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Beer: Does Trading Up Mean Losing Out? - Ireland

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Feb. 1, 2008 - 75 Pages


Table of Contents


Issues in the Market

Key themes in the report

Definition

Abbreviations

Market in Brief

Key themes in the report

Beer drinkers in decline, but outlook remains positive

Growth in home drinking damages beer market

Future operating environment presents challenges

Foreign influences introduce new competitors

Bottled lager shows the strongest growth

Impact of innovation

Internal Market Environment

Key points:

Falling sales for pubs…

Figure 1: Indexed market value and volume sales in the on-trade, NI and RoI, 2000-07

…and changing Irish attitudes mean more home drinking

Implications for the beer market

Random breath testing

Figure 2: Number of drink driving arrests in RoI, 2001 to 2006

Advertising spend is significant…

Figure 3: Top alcohol producers/distributors, by advertising expenditure, RoI, 2006*

…to encourage consumers to drink less?

Responsible drinking

Healthy interest growing in Ireland, but not for beer

Figure 4: Agreement with ‘I should do more about my health’, NI and RoI, 2003-07

Cutting the fat from the beer market

Figure 5: Agreement with ‘I always look for the light/diet versions of food and drink’, NI and RoI, 2005-07

Warning signs for beer

Figure 6: Agreement with ‘I always check the nutritional content of food’, RoI and NI, 2005-07

Sport is a strong arena for promotion…

Figure 7: Agreement with selected sponsorship-related statements, RoI and NI, 2007

…but for how long?

Other avenues are open for beer

Broader Market Environment

Key points:

Mature tastes for the future RoI market

Figure 8: Population change, by age group, RoI, 2000-20

Lower population impact for NI

Figure 9: Population change, by age group, NI, 2000-20

Fewer responsibilities, more pub visits

Figure 10: Average age of women at birth of first child, NI and RoI, 1991-2005

Foreign tastes fragment the market

Figure 11: Number of people coming to live in RoI, by country of last residence, 2006

Figure 12: Number of people coming to live in Northern Ireland, by country of last residence, 2004/05 and 2005/06

Off-trade pricing curbs inflation

Figure 13: CPI for alcoholic beverages and tobacco, RoI and UK, 2002-06

The RoI Groceries Order debate

Market Value and Forecast

Key points:

A sobering performance

Figure 16: Market size and forecast for beer market, by value and volume, NI and RoI, 2000-12

Future outlook

Figure 17: Market size and forecast for all-Ireland beer market, by value and volume, 2000-12

Further pressure on legislators to increase prices

Fragmentation offset by consolidation by the bigger brands

Figure 18: Market size and forecast for beer market, by value and volume, NI and RoI, 2000-12

Segment Performance

Key points:

Bottled lager clear growth sector

Figure 19: Share of volume of beer trade, by segment, RoI, 2007

Figure 20: Share of volume of beer trade, by segment, NI, 2007

Bottled lager gaining on canned in RoI

Figure 21: Value and volume of beer segments, RoI, 2002-07

Moi - fashion-conscious?

RoI stout and ale market contracting

Draught lager growing moderately in NI

Figure 22: Value and volume of beer segments, NI, 2002-07

The end is NI for bottled stout?

Companies and Brands

Key points:

Consolidation of the beer industry

Impact on Irish market

Opening further doors for smaller importers

Defining premium beers

The conglomerates push their ranges

…but smaller importers keep pace…

…and are driven by diversity

Barry Fitzwilliam Maxxium (BFM)

Beamish & Crawford

C&C

Diageo

Heineken Ireland

InBev

United Wine Merchants

Channels to Market

Key points:

On-trade beer sales fall across Ireland

Figure 23: Value and volume sales of beer for the on- and off-trade, all-Ireland, RoI and NI, 2002-07

Pub numbers declining in RoI

Figure 24: Number of pubs, RoI and NI, 2004-06

Implications and opportunities

Licensing restricts beer entry to growing restaurant trade

Figure 25: Number of restaurants and fully licensed restaurants, RoI and NI, 2005 and 2006

Figure 26: Number of off-licences, RoI and NI, 2004-06

Beer Drinkers in Decline

Key points:

Draught lager leads the way

Figure 27: Draught lager penetration, by gender and age, RoI and NI, 2007

Figure 28: Draught lager penetration rates, by level of consumption, RoI and NI, 2003-07

Canned lager unpopular with women

Figure 29: Canned lager penetration, by gender and age, RoI and NI, 2007

Figure 30: Canned lager penetration rates, by level of consumption, RoI and NI, 2003-07

RoI heavy drinkers prefer cans...

...but a turn-off for NI drinkers

Bottled lager comes into fashion…

Figure 31: Bottled lager penetration, by gender and age, RoI and NI, 2007

…and has implications for responsible drinking

RoI shows strongest growth for bottled lager…

Figure 32: Bottled lager penetration rates, by level of consumption, RoI and NI, 2003-07

…but reflects overall market in NI

A mature market for stout…

Figure 33: Draught ale, bitter and stout penetration, by gender and age, RoI and NI, 2007

…and more male-dominated

Heavy users of stout remain loyal, but few

Figure 34: Draught ale, bitter and stout penetration rates, by level of consumption, RoI and NI, 2003-07

Figure 35: Canned ale, bitter and stout penetration, by gender and age, RoI and NI, 2007

Canned stout can’t replace the pint

Figure 36: Canned ale, bitter and stout penetration rates, by level of consumption, RoI and NI, 2003-07

Bottled ale, bitter and stout is an older market

Figure 37: Bottled ale, bitter and stout penetration, by gender and age, RoI and NI, 2007

Bottled stout remains a small, but steady market

Figure 38: Bottled ale, bitter and stout penetration rates, by level of consumption, RoI and NI, 2003-07

Appendix

Broader Market Environment

Figure 41: The economic outlook for RoI and NI, 2006-08

Companies and brands

Advertising and promotional campaigns

Strengths and weaknesses

The consumer

Usage definitions

Figure 42: Draught lager penetration rates, by level of consumption, RoI, 2003-07

Figure 43: Draught lager penetration rates, by level of consumption, NI, 2003-7

Target groups

Statements used to create the RoI cluster groups:

Statements used to create the NI cluster groups:

Figure 44: Cluster groups, by lifestyle statements, RoI, 2007

Figure 45: Cluster groups, by lifestyle statements, NI, 2007

Figure 46: Cluster groups, by gender, age, socio-economic group, marital status, working status, presence of children, lifestage and region, RoI, 2007

Figure 47: Cluster groups, by gender, age, socio-economic group, marital status, working status, presence of children, lifestage and region, NI, 2007

Abstract

The quantity of beer drunk in Ireland has been in decline. Health motivations, media spotlight on binge drinking, rise in popularity of wine and cider and less incentive to go to the pub are just some of the reasons behind this decline.

In essence the beer market is going through a period of readjustment. One of the key trends to evolve from this transition period is the growth in bottled lagers, which has ultimately contributed to the decreased volume of beer sold overall. However, the slowing market is regaining momentum in terms of value due to the higher price per litre of bottled beer.

Key themes in the report:
  • Has the spotlight on binge drinking cast a shadow on the Irish beer market? If so, how is the industry responding?
  • Why is bottled lager gaining popularity and is it sustainable?
  • Fragmentation in the retail brand landscape heightens competition as consumers are exposed to more brands.
  • Concentration of resources (advertising and promotion) should build bigger and better beer brands.


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