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Asia Pacific Biofuel Market Forecast

Published by: RNCOS

Published: Feb. 1, 2008 - 90 Pages


Table of Contents


1. Analyst View

2. Biofuel - An Introduction

2.1 What is Biofuel?

2.2 Types of Biofuel

2.2.1 Ethanol

2.2.2 Biodiesel

2.3 How Biofuel Helps in Energy Crisis

2.4 Industry Structure

2.4.1 Feedstock Production

2.4.2 Manufacturing

2.4.3 Distribution

2.4.4 End Users

3. Global Biofuel Industry

3.1 Regional Existence

3.2 Biofuel Production

3.2.1 Ethanol

3.2.2 Biodiesel

3.3 Future Outlook

3.3.1 Global Biofuel Industry - 2016

3.3.1.1 Ethanol Production (2007-2015)

3.3.1.2 Biodiesel Production (2007-2015)

4. Why Biofuel is Important for Asia-Pacific?

4.1 Need to Maintain Energy Security

4.2 Increasing Demand for Transportation Fuel

4.3 Government Support

4.4 Environmental Concerns

4.5 Strong Biotechnology Industry

4.6 Lower Labor Cost

5. Asia-Pacific Biofuel Market - Major Countries

5.1 China

5.1.1 Biofuel Industry

5.1.2 Future Outlook

5.2 India

5.2.1 Biofuel Industry

5.2.2 Future Outlook

5.3 Korea

5.3.1 Biofuel Industry

5.3.2 Future Outlook

5.4 Japan

5.4.1 Biofuel Industry

5.4.2 Future Outlook

5.5 Australia

5.5.1 Biofuel Industry

5.5.2 Future Outlook

5.6 Thailand

5.6.1 Biofuel Industry

5.6.2 Future Outlook

5.7 Indonesia

5.7.1 Biofuel Industry

5.7.2 Future Outlook

6. Opportunities

6.1 Flex-Fuel Vehicles

6.2 Agricultural Development

6.3 Fertilizers Demand

6.4 Biotechnology Industry

6.5 Cellulosic Biofuel

6.6 Improving Rural Living Standards

7. Antagonistic Forces for Asia-Pacific Biofuel Industry

7.1 Alternative Renewable Energy Sources

7.2 Rising Prices of Raw Materials

7.3 Oil Prices

7.4 Low Consumer Awareness


List of Figures:


Figure 3-1: Global - Biofuel Industry (in Billion US$), 2005 & 2006

Figure 3-2: Global - Production of Ethanol (in Million Gallon), 2004-2006

Figure 3-3: Global - Production of Biodiesel (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2000-2006

Figure 3-4: Global - Biofuel Industry (in Billion US$), 2006 & 2016F

Figure 3-5: Global - Forecast for Production of Ethanol (in Million Gallon), 2007-2015

Figure 3-6: Global - Forecast for Production of Biodiesel (in Million Metric Tons), 2007-2015

Figure 3-7: Global - Forecast for Biodiesel Production by Region (%), 2010

Figure 4-1: Global - Top 10 Oil Importing Countries (in Million Barrel/Day), 2006

Figure 4-2: Asia-Pacific - Number of Registered Automobiles (in Million), 2006

Figure 4-3: Global - Top 5 CO2 Emitting Countries (in Billion Metric Tons), 2005

Figure 4-4: Asia-Pacific - Biotechnology Market (in Billion US$), 2002-2006

Figure 5-1: China - Share of Rural & Urban Population (%), 2005

Figure 5-2: China - Import & Consumption of Petroleum (in Million Tons), 2003-2005

Figure 5-3: China - Production of Ethanol (in Metric Tons), 2004-2007E

Figure 5-4: China - Production Capacity of Ethanol by Region (in Metric Tons/Year), 2007

Figure 5-5: China - Production of Corn (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-03 to 2007-08E

Figure 5-6: China - Production of Sorghum (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-03 to 2006-07E

