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LED Manufacturing Technologies 2008 - The paths to improved profitability

Published by: Yole Developpement

Published: Nov. 19, 2007 - 186 Pages


Table of Contents



Glossary

Executive summary

LED market main metrics and players

Market segmentation

LED market volume as a function of LED type

LED market revenues as a function of LED type

LED 2006 applications breakdown

2001-2012 GaN LED market

Average retail price of conventional packaged LED

Estimated worldwide blue LED dies capacity by region in million units

Major worldwide players and related position on the value-chain: Europe, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, China, North America

General Illumination market

Worldwide estimation of generated lumens (lm.hr/year)
Evolution of white LEDs needs for general lighting

Market estimation for White-LEDs for general illumination

Wafers needs for general illumination (2” equivalent wafers, million units)

Projection systems & light-engines market

Introduction: Definition of a light engine / Products which require a light engine

Light engines market forecast 2006-2011

Market introduction roadmap for light-engine-based products

Light engine roadmap for displays

Digital Cinema Projectors market

Conclusions: What light sources for projection displays: LED or LD?

Current status of the LED performance and related technologies

Number of lm requested for various applications and related time-to-market for mass-production

Main manufacturing steps and related options for GaN-based LED

Examples of current LED companies process flow-chart

LED: lateral or vertical structure

GaN-LED: Emitting colour as a function of In concentration

Global LED efficiency is the ratio of the final luminous output power over the wall-plug input power

Internal QE has now reached ~73% for low power LED (I=20mA)…

… but this value significantly drops as the current (so the power) increases !

How is the input power dissipated? Average LED optical output power vs.heat generation at different current levels

Extraction efficiency (?extr.) is strongly linked to the die size….

Different options to optimize LED performance

Expected efficiency gains for the future white power LED generation

Influence of selected improvements on the four key efficiency parameters

The perfect white LED would include…

New LED manufacturing techno. to enhance luminous efficiency

Various techniques to improve white LED efficiency

New growth substrates for nitride LEDs

Sensitivity to dislocations density in the active layer for optical nitride devices

Estimated volume of substrates for GaN-based LED production (SiC &Sapphire) 2005-2012

2006 sapphire substrates market for LED: price, units and diameter analysis

2005-2012 Sapphire substrates market volume for LEDs by diameter &related market value

2005-2012 Sapphire substrates market value for LEDs, segmented bydiameter

2005-2012 SiC wafer diameter evolution for GaN/SiC LED production

2005-2012 SiC substrates market volume for LEDs by diameter & relatedmarket size

Sapphire substrates main manufacturers / Different substrates for GaN epitaxy

GaN substrates / applications matrix

Conclusion: Tentative time-to-market of various substrates

Photonic crystals and textured surface

Goal of the LED surface modification: enhance light extraction and directional emission

Photonic crystal vs. Surface texturing / Photonic crystals: the principle

Example of photonic crystals based LED Luminus PhlatLight®

Nano-imprint lithography, a key technology for photonic crystals LED

Photonic crystals LEDs: New developments

Photonic crystals LEDs by Laser Holography / Conclusion

Laser Lift-Off (LLO) & Flip-Chip

LLO Technique: definition

OSRAM LED chip technology (ThinGaN® technology)

LLO equipments / LLO technique & Flip chip mounting

The flip-chip mounting: transparent substrates only!

Flip-chip can be coupled with back-face contact reflector technique

Schematic fabrication process for wafer-bonded transparent substrate AlGaInP/GaP LEDs

Transparent top contacts with ZnO

Temporary Bonding

Temporary bonding: introduction

Thin wafer handling: different solutions

Temporary bonding: principle

Main temporary bonding methods comparison

Temporary bonding using wax

Temporary bonding using adhesive tapes

Example of EVG and TEL temporary bonding tools

Dicing and Scribing

Definition

Techniques, Throughputs and costs / Number of dies / wafer

Laser Scribing & Dicing / Diamond Scribing & Dicing

Example of JPSA, NWR, Synova and Oxford Laser tools

Binning

Binning: Definition / What is Binning?

Binning: the criteria

Binning must prioritize on only one parameter to achieve a proper yield

Binning: conclusions

Patents and licenses status in the LED business: The phosphor battlefield

Patent is part of global IP

“The NICHIA story”: 1995 - 1999

Some Examples of the GaN LED patent situation

Main agreements and cross-licenses in LED business

US and Asia remain the most active regions in LED patents

EU patents status

Ranking of the most active companies in LED technology patents

Main phosphor-related patents from various manufacturers

Main phosphor technologies in use / Main phosphor suppliers

Conclusions

UV-LED and bulk-AlN: The future of white LEDs?

Introduction

What are UV wavelengths ?

UV emission wavelength depends on the Al content in the AlGaN alloy

Why bulk AlN to make UV LEDs? / Current UV-LED state-of-the-art

Main initiatives in AlN bulk single crystal developments

Tentative roadmap for 2” AlN single crystal market price & useable area

Example of current available offers in AlN substrates / Conclusion

The ’’Green Gap’’

Introduction: green is missing… / Why green wavelengths so hard to get?

Conclusions

LED lifetime: new business models are needed…

Long lifetime can be a market driver for adoption but not a money maker for light source vendors

General conclusions

Annexes: Company profiles

Abstract

Breaking the Profit-barrier with Ultra-High Brightness LEDs (UHB-LEDs) LED component volumes have been driven mainly by mobile phone sales recently, showing an incredible annual compound growth rate of more than +45% per year. Due to the strong pressure on component prices, revenue growth has been moderate: only +8% over the last 2 years.

“It is now clear that LED market needs to expand into new and profitable sectors with higher margins. We believe that this growth will come from 3 additional application areas: automotive lighting, architectural lighting and general illumination, in addition to the LCD backlighting market.” says Dr Philippe Roussel senior analyst at Yole Développement, in charge of Compound Semiconductors activity. To capture the profits in these application sectors, significant improvements are needed in LED performance, especially in $/lumen and in lumens/Watt at full power. New approaches manufacturing technologies are required at all levels: materials, design, front-end, back-end and packaging, in order to profit from the potential of Ultra-High Brightness LED.

This report describes 10 key manufacturing technologies, in use or under investigation that considerably improved the LED optical output power:
  • New material substrates
  • Laser Lift-Off
  • Temporary Bonding
  • Flip-Chip
  • Reflecting contacts
  • Transparent top contacts
  • Photonic Crystal
  • Surface Texturing
  • Dicing / Scribing
  • UV LED + RGB phosphors
Using that portfolio of technologies, high power LED with 150lm/W and generating more than 50% of light over heat can be envisaged.

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