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Singapore Defence and Security Report Q1 2008

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 28, 2007 - 46 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Singapore Security SWOT
Singapore Defence Industry SWOT
Singapore Economic SWOT
Singapore Political SWOT
Singapore Business Environment SWOT
Political Overview
Domestic and External Political Outlook
Security Risk Analysis
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Singapore Regional Ratings
State Terrorism Vulnerability Index
Regional Security: South East Asia Q108
Overview
Inter-State Conflicts
Internal Conflicts
Singapore Terrorism Risk Rating
Singapore Conflict Risk Rating
Singapore Physical Safety Risk Rating
Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
Table: Regional Insurgent Groups
External Security Situation
Table: Actual And Attempted Piracy Attacks
Defence Industry
Armed Forces
International Deployments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Structure
Industry Trends & Developments
Arms Trade Overview
Procurement Trends & Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Army Enlargements
Government Expenditure On Defence
Table: Singapore Defence Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Singapore - Economic Activity
Company Profiles
ST Aero
ST Kinetics
ST Electronics
ST Marine
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources


Abstract

Singapore, as an island state, faces maritime security threats such as piracy, and as such has developed its
security forces to deal with evolving security challenges. Singapore also faces more traditional challenges
such as maintaining good relations with neighbouring states, with significant efforts made to strengthen
bilateral diplomatic relations with Indonesia. However, despite recent efforts, most notably the Defence
Cooperation Agreement (DCA) between Singapore and Indonesia, there have been some setbacks. The
DCA would formally recognise defence ties between the countries, ensure increased defence industry
collaboration and increase access to training facilities. However, disagreements between the two countries
make it unlikely that any agreement will be reached over the DCA in the near future.


The Singaporean defence budget remains one of the highest in the Asia Pacific region, and it has been
steadily increasing in recent years. The government announced budget increases of 5.3% to SGD10.58bn
in 2007. The majority of the budget will be spent on operating equipment (96.7%) and the remaining
3.3% will be spent on development of personnel and defence equipment. Operating equipment received a
5.5% increase in spending, with the majority on the Armed Forces (SGD10.17bn). The security and
external relations budget represents one third of Singapore’s total expenditure, and includes expenditure
for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Home Affairs and the Ministry for Defence (MINDEF).
Typically the Singaporean government has kept defence expenditure at 4.5-5% of the budget, but the
2007 expenditure has tipped it over 5%. Singapore’s defence expenditure in recent years has been
targeted towards enhancing its operational capacity, with a view to maintaining a superior capability over
neighbouring states’ capabilities. This is certainly true of Singapore’s air strike and air combat
capabilities, where it operates a highly-capable fleet of F-5E/Fs and Block 52/52+ F16 C/Ds.
Singapore enjoys a robust defence industry which has experienced consistent growth. The industry is set
to expand, both in the Asia Pacific and US market. In Q406, Vision Technologies Kinetics (VTK), a
subsidiary of ST Engineering, agreed to acquire 80% of the US-based MAK Technologies for
US$20mn, a firm which specialises in producing simulation equipment for training purposes. Singapore’s
arms trade remains robust, but the area demonstrating the most export promise was its advance military
training programmes. The last model released in Q406 by the DSTA and ST Electronics was the
Advanced Combat May System (ACMS), which enables soldiers to train with information transmitted in
real time supported by a command-and-control information system (CCIS).



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