Figure 5-7: China - Production of Wheat (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-03 to 2006-07E

Figure 5-8: China - Export & Import of Ethanol (in ‘000 Liter), 2002-2006

Figure 5-9: China - Export of Ethanol by Destination (%), 2006

Figure 5-10: China - Production of Biodiesel (in Metric Tons/Year), 2002-2005

Figure 5-11: China - Production of Rapeseeds (in Million Tons), 2000-2005

Figure 5-12: China - Forecast for Production & Consumption of Ethanol (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2015

Figure 5-13: China - Forecast for Production Capacity of Biodiesel (in Tons/Year), 2007-2010

Figure 5-14: India - Consumption of Petroleum-based Energy (in ‘000 Barrels/Day), 2007-2011F

Figure 5-15: India - Production of Ethanol (in Billion Liter), 2004-2006

Figure 5-16: India - Forecast for Production of Ethanol (in Billion Liter), 2007-2015

Figure 5-17: India - Forecast for Consumption of Ethanol (in Billion Liter), 2007-2015

Figure 5-18: Korea - Production of Ethanol (in Metric Tons), 2001-2005

Figure 5-19: Korea - Consumption of Ethanol (in Metric Tons), 2001-2005

Figure 5-20: Korea - Import of Ethanol (in Metric Tons), 2001-2005

Figure 5-21: Korea - Export of Ethanol (in Metric Tons), 2001-2005

Figure 5-22: Korea - Production of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2002-2007E

Figure 5-23: Korea - Consumption of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2002-2006

Figure 5-24: Korea - Forecast for Production of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2007-2015

Figure 5-25: Japan - Production of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2004-2006

Figure 5-26: Japan - Consumption of Ethanol (in ‘000 Liter), 2001-2005

Figure 5-27: Japan - Import of Ethanol (in ‘000 Liter), 2001-2005

Figure 5-28: Japan - Consumption of Biodiesel (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2001-2005

Figure 5-29: Japan - Import & Export of Biodiesel (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2001-2005

Figure 5-30: Japan - Forecast for Trade Deficit of Ethanol (in Million Gallon), 2007-2015

Figure 5-31: Australia - Import of Petroleum (in Billion A$), 2003-04 & 2006-07E

Figure 5-32: Australia - Production of Biofuel (in Million Liter), 2005-06

Figure 5-33: Australia - Production Capacity of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2004-05 to 2006-07E

Figure 5-34: Australia - Production Capacity of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2004-05 to 2006-07E

Figure 5-35: Australia - Feedstock Production of Ethanol (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-04 to 2006-07

Figure 5-36: Australia - Forecast for Production Capacity of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2007-08 to 2009-10

Figure 5-37: Australia - Forecast for Production Capacity of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2007-08 to 2009-10

Figure 5-38: Thailand - Production of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2006 & 2007E

Figure 5-39: Thailand - Sales of Gasohol (in Million Liter), 2005 & 2006

Figure 5-40: Thailand - Feedstock Use in Ethanol Production (in Metric Tons), 2004-2007E

Figure 5-41: Thailand - Production of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2005 & 2006

Figure 5-42: Thailand - Palm Oil Use in Biodiesel Production (in Metric Tons), 2005-2007E

Figure 5-43: Thailand - Forecast for Production of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2008-2012

Figure 5-44: Thailand - Demand of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2007-2012F

Figure 5-45: Thailand - Forecast for Production of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2007-2012

Figure 5-46: Thailand - Forecast for Demand of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2007-2012

Figure 5-47: Indonesia - Production of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2006 & 2007E

Figure 5-48: Indonesia - Export of Ethanol (in Million Liter), 2006 & 2007E

Figure 5-49: Indonesia - Production of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2005 & 2006

Figure 5-50: Indonesia - Consumption of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2005 & 2006

Figure 5-51: Indonesia - Export of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2005-2007

