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Bulgaria Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2007

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Dec. 13, 2007 - 67 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Bulgaria Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare SWOT
Bulgaria Political SWOT
Bulgaria Economic SWOT
Bulgaria Business Environment SWOT
Bulgaria: Business Environment Ranking
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Business Environment Ranking
Business Environment Ranking
Economics - Long-Term Risk
Politics - Long-Term Risk
Regulatory Barriers
Domestic Sector Threat
Market Growth Potential
Market Size Ranking
Market Summary
Regulatory Regime
Intellectual Property Environment
Intellectual Property Deficiencies
Corruption And Counterfeit Drugs
Pricing Regime
Table: Wholesale Mark-Ups
Table: Retail Mark-Ups
Reimbursement Regime
Recent Pricing And Reimbursement Developments
Industry Developments
Health Status
Main Causes Of Death In Bulgaria
Healthcare Sector
Hospital Privatisation Programme
National Healthcare Plan
Healthcare Information System
Introduction Of Patient E-Cards
Healthcare Insurance
Healthcare Debt
Local Pharmaceutical Industry
Table: Pharmacies & Pharmacy Market Ratios
Foreign Pharmaceutical Industry
Research & Development (R&D)
Clinical Trials
Industry Forecast Scenario
Overall Market Forecast
Table: Drug Market Indicators
Key Growth Factors - Industry
Table: Health Expenditure Indicators
Key Growth Factors - Macroeconomic
Table: Bulgaria - Economic Activity
Prescription Market Forecast
Table: Prescription Market Indicators
OTC Market Forecast
Table: OTC Market Indicators
Generics And Branded Market Forecast
Table: Generics And Branded Market Indicators
Export/Import Market Forecasts
Table: Sectoral Trade Indicators
Other Healthcare Data Forecasts
Table: Other Healthcare Data Forecasts
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Competitive Landscape
Top Ten Products In Bulgaria By Sales
Company Monitor
GlaxoSmithKline
Novartis
Sanofi-Aventis
Pfizer
Merck & Co
Indigenous Companies
Actavis Bulgaria (formerly Balkanpharma)
Sopharma
Biovet
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Technical Process
Pharmaceutical Industry
Sources


Abstract

"Bulgaria’s pharmaceutical market is expected to experience strong growth over the next five years,reaching a valuation of approximately US$1.3bn in 2011. The market prospects have been improved bythe recent alignment of local legislation with EU requirements, as well as by the country’s removal fromthe ‘Special 301’ Watch List of countries with questionable intellectual property (IP) regimes, althoughBulgaria has yet to catch up with the rest of the EU in this area.In the meantime, generic drugs, which account for over 30% of the market by value, are likely to gainfurther market shares over the next five years, driven by the cost-containment programme, pressures onphysicians and patients to use generic pharmaceuticals rather than patented medicines, and the stronglocal manufacture of copy products. Their quality has been significantly improved by the EU membershiprequirements, with some of the larger local companies (backed by foreign capital and ownership) now ina position to offer a strong export portfolio.

In the meantime, although relatively modest at present, the development of the over-the-counter (OTC)market will be significant, stimulated by increasing health awareness among consumers, vertical andhorizontal integration of the sector, as well as strong advertising support for such products and the focuson cost containment in healthcare.

The revised BMI’s Business Environment Rankings for Q307 recognises the above improvements, withBulgaria rising from fourth to joint first place among the 15 Central & Eastern European (CEE) surveyed.Foreign players will be further encouraged by the ongoing healthcare system reforms, despite somequestion marks over their direction by critics of privatisation initiatives.Consequently, foreign drugmakers continue to make gains on their Bulgarian peers, both in terms of salesvolumes and value. According to BMI’s forecasts, foreign firms will out-sell domestic manufacturers in2007, especially as larger international players become more interested in acquiring local companies. Onthe other hand, domestic manufacturers will have the opportunity to increase their export segments, inview of their improved manufacturing standards that are aligned with EU regulations, as well as foreignbacking in some cases.



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