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Greece Insurance Report Q1 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Mar. 11, 2008 - 30 Pages


Table of Contents


The Sector At A Glance
Table: Overview Of Greece’s Insurance Sector
Key Insights On Greece’s Insurance Sector
SWOT Analysis
Greece Insurance Industry SWOT
Key Features Of This R8
Latest News
Projections And Forec10
Table: Premiums - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2005-2012
Projections And Drivers Of Growth
Table: Growth Drivers, 2005-2012
Country Update
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Greece - Economic Activity
Political Update
Insurance Business Environment Rating
Table: Greece - Insurance Business Environment Indicato 17
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Insurance Business Environment Rankings
Regional Context
Table: Non-Life Premiums In A Regional Context, 2007
Table: Life Premiums In A Regional Context, 2007
Table: Comparison Of Major Lines As % Non-Life Premiums, 2006
Analysis Of Competitive Conditions
Greece - Non-Life Segment
Table: Presence Of Cross-Border Insurers, Non-Life
Greece - Life Segment
Table: Presence Of Cross-Border Insurers, Life
Methodology
Basis Of Projections
Insurance Business Environment Rating
Table: Insurance Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators


Abstract

This report differs from its predecessors in that it includes BMI’s Insurance Business Environment Rating(IBER). The rating brings together a number of pieces of relevant quantitative data, together with BMI’sCountry Risk Rating (CRR). It is now much easier to consider the business environment for the insurancesector in any one country relative to the business environment for other industries in that country that aresurveyed by BMI, and the business environment for the insurance sector in other countries.

Greece’s IBER is 64.7. Relative to other countries in Central and Eastern Europe, it is quite an attractiveinsurance market for foreign insurers. On the negative side non-life and life penetration figures are verytame and these serve to lower Greece’s overall rating. However, on the whole, the economic outlook isupbeat. Government policies are likely to remain constant over the long term owing to the re-election ofthe incumbent New Democracy (ND) party in September 2007. The IBER is held back somewhat by theunderdevelopment of the life segment and GDP volatility. It is also held back by the legal framework andbureaucracy.

Over the forecast period, we anticipate that non-life premiums will grow by 25% annually in euro termsand by 24% in US dollar terms. Life premiums are expected to increase by 12% annually in euro termsand by 11% in US dollar terms. The key drivers of growth in the non-life segment in 2007-2012 are theanticipated rise in nominal GDP from around US$343bn in 2007 to US$427bn in 2012 and an expectedincrease in non-life penetration from 1.15% of GDP to 2.70%. The key driver of growth in the lifesegment is the envisaged near doubling in life density from US$294 per capita in 2007 to US$500 percapita in 2012. Greece’s total population is increasing, albeit slowly.

The competitive landscape in both the non-life and the life segments is very open to foreign players. Bothsegments are open to participation by foreign groups, with eight cross-border firms operating in Greece’snon-life market, and six within its life market. By far the largest portion of the non-life market in Greeceis motor vehicle insurance. Property and fire insurance comprises the second most important sub-sector,followed by accident and health insurance.

The government looks set to continue its reform agenda, which includes the privatisation of some stateassets and educational reforms. In all, the outlook looks good in terms of political continuity, creating astable environment for operators in the insurance sector. A key risk to this outlook is the reduced majorityof the aforementioned re-elected ND party. Other key issues for insurers are the level of bureaucracy andissues inherent in the tax system. On the plus side, the financial infrastructure is solid and GDP lookshealthy in the medium term.


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