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UK Food and Drink Report Q1 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Feb. 4, 2008 - 77 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Q108
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
United Kingdom Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
United Kingdom Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: United Kingdom - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Regional Overview: The ‘Greening’ Of MGR In Western Europe
Table: MGR Eco-Friendly Strategies In Western Europe
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Structure of UK Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales by Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure of the UK’s Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Table: Structure of the UK’s Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value by Format (US$bn)
Table: Annual Average Sales per Outlet by Format (US$mn) - 2006
Food And Drink
Regional Overview: Confectionery in Western Europe
Table: 2006 Western Europe Market Share (%)
Table: Western Europe Confectionery Market Share By Category (%), 2005
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Food Sub-sector Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Trade Balance (US$mn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Drink
Table: Drinks indicators
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Indicators
Industry Developments
Agriculture
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: United Kingdom Agricultural Sub-Sector Production
Table: United Kingdom Dairy Industry Data
Table: United Kingdom Organic Agricultural Data
Food
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tobacco indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Players in the UK's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - Financial Year 2006/2007
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in the UK’s Food & Drink Sector - FY07
Regional Company Case Studies
Drink: The Coca-Cola Company in Western Europe
Table: Unit Case Volume Growth (%)
Table: Revenue And Income For EU (US$mn)
Drink: Diageo in Western Europe
Table: Diageo’s Strongest Brands and Future Strategy for Western Europe
Mass Grocery Retail: Ahold in Western Europe
Table: Ahold Financial Results, 2003-2006 (EURmn)
Company Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Tesco
J Sainsbury Plc
Asda
Food
Associated British Foods
Dairy Crest Group Plc
Drink
Diageo
Cadbury Schweppes Plc
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Table: Limits of Potential Returns
Table: Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

The UK’s per capita spending on food and drink continues to rise as a move towards convenient andhealthy products drives consumers towards higher-margin products. This, coupled with a general trendtowards premium, higher-quality products, is forecast to push per capita spending up by 30% over thenext five years. This increase is good news for both manufacturers and retailers as the higher margins willaid sales and profit growth in both sectors.

The move towards premium products is highly pronounced in the beer and spirits sector and this hasprompted UK based brewer SABMiller to acquire Dutch brewer Grolsch. This acquisition boosts itsrange of premium beers and allows the company to offer a premium brand with a strong heritage that isalready very well known in the UK. Beer sales by value are forecast to increase only slightly over thenext five years as volume sales are fairly flat in the mature UK market. Therefore to improve, or even justmaintain, profits brewers will need to increase their margins by selling more of these premium products.In another brewing development Carlsberg and Heineken launched a hostile joint bid for UK firmScottish & Newcastle (S&N), with the high-growth Russian venture Baltic Beverages Holding,currently jointly held by S&N and Carlsberg, the motivation behind the move. This move highlights theimportance that UK and Western European brewers place on emerging markets as sales in many WesternEurope markets, including the UK, have been flat for several years and premiumisation cannot be reliedupon to improve profits indefinitely.

The UK’s mass grocery retailers (MGR) breathed a sigh of relief as the UK’s Competition Commissionannounced its findings from its investigation into the MGR sector. The results were good news for mostMGRs as the commission found that any lack of competition was due to a scarcity of supermarkets inparticular areas giving certain retailers virtual monopolies over certain towns or districts. The report alsohighlights that the land-banks that retailers have built up are maybe being used to stifle competition.Therefore the one retailer who may not be totally satisfied with these findings is Tesco who, with thelargest amount of undeveloped plots, may be forced to sell-off a considerable portion of its land-bankwhich may open it up to increased competition.


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