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China Food and Drink Report Q1 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Feb. 4, 2008 - 77 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings - Q108
China’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
China Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
China Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: China - Economic Activity
Retail
Regional Overview: Declining Role Of Independent Retail In Asia Pacific
Table: Store Numbers - MGR Versus Independent/Traditional Retailers In Selected Asia Pacific Markets, 2006
Table: Sales - MGR versus Independent/Traditional Retailers In Selected Asia Pacific Markets, 2006 (US$mn)
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: China MGR Sales by Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of China’s Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of China’s Mass Grocery Retail Market, Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Annual Average Value Of Sales By Format (US$mn), 2006
Table: Sales/Store Number Breakdown By Retail Format Type, 2006
Food And Drink
Regional Overview: Confectionery in the Asia Pacific region
Table: Leading Global Chocolate Manufacturers
Table: Leading Confectionery Companies in the Asia Pacific Region
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: China Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: China Food Sub-sectors - Historical & Forecast Sales Data
Table: China Food, Drink & Tobacco Sectoral Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts
Drink
Table: China Beverage Industry Sub-Sectors - Historical & Forecast Sales Data
Industry Developments
Agriculture
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: China Agriculutral Sub-Sector Production - Historical Data
Table: China Organic Agricultural Data
Table: China Dairy Industry Data - 2006
Food
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in China’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector - 2006
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in China Food & Drink Sector - 2006
Regional Company Case Studies
Food: Unilever In The Asia Pacific Region
Table: Per Capita Food Consumption in Selected Asia Pacific Markets (US$)
Drink: San Miguel Corporation In The Asia Pacific Region
Table: San Miguel Corporation In The Asia Pacific Region
Table: San Miguel Corporation Revenue And Earnings Growth By Operating Division, Q107 (%)
Table: San Miguel Corporation - Sales By Market (US$mn)
Table: San Miguel Corporation - Key Historical Data
Mass Grocery Retail: Metro In The Asia Pacific Region
Table: Metro Group - Five-Year Financial Results
Company Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Carrefour
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings
Food
Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding
Drink
Tsingtao
Wahaha
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits of Potential Returns
Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources


Abstract

The now ferocious battle for leadership of China’s dynamic and high-growth beer sector showed no signsof abating during the second half of 2007, with expansion by new market leader China Resources SnowBreweries (CR Snow) immediately followed by an investment from Tsingtao, and vice versa. In thisreport we assess the impact that this battle is having on sector growth, as well as the business strategies ofother expansionary multinational breweries in the country. We also look beyond China to the impact thatexperience of competition in the market is having on the strategy and ambitions of leading Chineseplayers elsewhere in the world.

Key events from the last few months of 2007 include Tsingtao - which is 27%-owned by US giantAnheuser-Busch, its largest non-governmental shareholder - opening three new breweries and boostingits production capacity by some 20% in the process. The investment was part of a broader aim ofachieving sales growth of 20% annually to 2013, although following so closely on from CR Snow’s ownexpansionary investments, Tsingtao’s move can also be viewed as highly competitive. CR Snow, the localjoint venture of Anglo-South African major SABMiller and domestic major China ResourcesEnterprises, acquired stakes in four regional breweries across China just months before Tsingtao cameforward with its own expansion plans. In the province of Liaoning, CR Snow acquired 80% stakes in twobrewers to consolidate its existing leadership position in the region, while in Anhui the company alsofurthered its market leadership via an acquisition. Most notably, however, CR Snow took total ownershipof a brewery in Hunan province, marking its first foray into this high growth region.

Both Tsingtao and CR Snow, along with their global competitors including InBev and Heineken, areseeking to capitalise on an industry which BMI predicts will grow by 30.6% in volume terms to 2012.Value sales growth is set to be higher still as foreign investors increasingly look to capitalise on highdemand at the premium end of the market; demand fuelled by China’s fast-emerging middle classes andan economy that is forecast to experience annual average growth of 9.4% to 2012. The neck-and-neckmarket leaders are not only interested in Chinese growth, however; they are also looking to build leadingglobal brands on the back of the establishment of a nationwide Chinese presence. Both have sought toabandon the traditional regionality of Chinese brewing to build national brands and both have provedsuccessful, but in largely different ways. CR Snow’s SNOW brand is now the world’s second-highestselling beer, yet this is based on the sheer size of the Chinese market alone. Meanwhile Tsingtao hasproved less successful at penetrating the whole of China and yet has become synonymous with the notionof Chinese beer globally and thus accounts for 50% of total beer exports from China.

Throughout 2008 it will be fascinating to see how both firms chose to prioritise their domestic and globalaspirations, but with just one percentage point of market share between them domestically it seemscertain that neither brewer will be taking its eyes off China for the time-being."



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