet
36 Kingfisher Airlines: Orders placed
Tables
4.0 Profile: Players
37 Kingfisher Airlines - Crew
38 Kingfisher Airlines - Operational snapshot
39 Paramount Airways - Destinations
40 Paramount Airways - Fleet
41 Paramount Airways - Crew
42 Paramount Airways - Operational snapshot
43 Spicejet Ltd - Destinations
44 Spicejet Ltd - Fleet
45 Spicejet Ltd - Orders placed
46 SpiceJet - Crew
47 SpiceJet - Operational snapshot
5.0 Profile: Suppliers
01 Airbus S.A.S - Product profile
02 Airbus S.A.S - Orders
03 Airbus S.A.S - Deliveries
04 Airbus - Orders, delivery and operational aircraft
05 Boeing - Product profile
06 Boeing - Orders
07 Boeing - Deliveries
08 Boeing - Orders and delivery of aircraft
09 ATR - Product profile
10 ATR - Accumulated orders
11 ATR - Orders in 2007
12 Embraer - Product profile
13 Embraer - Orders and deliveries
14 Bombardier Inc - Product profile
15 Bombardier - Orders
16 Bombardier - Deliveries
Sections
1.0 Indian aviation: Performance
2.0 Profile: Airports
3.0 History: Airlines
Tables
1.0 Indian aviation: Performance
01 Total passengers carried
02 Available seat kms
03 Pax-kms achieved
04 Operating revenues
05 Operating expenses
06 Revenues and expenses (per pax-km)
07 Total personnel
08 Total personnel available per thousand seats
2.0 Profile: Airports
01 India - List of airports
02 Connectivity in India (as per aircraft type)
03 Total passenger traffic handled at various airports during 2005-06 (Nos.)
3.0 History: Airlines
01 India - Airlines history


Abstract

The advent of low cost airlines and positive economic factors coined with growth in income of Indians has opened up huge market opportunities for the airlines. Demand is expected to TAKE OFF.
  • The demand for domestic Indian Airline Services is set to grow to 93 billion Pax-Km in FY12 from current level of 23 billion in FY06.
  • The number of passengers handled is expected to increase commensurately to around 99 million passengers handled by FY12 from 29 Million passengers handled in FY06.
Given this exponential growth opportunities, critical question that arise are:
  • How does CRISIL, see the market growth span out over the next 3-5 years?
  • What is the basic infrastructure facilities required to sustain this high growth?
  • What are the key elements of competition and challenges faced by the Indian airline
    • services industry?
  • Are Low Cost Carriers, really low cost?
  • What are different levers of profitability of airlines?
  • How is the credit profile & profitability of airlines operators; How is it expected to move
    • over the next five years?
Who will benefit:
  • Investment Managers
  • Venture Capitalists
  • Management Consultants
  • Research Companies
  • Private Equity Managers
  • Market intermediates
  • Banks
  • Airlines services operators
  • Analyst
  • Other Industry Professionals


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