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Greece Food and Drink Report Q1 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Feb. 20, 2008 - 73 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Q108
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Greece Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
Greece Food & Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Greece - Economic Activity
Retail
Regional Overview: The ‘Greening’ Of MGR In Western Europe
Table: MGR Eco-Friendly Strategies In Western Europe
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Greece Mass Grocery Retail - Value Sales by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure of the Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Table: Greece Mass Grocery Retail Sales by Format (US$bn) - Value Sales by Format
Table: Average value of MGR Outlets, US$mn
Food and Drink
Regional Overview: Confectionery in Western Europe
Table: 2006 Western Europe Market Share (%)
Table: Western Europe Confectionery Market Share By Category (%), 2005
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Greece Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Value/Volume Sales of Canned Food & Confectionery - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Food, Drink, Tobacco Sectoral Trade - Export, Import and Balance Value (US$mn) - Historical Data and Forecasts
Drink
Table: Greece Beverage Sectors - Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Agriculture
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: Greece Organic Agricultural Data
Table: Greece Agricultural Production Statistics
Food
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Cigarette Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Greece Food & Drink Report Q1 2008
Competitive Landscape.47
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table - Key Players: Greece’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2006
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players: Greece’s Food & Drink Sector, 2006
Regional Company Case Studies
Drink: The Coca-Cola Company in Western Europe
Table: Unit Case Volume Growth (%)
Table: Revenue And Income For EU (US$mn)
Drink: Diageo In Western Europe
Table: Diageo’s Strongest Brands and Future Strategy for Western Europe
Mass Grocery Retail: Ahold In Western Europe
Table: Ahold Financial Results, 2003-2006 (EURmn)
Company Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Carrefour Marinopoulos
Atlantic Supermarket SA
Alpha-Beta Vassilopoulos SA
Food
Fage Dairy Industry SA
Vivartia
Drink
Coca-Cola Hellenic Beverages Company (CCHBC)
J. Boutaris & Sons Holding SA
Athenian Brewery SA
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Table: Limits of Potential Returns
Table: Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

Greece was hit by two price fixing scandals in 2007 which have increased public distrust of largeorganisations and raised the perception that rising prices in the food and drink sector are the result ofproducers collaborating to form price fixing cartels. This news follows the arrest in 2006 of PanayotisAdamopoulos, the director of the Hellenic Competition Commission, who was charged with attempting toextract a EUR2.5 million bribe from MEVGAL, a major dairy firm which was being investigated overprice fixing allegations. Greece is currently ranked the most corrupt country in the 15-eurozone area byglobal anti-corruption watchdog Transparency International.

In December after a year-long investigation the Greek competition authority imposed fines ofEUR48.3mn (US$71.0mn) on seven dairy processors for fixing the prices paid to dairy farmers. This wasquickly followed by further fines totalling EUR28.6mn (US$42.0mn) for four dairy companies and sixsupermarkets for fixing the retail prices of dairy products. These latest revelations have added towidespread public distrust of large organisations and a growing perception among the local populationthat a large number of Greek companies operate price-fixing cartels. This has been the centre of publicdebate and the focus of newspaper campaigns as rising costs of living and inflationary pressures arealready putting a squeeze on consumers.

Greece’s largest food and drink company Vivartia, which has interests in dairy, baked and frozenproducts was hit with a fine of EUR21.8mn (US$32.0) for its part in the price fixing scandal and is one ofthe focal points of the public’s rising objection to large companies. Vivartia’s position is not helped bythe fact that it is controlled by foreign owners, having been bought in the summer of 2007 by the MarfinInvestment Group (MIG) which itself is owned by the Dubai Investment Group (DIG), a globalfinancial investment vehicle of the Dubai government. MIG has been the focus of concern in Greece,where any company consolidation is generally viewed with suspicion - an understandable sentimentfollowing the recent price fixing revelations. Sections of the Greek population are also concerned thatsuch a large and strategic company is controlled by foreign owners - a sentiment which has forced MIGto stress its Greek connections, running full-page adverts in the local media under the motto MIG - MadeIn Greece.

Rising public distrust of large organisations is bad news for an increasingly mature food and drink sector.Any company that wishes to flourish in a mature market needs to have the backing of the general publicand price fixing is one of the most objectionable activities for a population which is already struggling tocope with rising food inflation. In BMI’s opinion this sort of activity not only harms the company’sinvolved but also damages the reputation and prospects of all large food and drink firms operating inGreece.


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