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Estonia Food and Drink Report 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Mar. 3, 2008 - 77 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: CEE Food & Drink Ratings - Q108
Estonia’s Food and Drink Business Environment Rating
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Estonia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
Estonia Food & Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Estonia - Economic Activity
Retail
Regional Overview: Hypermarket Retailing in the CEE Regio
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales by Format (US$bn) - Forecast Data
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure of Estonia's Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Food and Drink
Food Regional Overview: Frozen Meals In CEE
Table: Western Europe - Consumption Of Ready Meals By Product (‘000 tonnes)
Table: Western Europe - Forecast Expenditure On Ready Meals By Product (EURmn)
Table: Marriages And Divorces In Selected CEE Countries, Per ‘000 Population, 2004
Table: Composition Of Households In Selected CEE Countries By Number Of Children* (as % of total)
Food Regional Overview: Confectionery in Central and Eastern Europe
Table: Discount Store Sales (US$bn) by Country 2005-20
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators
Table: Food Sub-Sector Indicators
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Trade Balance (US$mn)
Drink
Table: Drinks Indicators
Industry Developments
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Food
Drink
Table: Alcohol Excise Rates
Agriculture
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tobacco indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Tobacco Excise Rates
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in Estonia’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2007
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in Estonia’s Food & Drink Sector, 2007
Regional Company Case Studies
Food: Hamé in Central and Eastern Europe
Table: Hamé’s Export Markets
Table Urban Population in the Czech Republic as % of To
Table Volume/Value of Canned Food in Czech Republic - Historical Data and Forecast
Table Volume/Value of Canned Food in Romania - Historical Data and Forecast
Food: Podravka in Central and Eastern Europe
Table: Podravka Sales By Product Group, 2006 vs 2005
Table: Podravka Key Financial Indicators, 2005 And 2006 (HRKmn)
Retail: Rewe In Central And Eastern Europe
Title: Rewe's Position In Markets Where It Has A Retail Presence
Company Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Rimi Baltic AB
Vilniaus Prekyba (VP Market, now Maxima LT)
Food
Valio Eesti AS
Paulig Baltic AS
Kalev
Drink
Saku Őlletehas
Liviko
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Table: Limits of Potential Returns
Table: Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

Estonia has been among the most attractive investment destinations in the Central and Eastern Europe(CEE) region. The country is ranked fifth in BMI’s revised Business Environment Ranking for the foodand drink sectors, given its strong annual GDP growth, rising disposable income and the inflow of foreigndirect investment (FDI). However, the small size of the market - Estonia has a population of only 1.3mn- is one of the main drawbacks to operating in the country. Indeed, Finnish retailer Kesko and GermanLidl recently made a decision to exit the country’s mass grocery retail (MGR) sector. While this leavesmore room for expansion for leading local players, primarily the Rimi Baltic and Maxima LT (formerlyVP Market) chains, this space is clearly limited. Consequently, large-scale market entries are unlikely inthe future.

In the meantime, although the food and drink industries are still not as consolidated as elsewhere in theCEE region, the sectors are rapidly rallying around a few key players. One of the recent entrants isEstonia-based Alta Capital Partners, a venture capital firm, which is taking over a number of Balticfood and drink processing companies in a bid to reap benefits from a steady growth in food and drinkconsumption across the region. Nevertheless, international companies are still interested in localinvestment as the demand for higher quality and premium products, especially in the chocolate andalcoholic drink sectors, will spur value growth in the industry.

However, the substantial number of price-sensitive consumers, especially in the east of the country willhamper value growth of the food sector. The expansion of discount operators forecast for the comingyears will also support the development of heavy competition in the retail sector in terms of price. All thesame, niche sectors are still available as points of entry and/or expansion, as consumers in the country canbe won over to a new product or wooed by a new retailer with an attractive price proposition.


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