Figure 5-52: Indonesia - Palm Oil Use in Biodiesel Production (in Metric Tons), 2005-2007E

Figure 5-53: Indonesia - Production of Biodiesel (in Million Liter), 2007-2010F

Figure 5-54: Indonesia - Forecast for Biodiesel Use in Transportation (in Million Liter), 2007-2010

Figure 5-55: Indonesia - Forecast for Biodiesel Use in Industries (in Million Liter), 2007-2010

Figure 6-1: Asia-Pacific - Consumption of Fertilizer (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2004-05

Figure 6-2: Asia-Pacific - Forecast for Biotechnology Market (in Billion US$), 2007-2011

Figure 7-1: Global - Forecast for Oil Prices (in US$/Barrel), 2007-2011


List of Tables:


Table 3-1: Global - Typology of Liquid Biofuel

Table 4-1: Asia-Pacific - Countries with Biofuel Use Policies/Acts

Table 5-1: China - Production Cost of Ethanol from Corn, Tuber & Sweet Sorghum (in US$/Metric Ton)

Table 5-2: India - Production Cost of Ethanol from Molasses, 2003

Table 5-3: India - Production Cost of Biodiesel from Jatropha, 2003

Table 5-4: Thailand - Capacity of Ethanol Plants by Manufacturer (in Liters/Day), 2007

Abstract

"Asia Pacific Biofuel Market Forecast" is the market analysis report by RNCOS to provide an updated and detailed overview of the biofuel market at world level in general and Asia-Pacific in particular. It rationally examines the emerging trends in the Asia-Pacific biofuel industry and provides exclusive forecasts and region-wise snapshots of biofuels. This report also tracks the growth or fall in different categories of the biofuel industry and their future markets together with an overview on the opportunities and challenges associated with the development of biofuel market.

Asia-Pacific Biofuel Industry

Decreasing oil production from almost all the oil reserves is attracting the world’s eyes towards renewable energy sources. Rising energy consumption and environmental issues has now shifted the focus towards biofuel use, particularly in transportation. Though the biofuel industry is in its initial stages in Asia-Pacific, there is a huge potential for its development in the region. Most of the governments are supportive towards the biofuel use and are planning to implement regulation in support of biofuel use. As development of biofuel is directly linked with the agricultural development, it will also help in raising the living standards of the rural people in Asia-Pacific. In addition to it, most of the Asia Pacific countries are depending upon imported oil and hence, allocate a huge reserve for oil purchase. So use of biofuel will certainly help them to cut their dependence on imported oil with added benefit of energy security.

Key Findings
  • The world biofuel market’s value is likely to attain a CAGR of around 14.7% during 2006-2016.
  • The global ethanol production is expected to reach 26,071 Million Gallon in 2014 while the global biodiesel production is projected to accelerate at a CAGR of 4.5% during 2007-2015.
  • Ethanol consumption pattern in China is likely to move faster than the production and expected to attain a CAGR of 2.51% from 2007 to 2015.
  • Ethanol consumption in India is anticipated to move at a CAGR of over 2% during 2007 -2015.
  • Australia is likely to maintain its biodiesel production capacity at around 524 Million Liter till 2009-10.
Key Issues & Facts Analyzed
  • What is the scenario of the global biofuel industry at regional level?
  • What are the factors supporting the Asia-Pacific biofuel industry?
  • What is the overview like in major Asia-Pacific biofuel markets and what is their future outlook?
  • What are the possible opportunities and challenges for the biofuel industry in the Asia-Pacific region?
Key Markets Analyzed

This section covers the main products like Biodiesel, Ethanol and the feedstock for these products in different regions, including Australia, China, Thailand, India, Indonesia, Japan, and Korea.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources
The information has been taken from books, newspapers, trade journals, white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring of industry news and developments, through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method
Methods like historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting and cause and effect analysis have been used in the report for a prudent analysis.

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